Mad Max gives you his Sports Bet Picks for 5/2/21. Listen to the Degen’s NBA win totals episode, their MLB futures episode and Max’s NHL Power rankings post.

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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 5/2/21

 

NBA

A mixed bag with my NBA moneyline experiment but I think I have something to work with. The goal is to pick only 1 underdog play each day and total up your favorites to cover that loss should it not hit. The dog play should be your best dog play. Will see how that goes.

BKN (2) at MIL (-2)

Pick: Bet $20 MIL ML (-124)

Total: 244 (Lean Under – 234)

Predicted Score: BKN 115 – MIL 119

 

NYK (-11) at HOU (11)

Pick: Bet $20 NYK ML (-628)

Total: 217.5 (Lean Over – 226)

Predicted Score: NYK 119 – HOU 107

 

PHI (-6) at SAS (6)

Pick: Bet $20 ML SAS (197)

Total: 221 (Lean Over – 220)

Predicted Score: PHI 108 – SAS 112

 

POR (1) at BOS (-1)

Pick: Lean POR

Total: 231.5 (Lean Under – 229)

Predicted Score: POR 117 – BOS 112

 

MIA (-5) at CHA (5)

Pick: Lean CHA

Total: 211 (Lean Under – 214)

Predicted Score: MIA 108 – CHA 106

 

SAC (6.5) at DAL (-6.5)

Pick: Lean SAC

Total: 227.5 (Lean Over – 230)

Predicted Score: SAC 114 – DAL 116

 

PHX (-15.5) at OKC (15.5)

Pick: Lean OKC

Total: 223 (Lean Over – 228)

Predicted Score: PHX 120 – OKC 108

 

TOR (7.5) at LAL (-7.5)

Pick: Lean TOR

Total: 217 (Lean Under – 217)

Predicted Score: TOR 109 – LAL 108

 

NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning (-346) at Detroit Red Wings (293)

Pick: Lean Detroit

Notes: I was leaning Detroit yesterday and they got that game. Can they win 2 in a row? Probably not. But there is still value. Detroit plays Tampa hard and is pretty solid at home. Either stay off this one or take a small flyer on Detroit.

 

MLB

MIA (139) at WSH (-151)

Pitchers: T. Rogers (ERA: 1.29 – Road ERA: 1.06 – Avg. ML: 127) vs. M. Scherzer (ERA: 3 – Home ERA: 1.89 – Avg. ML: -108)

Pick: Bet $20 WSH

 

STL (-129) at PIT (119)

Pitchers: C. Martinez (ERA: 4.8 – Road ERA: 6.19 – Avg. ML: 108) vs. W. Crowe (ERA: 2.25 – Home ERA: n/a – Avg. ML: 179)

Pick: Lean STL

 

DET (210) at NYY (-233)

Pitchers: J. Urena (ERA: 3.83 – Road ERA: 2.47 – Avg. ML: 144) vs. C. Kluber (ERA: 4.39 – Home ERA: 3.29 – Avg. ML: -139)

Pick: Lean DET

 

ATL (-131) at TOR (121)

Pitchers: I. Anderson (ERA: 2.54 – Road ERA: 0.8 – Avg. ML: -119) vs. Undecided

Pick: TBD

 

CHC (141) at CIN (-153)

Pitchers: T. Williams (ERA: 4.48 – Road ERA: 7.78 – Avg. ML: 109) vs. T. Mahle (ERA: 1.43 – Home ERA: 1.61 – Avg. ML: -112)

Pick: Lean CIN

 

HOU (-126) at TB (116)

Pitchers: C. Javier (ERA: 0.89 – Road ERA: 5.63 – Avg. ML: -104) vs. R. Hill (ERA: 7.33 – Home ERA: 5.59 – Avg. ML: -108)

Pick: Lean HOU

 

LAD (-185) at MIL (169)

Pitchers: J. Urias (ERA: 3.28 – Road ERA: 0.64 – Avg. ML: -193) vs. A. Bettinger (ERA: n/a – Home ERA: n/a – Avg. ML: n/a)

Pick: Lean LAD

 

CLE (145) at CWS (-158)

Pitchers: Z. Plesac (ERA: 6.02 – Road ERA: 11.61 – Avg. ML: -116) vs. L. Giolito (ERA: 5.9 – Home ERA: 2.73 – Avg. ML: -132)

Pick: Lean CWS

 

KC (171) at MIN (-187)

Pitchers: B. Keller (ERA: 9.76 – Road ERA: 5.93 – Avg. ML: 106) vs. J. Berrios (ERA: 3.18 – Home ERA: 5.81 – Avg. ML: -129)

Pick: Lean MIN

 

BOS (-122) at TEX (113)

Pitchers: G. Richards (ERA: 5.04 – Road ERA: 1.59 – Avg. ML: -107) vs. M. Foltynewicz (ERA: 4.65 – Home ERA: 4.69 – Avg. ML: 142)

Pick: Lean TEX

 

BAL (187) at OAK (-206)

Pitchers: B. Zimmermann (ERA: 5.53 – Road ERA: 5.29 – Avg. ML: 131) vs. S. Manaea (ERA: 2.87 – Home ERA: 3.66 – Avg. ML: 100)

Pick: Lean OAK

 

COL (130) at ARI (-141)

Pitchers: C. Gonzalez (ERA: 3 – Road ERA: 3.6 – Avg. ML: 126) vs. M. Kelly (ERA: 6.33 – Home ERA: 1.5 – Avg. ML: 151)

Pick: Lean ARI

 

SF () at SD ()

Pitchers: K. Gausman (ERA: 2.17 – Road ERA: 0.94 – Avg. ML: -105) vs. Undecided

Pick: TBD

 

LAA (-155) at SEA (143)

Pitchers: D. Bundy (ERA: 4.2 – Road ERA: 2.77 – Avg. ML: -109) vs. J. Sheffield (ERA: 5.49 – Home ERA: 6.18 – Avg. ML: 144)

Pick: Lean SEA

 

NYM (107) at PHI (-116)

Pitchers: D. Peterson (ERA: 5.65 – Road ERA: 11.41 – Avg. ML: -101) vs. Z. Eflin (ERA: 3.63 – Home ERA: 1.8 – Avg. ML: -103)

Pick: Lean PHI