Degen Show Part (2/27/21)

Your favorite Degens give you their NBA Bet Picks for 2/27/21 and there’s some hockey picks below too. Listen to their NBA win totals episode for more NBA action.

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Max’s NBA Bet Picks for 2/27/21

 

Denver (-7) at Oklahoma City (7)

Pick: Bet $20 Oklahoma City

Total: 225.5 (Lean Under – 223)

Predicted Score: Denver 112 – Oklahoma City 111

Overview: Denver is only 5-5 over their last 10 (3-7 ATS). OKC is 6-4 ATS and have won 3 of 5 games. They played last night so I doubt they win – but getting 7 at home against a Denver team that is playing mediocre basketball right now seems like the right play.

Denver’s defense has struggled lately and they rank 24^th in opponent’s effective field goal %. In their recent games, OKC has shot much higher over their season average – so there will be regression – but playing Denver’s defense should mean not a full regression.

I have Denver winning this game but not by enough to cover. $20 bet on OKC.

 

New Orleans (-4.5) at San Antonio (4.5)

Pick: Bet $20 San Antonio

Total: 228.5 (Lean Under – 225)

Predicted Score: San Antonio 114 – New Orleans 111

Overview: Demar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge are listed as questionable. DeRozan is mourning the death of his father. If they play, I like the Spurs (despite being only 7-8 at home). Athletes tend to have dedication games after losing a loved one so if DeRozan plays, he could put up a big game. Both DeRozan and Aldridge are trade targets from playoff teams and if they want to chase a title, they will want to play big minutes.

New Orleans is 5-11 on the road this year and while their offense has been clicking lately, their defense continues to plummet. San Antonio is 10-5 ATS as a dog this year and I do have them winning here – but I will take the points and bet $20 on the Spurs.

 

Dallas (3.5) at Brooklyn (-3.5)

Pick: Bet $20 Brooklyn

Total: 238.5 (Lean Under – 232)

Predicted Score: Brooklyn 120 – Dallas 112

Overview: I’ll save Panther the time of saying “this line seems suspiciously low.” And I really don’t care. Even without Durant, the Nets are slaying teams. They are 13-5 at home and recently, they have been slaying both good and bad teams.

The Mavs are neither good or bad. They are the Shrodinger’s cat of the NBA. They are both bad and good at the same time. Recently, they have been playing much better but in a no-show against Philly two days ago, they showed us what much of their season has been. Mediocrity.

Porzingis is questionable again and continues to have trade murmurs around him. So who knows if he even suits up tonight. Luka will put on a show but Luka against Kyrie and Harden won’t be enough for Dallas.

$20 bet on the Nets. As for the total, fuck the total.

 

Meaningless Leans

Cleveland (10) at Philadelphia (-10)

Pick: Lean Philadelphia

Total: 223.5 (Lean Over – 225)

Predicted Score: Philadelphia 118 – Cleveland 107

Notes: Philly is 14-2 (11-5 ATS) at home and 14-11-1 ATS as favorites this season. Cleveland is 3-12 on the road and 3-12 ATS on the road. They have won their last 2 games but prior to that, they lost by big double digits.

 

Minnesota (4.5) at Washington (-4.5)

Pick: Lean Minnesota

Total: 236 (Lean Under – 231)

Predicted Score: Washington 117 – Minnesota 114

Notes: Minnesota has lost 6 in a row and all 6 were losses ATS too. They are 1-9 in their last 10 and 3-7 ATS. Wizards are only 2-5 ATS as favorites this year but have been better lately (winners of 7 of their last 10).

 

Utah (-10.5) at Orlando (10.5)

Pick: Lean Orlando

Total: 217.5 (Lean Over – 219)

Predicted Score: Utah 113 – Orlando 106

 

Indiana (1) at New York (-1)

Pick: Lean Indiana

Total: 216.5 (Lean Under – 216)

Predicted Score: Indiana 111 – New York 105

Notes: NY has lost a few games lately but are 6-4 over their last 10 and 7-3 ATS. The Pacers are 3-7 SU/ATS. Metrics say Pacers should win but sharps are on NY.

 

Max’s Salty NHL Bets for 2/27/21

3-0 in picks and 1-0 in bets (up $14.82). On the season, 165-127 in picks, 45-37 in bets and up $144.19. My last 7 days: 27-23 in picks, 7-5 in bets and up $51.07.

Washington Capitals (-133) at New Jersey Devils (120)

Pick: Bet Washington

 

Calgary Flames (-143) at Ottawa Senators (129)

Pick: Lean Calgary

 

Philadelphia Flyers (-139) at Buffalo Sabres (126)

Pick: Lean Philadelphia

 

Columbus Blue Jackets (109) at Nashville Predators (-120)

Pick: Lean Nashville

 

Dallas Stars (164) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-184)

Pick: Lean Dallas

 

Toronto Maple Leafs (-114) at Edmonton Oilers (104)

Pick: Bet Toronto

 

Carolina Hurricanes (-114) at Florida Panthers (103)

Pick: Bet Florida

 

Pittsburgh Penguins (102) at New York Islanders (-113)

Pick: Lean New York

 

Detroit Red Wings (167) at Chicago Blackhawks (-187)

Pick: Bet Detroit

 

Los Angeles Kings (149) at Minnesota Wild (-170)

Pick: Lean Minnesota

 

Colorado Avalanche (-170) at Arizona Coyotes (149)

Pick: Lean Colorado

 

Vegas Golden Knights (-200) at Anaheim Ducks (178)

Pick: Lean Vegas

 

Montreal Canadiens (-133) at Winnipeg Jets (120)

Pick: Bet Montreal

 

St. Louis Blues (-159) at San Jose Sharks (143)

Pick: Lean San Jose