Sports Betting Advice from Mad Max’s notes:
Heat at Celtics
Miami has won three in a row including last nights beatdown of the Raptors. They’ve been a much better team than I imagined them being but head to Boston where the Celtics have quietly been undefeated at. Now that I’ve let that out, they should lose tonight. Boston is only 6-5-2 against the spread as a favorite and 6 points seems a tad high. Miami might be a little tired today but should keep within that spread.
Suns at Magic
Orlando came out strong last night and took down the mighty Bullets. Now they head back home to face a struggling Suns team that was able to grab a W in Charlotte on Monday. Aaron Baynes is listed as out for Phoenix and Ricky Rubio is questionable.
Warriors at Hornets
Golden State has a worse record than the Knicks. There’s a chance that the winning percentage equity Steve Kerr built up with a 73-win season could go out the window this year. The Warriors only managed 79 points on Monday against an undermanned Atlanta team. Charlotte isn’t lighting the world on fire but at home as a 5-point favorite over Golden State doesn’t sound crazy.
Bucks at Pistons
The Bucks have covered big spreads in back to back games and are getting a lighter spread tonight on the road in Detroit. The Pistons are coming off back to back wins and their defense has been looking better lately but that’s against teams like San Antonio and Cleveland. Blake Griffin is questionable tonight. The line seems oddly low but if it’s a trap I’ll take it.
Nets at Hawks
The Nets held their own with Miami but still lost on Sunday night. Kyrie Irving is still out with his shoulder injury so the Nets need to rely on Spencer Dinwiddie to match up with Meth Curry and the Hawks. Atlanta broke a big losing streak on Monday by dismantling the Warriors. Now they find themselves as slight home dogs to Brooklyn.
Grizzlies at Bulls
I bet against the Bulls on Monday and they proved me wrong. Which isn’t a surprise since I’ve been pretty much wrong about most things NBA lately. I’ll be right about this one. Don’t touch it. Memphis plus these points should be the play but it all depends on which Memphis team shows up and which Bulls team shows up. They have both been unpredictable so far this season. Similar records against the spread and similar road and home records respectively.
Pacers at Thunder
The Thunder are coming off a home and home series win against the Pelicans but now travel back to OKC to face a damn good Pacers team. After losing a nail biter with the Sixers, Indy got a decisive win over Memphis on Monday. The problem is that the Pacers have struggled a bit on the road and the Thunder are surprisingly good at home so far – posting a 6-4 straight up and 7-3 ATS in OKC so far this season. It’s a close one here but I’ll back Indiana to get it done today.
Timberwolves at Mavs
Dallas returns home today after a successful road trip but they might just be better off staying on the road. They are 6-4 straight up and 4-6 ATS at home. Even worse for them is that the Timberwolves are better on the road too. They are 7-2 straight up and ATS on the road and won both of their last two road games decisively but that was against some underperforming teams.
Lakers at Jazz
The Lakers beat up on the Nuggets last night. It was a great bounce back win for the Lakers after a loss to the Mavs. Utah is happy to be home after going 1-4 on their recent road trip. The Jazz are 8-1 at home but shouldn’t get too comfortable with the Lakers being 9-1 on the road. With this line as it is, I expect the Lakers to sit some players for rest.
Kings at Blazers
Carmelo and the Blazers were brought down to Earth yesterday against the Clippers. They head back home to host the Kings who despite a blip the other day, has been playing better basketball. I think the Blazers bounce back at home
Avalanche at Maple Leafs
The Avalanche have won 3 in a row after completing a back to back / home and home series with the Blackhawks on Saturday. Now they travel up to Toronto to play a Maple Leafs team that got slaughtered by the Flyers last night. The Avalanche are a pretty big dog here to open here and maybe Toronto getting Mitch Marner back is part of the reason. I’d like to see data on this one.
Blues at Penguins
You have to go all the way back to Saturday to remember when these two teams played. The Blues won in St. Louis 5-2. The Blues started the season with a bit of the Stanley Cup hangover but now have the second best record in hockey. Pittsburgh is banged up and slipping in the standings but is still a good team. They also have a 10-3-2 record at home. Unfortunately for them, the Blues are 10-2-3 on the road. The Blues are the healthier and better team.
Senators at Oilers
Ottawa is coming off that bad loss last night in Vancouver and continue their Canadian rod trip against Edmonton tonight. The Oilers split a home and home with Vancouver over the weekend and have been mediocre recently. If the Senators weren’t coming off a game yesterday, I’d say there is value in betting them today.
Capitals at Kings
The Capitals have won 4 in a row after last night’s thumping of the Sharks. They head up to LA for a match against a Kings team that cannot find consistency out there on the ice. The money is coming in hard for LA and the line is moving in the right direction. The public is backing Washington here and without any key injuries listed here you can only assume that some Caps players will rest in the second game of this back to back.