If you haven’t checked out the primer head over here.

As I kinda suspected, the MODDED plays with the Kelly Criterion is working out better than the other method(s), but there are still some instances where we massively disagree with the book’s lines. I suspect they weight strength of schedule differently than I do. If we consistently miss on them I’ll reevaluate, but (fingers crossed) so far so good.

North Vs Big

NorthVsBig
125Line-175
44.44%Implied63.64%
49.75%Degen Differential50.25%
Diff PlayBet?
30.93%Degen Modded69.07%
$0.00K-Bet?$3.73

Natus Vincere Vs Complexity

Natus VincereVsComplexity
-334Line240
76.96%Implied29.41%
49.11%Degen Differential50.89%
Bet?Diff Play
48.20%Degen Modded51.80%
$0.00K-Bet?$7.93

SKADE Vs Pompa

SKADEVsPompa
-500Line333
83.33%Implied23.09%
48.82%Degen Differential51.18%
Bet?Diff Play
38.43%Degen Modded61.57%
$0.00K-Bet?$12.51

MAD Lions Vs c0ntact

MAD LionsVsc0ntact
-275Line200
73.33%Implied33.33%
50.02%Degen Differential49.98%
Bet?Diff Play
52.71%Degen Modded47.29%
$0.00K-Bet?$5.24

Dignitas Vs Orgless

DignitasVsOrgless
-275Line200
73.33%Implied33.33%
45.10%Degen Differential54.90%
Bet?Diff Play
31.73%Degen Modded68.27%
$0.00K-Bet?$13.10

Juggernauts Vs Unique

JuggernautsVsUnique
-138Line100
57.98%Implied50.00%
50.15%Degen Differential49.85%
Bet?
64.13%Degen Modded35.87%
$3.66K-Bet?$0.00

FATE Vs Prima

FATEVsPrima
-275Line200
73.33%Implied33.33%
47.13%Degen Differential52.87%
Bet?Diff Play
22.76%Degen Modded77.24%
$0.00K-Bet?$16.46

Thunder Logic Vs Alcoholics Anon

Thunder LogicVsAlcoholics Anon
-120Line-120
54.55%Implied54.55%
50.50%Degen Differential49.50%
Bet?
96.98%Degen Modded3.02%
$23.34K-Bet?$0.00
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