If you haven’t checked out the primer head over here.
As I kinda suspected, the MODDED plays with the Kelly Criterion is working out better than the other method(s), but there are still some instances where we massively disagree with the book’s lines. I suspect they weight strength of schedule differently than I do. If we consistently miss on them I’ll reevaluate, but (fingers crossed) so far so good.
North Vs Big 125 Line -175 44.44% Implied 63.64% 49.75% Degen Differential 50.25% Diff Play Bet? 30.93% Degen Modded 69.07% $0.00 K-Bet? $3.73
Natus Vincere Vs Complexity -334 Line 240 76.96% Implied 29.41% 49.11% Degen Differential 50.89% Bet? Diff Play 48.20% Degen Modded 51.80% $0.00 K-Bet? $7.93
SKADE Vs Pompa -500 Line 333 83.33% Implied 23.09% 48.82% Degen Differential 51.18% Bet? Diff Play 38.43% Degen Modded 61.57% $0.00 K-Bet? $12.51
MAD
Lions Vs c0ntact -275 Line 200 73.33% Implied 33.33% 50.02% Degen Differential 49.98% Bet? Diff Play 52.71% Degen Modded 47.29% $0.00 K-Bet? $5.24
Dignitas Vs Orgless -275 Line 200 73.33% Implied 33.33% 45.10% Degen Differential 54.90% Bet? Diff Play 31.73% Degen Modded 68.27% $0.00 K-Bet? $13.10
Juggernauts Vs Unique -138 Line 100 57.98% Implied 50.00% 50.15% Degen Differential 49.85% Bet? 64.13% Degen Modded 35.87% $3.66 K-Bet? $0.00
FATE Vs Prima -275 Line 200 73.33% Implied 33.33% 47.13% Degen Differential 52.87% Bet? Diff Play 22.76% Degen Modded 77.24% $0.00 K-Bet? $16.46
Thunder
Logic Vs Alcoholics Anon -120 Line -120 54.55% Implied 54.55% 50.50% Degen Differential 49.50% Bet? 96.98% Degen Modded 3.02% $23.34 K-Bet? $0.00
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