Degen Show Part (4/3/21)

Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 4/3/21. Listen to the Degen’s NBA win totals episode, their MLB futures episode and Max’s NHL Power rankings post.

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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 4/3/21

 

NBA

 

OKC (11.5) at POR (-11.5)

Pick: Bet $20 OKC

Total: 227.5 (Lean Over – 228)

Predicted Score: OKC 115 – POR 113

Overview: Portland got trounced last night by Milwaukee but they were playing much better prior to that. OKC also got beaten badly last night but has not been terrible on the road this season. This is too many points for Portland here. They rarely cover double digit lines when they win games and even a depleted OKC team should be able to keep this within 10.

 

MIN (11.5) at PHI (-11.5)

Pick: Bet $20 PHI

Total: 228.5 (Lean Under – 222)

Predicted Score: MIN 105 – PHI 117

Overview: Joel Embiid is questionable for today. It looks like he could play and maybe against a team like Minnesota would allow him to only play a little bit to get back in shape. The T-Wolves just lost by 12 last night and dropped to 5-20 on the road. Philly is 19-4 at home and shooting 56% EFG% at home thie past month (5-2 record in that span).

 

DAL (-6.5) at WAS (6.5)

Pick: Lean DAL

Total: 228.5 (Lean Under – 221)

Predicted Score: DAL 114 – WAS 107

Overview: Dallas played last night so not sure if Porzingis plays in the back-to-back. Bradley Beal is still dealing with a hip issue and is questionable for Washington. Russell Westbrook has been on a tear lately but the Wizards have not seen results. Dallas is the hotter team and is shooting much better in EFG%. That’s with Luka and Porzingis playing, though. This is Dallas’ 5th straight road game. They probably get the win (and maybe cover) but I’m not in love with it.

 

CLE (12.5) at MIA (-12.5)

Pick: Lean CLE

Total: 204.5 (Lean Over – 207)

Predicted Score: CLE 101 – MIA 106

Overview: Miami has won 3 in a row and they’ve started to shoot better. Cleveland has lost 4 in a row and besides a close loss to the Kings – they yave been beaten handily in most games recently. Still, that’s a lot of points to ask from a Miami team that is defense first.

 

NYK (-2.5) at DET (2.5)

Pick: Lean DET

Total: 206.5 (Lean Over – 207)

Predicted Score: NYK 104 – DET 103

Overview: Meh.

 

IND (5.5) at SAS (-5.5)

Pick: Lean IND

Total: 222.5 (Lean Over – 227)

Predicted Score: IND 113 – SAS 114

Overview: Domantas Sabonis injured his ankle in last night’s loss to Charlotte. The Spurs are only 12-15 at home this season and continue to be an inconsistent team.

 

ORL (16.5) at UTA (-16.5)

Pick: Lean ORL

Total: 215.5 (Lean Under – 212)

Predicted Score: ORL 101 – UTA 111

Overview: This is Orlando’s 4th straight road game. So far, they are 2-1 and their loss was a close one. But Utah is riding an 8 game winning streak and is 21-2 at home. The won again last night but didn’t cover the big line. I have them winning by double digits tonight but it’s too rich for my blood.

 

MIL (-7) at SAC (7)

Pick: Lean SAC

Total: 239 (Lean Under – 226)

Predicted Score: MIL 114 – SAC 112

Overview: Panther says fuck the Bucks. I say fuck the Kings.

 

NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins (105) at Boston Bruins (-116)

Pick: Bet Boston

Notes: Pittsburgh is hot right now and downed Boston 4-1 just two days ago. The Bruins still dealing with a slew of injuries but are 9-5-2 at home. I just don’t see the Bruins losing 2 straight at home – even to a Pittsburgh team that looks legit right now.

 

Columbus Blue Jackets (134) at Florida Panthers (-149)

Pick: Bet Florida

Notes: Florida is 12-4-3 at home and have won 4 straight. Granted, that was Detroit and Dallas they beat – but Columbus isn’t that much better than either of those teams. The Blue Jackets got a surprise win over Tampa this past week but it was their lone with the past 5 games.

 

Dallas Stars (138) at Carolina Hurricanes (-153)

Pick: Lean Dallas

Notes: I like Dallas here is a possible dog but that value is a bit too low and going against a team that has only lost once at home this season.

 

Detroit Red Wings (317) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-379)

Pick: Lean Detroit

Notes: Detroit +1.5 still pays a positive number. Just saying.

 

Chicago Blackhawks (109) at Nashville Predators (-120)

Pick: Lean Chicago

 

Ottawa Senators (198) at Montreal Canadiens (-225)

Pick: Lean Montreal

 

Philadelphia Flyers (154) at New York Islanders (-172)

Pick: Lean Philadelphia

 

New York Rangers (-247) at Buffalo Sabres (216)

Pick: Lean New York

 

St. Louis Blues (170) at Colorado Avalanche (-200)

Pick: Lean Colorado

 

Minnesota Wild (137) at Vegas Golden Knights (-152)

Pick: Lean Minnesota

 

San Jose Sharks (105) at Los Angeles Kings (-125)

Pick: Lean Los Angeles

 

MLB

 

TOR (145) at NYY (-158)

Stripling vs. C. Kluber

Pick: Lean NYY

 

CLE (-162) at DET (149)

Plesac vs. J. Teheran

Pick: Lean CLE

 

BAL (154) at BOS (-168)

Harvey vs. T. Houck

Pick: Lean BAL

 

TEX (142) at KC (-154)

Arihara vs. M. Minor

Pick: Bet TEX

 

PIT (155) at CHC (-168)

Anderson vs. J. Arrieta

Pick: Lean CHC

 

ATL (-111) at PHI (103)

Morton vs. Z. Wheeler

Pick: Lean ATL

 

HOU (-129) at OAK (119)

McCullers Jr. vs. C. Irvin

Pick: Lean HOU

 

STL (109) at CIN (-118)

Wainwright vs. T. Mahle

Pick: Bet CIN

 

TB (-112) at MIA (103)

Hill vs. E. Hernandez

Pick: Bet MIA

 

MIN (110) at MIL (-119)

Berrios vs. C. Burnes

Pick: Lean MIN

 

LAD (-233) at COL (210)

Buehler vs. J. Gray

Pick: Lean LAD

 

ARI (181) at SD (-199)

Smith vs. J. Musgrove

Pick: Bet SD

 

CWS (-120) at LAA (111)

Lynn vs. A. Cobb

Pick: Bet CWS

 

SF (-114) at SEA (106)

Webb vs. C. Flexen

Pick: Bet SF