Degen Show Part (2/2/2021)
Your favorite Degens give you their NBA Bet Picks for 2/2/21 and there’s some hockey picks below too. Listen to their NBA win totals episode for more NBA action.
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Max’s NBA Bet Picks for 2/2/21
Toronto (-5) at Orlando (5)
Pick: Bet $20 Toronto
Total: 215 (Lean Over – 219)
Predicted Score: Toronto 113 – Orlando 106
Overview: The Raptors beat Orlando just two days ago so the question is can they do it again. Orlando has lost 3 in a row and 11 of 13. The Raptors have not found much road success this year as their defense gives up 8 more points on the road compared to their Tampa home games.
But Orlando has not been stellar at home either and their offensive struggles are ridiculous at this point. At home, Orlando is barely averaging triple digits and over that aforementioned 13 game stretch, they failed to hit 100 points 7 times.
Orlando has the worst effective field goal % in the league but they lead the league in offensive rebounding – meaning a lot of second chance shots. So that’s their best bet against Toronto. Brick some 3’s and hope for some 2 point put backs.
The Magic will be without Aaron Gordon tonight and probably for over a month. So that could further impact their offense. I’m going to bet $20 on the Raptors to win and cover this one on the road. I don’t love it, but it’s one of the more palpable games on the slate today.
Memphis (6) at Indiana (-6)
Pick: Bet $20 Memphis
Total: 221 (Lean Under / Dumb Push – 221)
Predicted Score: Memphis 111 – Indiana 110
Overview: Memphis has not looked rusty since returning from hiatus but that’s been a two game sample against the Spurs. They now play their 3rd game in 4 days so let’s hope that extra rest allows them to have good legs underneath them tonight.
The Pacers have lost two in a row and their play at home hasn’t been great. Their defensive efficiency and opponents points per game are worse at home than on the road and their effective fg % is about a point lower at home than on the road.
I am worried about a letdown game or just some winded play from Memphis, but I think this is too many points for Indiana to cover. I’ll bet $20 on the Grizzlies.
LA Clippers (1.5) at Brooklyn (-1.5)
Pick: Lean Brooklyn
Total: 243 (Lean Under – 229)
Predicted Score: Brooklyn 118 – LA Clippers 111
Overview: If there is one thing that is certain today is that this game will probably go over. I say this because once again, I like the under a lot. I just refuse to be baited into such futile endeavors. The Nets will try to bounce back from their shocking loss to the Wizards on Sunday night while the Clippers continue their road trip and hope to win their 4th straight road game.
Brooklyn’s offense has been putting up some points since fat boy joined the team and their effective fg % is insanely good. That said, the Clippers aren’t too shabby with shooting and their defense has started to click lately – despite the 115 point lapse against the Knicks.
I will lean Brooklyn here but to me, this is a game to watch and enjoy and stay far away from betting on.
Portland (2) at Washington (-2)
Pick: Lean Washington
Total: 240.5 (Lean Under – 237)
Predicted Score: Washington 120 – Portland 117
Overview: I knew Washington was due at some point in time. Their metrics indicated that the losses would stop eventually. Now can they build on that and get a winning streak going? Not too sure about that. The Wizards welcome the Blazers into town. The same Blazers team that ripped my heart out against the Bulls this weekend but also the same Blazers team that got trounced by Milwaukee last night.
These two teams are very similar and have close advanced metrics. The one thing to note is that Washington might give up more points per game but their defensive efficiency is better than Portland’s.
I am going to lean Washington here.
Detroit (12) at Utah (-12)
Pick: Lean Detroit
Total: 221 (Lean Under – 220)
Predicted Score: Utah 112 – Detroit 108
Overview: The Pistons are a team that mystifies me. They should be better than their record yet they come out and get slaughtered by the Warriors on Saturday and it makes me wonder if Isaiah Thomas and Joe Dumars left some kind of curse on this organization when they left.
The Jazz finally lost a game but will be back to their winning ways tonight. Donovan Mitchell played in their last game but didn’t quite look right so now is his chance to pick back up where he left off before his injury list stint.
I have Utah winning this one by about 8 but I could easily see them covering this. I’ll lean Detroit since my spreadsheet says to, but this could get ugly.
Boston (-3) at Golden State (3)
Pick: Lean Golden State
Total: 224.5 (Lean Under – 221)
Predicted Score: Golden State 111 – Boston 110
Overview: The Celtics played a tough game against the Lakers but came up short. The Celtics will try to avoid a 3-game losing streak and avoid going under .500 on the road. James Wiseman will miss the game for the Warriors but Draymond Green looks to be probable for the game tonight. The Celtics will be without their defensive guru as Marcus Smart will miss a few weeks with a strained calf.
My issue with Boston – and I know they missed time due to Covid issues – is that they aren’t great at anything. This is a good team that isn’t bad at any major statistical category, but they also aren’t excelling. Their defensive metrics are okay. Their offensive metrics are okay. Just nothing that excites you.
Fortunately for them, the Warriors aren’t anything special either. So maybe they have a chance.
I do have the Warriors pulling out a close win so will lean them here.
Max’s Salty NHL Bets for 2/2/2021
Not bad yesterday. 3-2 in my overall picks and 2-0 in my bets. I made $35.54 which puts me up $82 on the season. I am 84-55 on my season picks and 24-18 on my bets.
Dallas Stars (-108) at Columbus Blue Jackets (-102)
Pick: Bet Dallas
Arizona Coyotes (155) at St. Louis Blues (-173)
Pick: Bet Arizona
Buffalo Sabres (121) at New York Islanders (-134)
Pick: Lean Buffalo
Vancouver Canucks (153) at Montreal Canadiens (-174)
Pick: Lean Vancouver
Carolina Hurricanes (-179) at Chicago Blackhawks (160)
Pick: Lean Carolina
Calgary Flames (-118) at Winnipeg Jets (-103)
Pick: Lean Winnipeg
Minnesota Wild (154) at Colorado Avalanche (-176)
Pick: Lean Colorado
Anaheim Ducks (115) at Los Angeles Kings (-127)
Pick: Lean Los Angeles
Ottawa Senators (191) at Edmonton Oilers (-216)
Pick: Lean Ottawa