Degen Show Part (4/9/21)

Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 4/9/21. Listen to the Degen’s NBA win totals episode, their MLB futures episode and Max’s NHL Power rankings post.

Powered by RedCircle

 

---

Keep the Lights On Around Here!

Promocode: ABSOLUTEDEGEN

Promocode: ABSOLUTEDEGEN

---

The Degens! App

Grab the Degens App hangout, shoot the breeze and get even more content.

Android:

https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=io.gonative.android.xmmkqw&hl=en

iOS:

https://apps.apple.com/us/app/id1527907647

---

Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 4/9/21

 

NBA

IND (-4.5) at ORL (4.5)

Pick: Bet $20 IND

Total: 217.5 (Lean Over – 231)

Predicted Score: IND 118 – ORL 113

Notes: Brogdon and Sabonis are both listed as questionable for tonight for Indiana. Neither of them played in the Pacers’ win over Minnesota the other night. The Holidays and LeVert picked up the slack. I am expecting for at least Sabonis to return tonight but even if he doesn’t, the Pacers should have enough to win and cover this one. Indy is fairly good on the road and in Orlando’s 3-game skid, they have not looked competitive. Add to the mix that Otto Porter Jr. will miss the game for the Magic and this is looking like a $20 bet on the Pacers for me.

 

SAS (6.5) at DEN (-6.5)

Pick: Bet $20 DEN

Total: 218.5 (Lean Over – 220)

Predicted Score: SAS 105 – DEN 115

Notes: Jamal Murray is questionable with a knee issue tonight for Denver but even without him, the Nuggets were able to beat the Spurs by 10 just 2 days ago. Now, I am leery of double-dipping here. I hit on Denver in that game and my metrics say they win again by about 10 tonight. But the Spurs have dropped 4 in a row and it was the loss to the Cavs that has me worried for them. They have way too many injuries and not sure how much fight they have left in them. $20 bet on Denver.

 

MEM (-2) at NYK (2)

Pick: Bet $20 MEM

Total: 214.5 (Lean Under – 212)

Predicted Score: MEM 109 – NYK 103

Notes: Justise Winslow is our for Memphis – which should allow for a Randle to do even more damage. But not sure if that will be enough for New York. They aren’t playing great basketball right now and their EFG % is down to 49% over the past 2 weeks. Memphis has played very well on the road lately. I am a tad worried that this is their 4^th straight road game, but they should get it done today for their 5^th straight win.

 

MIN (8.5) at BOS (-8.5)

Pick: Lean MIN

Total: 228.5 (Lean Under – 224)

Predicted Score: MIN 109 – BOS 115

Notes: Evan Fournier will be out for Boston due to COVID-19 protocols.

 

CHI (2.5) at ATL (-2.5)

Pick: Lean CHI

Total: 226.5 (Lean Over – 230)

Predicted Score: CHI 114 – ATL 116

Notes: Chicago played last night and dominated Toronto but no players expected to rest today. Atlanta dealing with a slew of injuries (Gallinari – questionable, Capela – questionable, Collins – out, Dunn – out, Reddish – out).

 

PHI (-7.5) at NOP (7.5)

Pick: Lean NOP

Total: 225.5 (Lean Under – 220)

Predicted Score: PHI 112 – NOP 108

Notes: Lonzo Ball and Brandon Ingram both questionable for the Pelicans tonight.

 

CHA (9.5) at MIL (-9.5)

Pick: Lean CHA

Total: 225.5 (Lean Under – 216)

Predicted Score: CHA 109 – MIL 107

Notes: Milwaukee is coming off that road loss to Dallas yesterday. Charlotte is still without Gordon Hayward.

 

WAS (4.5) at GSW (-4.5)

Pick: Lean WAS

Total: 241 (Lean Under – 223)

Predicted Score: WAS 111 – GSW 112

Notes: Bradley Beal is probable for tonight.

 

HOU (13.5) at LAC (-13.5)

Pick: Lean HOU

Total: 224.5 (Lean Under – 221)

Predicted Score: HOU 107 – LAC 114

Notes: Clippers got a good win over Phoenix last night so interesting to see if anyone rests. Might not matter since John Wall is out for Houston.

 

NHL

To update on my season so far. Had an off day yesterday (like my worst this season): 1-9 in overall picks and 0-2 in bets. Despite that, I am 324-285 (53.20%) in picks, 93-72 (56.36%) in bets and up $245.57 in $20 base bets.

 

Pittsburgh Penguins (-170) at New Jersey Devils (150)

Pick: Bet $20 Devils

Notes: The Devils bounced back and beat the Sabres last night. In general, they have not looked good. And at home, the Devils have only 4 wins this season. The Penguins are coming off a solid game against the Rangers but I still don’t like them on the road and in a back-to-back, I think there could be a letdown here. There is enough value to bet the Devils. $20 bet on New Jersey.

 

Minnesota Wild (-117) at St. Louis Blues (107)

Pick: Bet $20 Wild

Notes: The Wild are a decent road team and should get a win over the hapless Blues. Yes, St. Louis beat Vegas on Wednesday to given them 5 home wins on the season. Only 1 more than the Devils. The Wild are coming off a big win over Colorado and I like them again tonight. $20 bet on Minnesota.

 

Washington Capitals (-240) at Buffalo Sabres (200)

Pick: Lean Capitals

Notes: Washington should get this win but hate that chalk.

 

Arizona Coyotes (198) at Vegas Golden Knights (-224)

Pick: Lean Golden Knights

Notes: Vegas has not played well recently and that payout for Arizona looks nice. But I just can’t get to the implied probability to risk it.

 

Colorado Avalanche (-356) at Anaheim Ducks (300)

Pick: Lean Avalanche

Notes: Lots of money on Anaheim trying to cash a lottery ticket. The sportsbooks seem to like that. A lean on Colorado.

 

Los Angeles Kings (113) at San Jose Sharks (-125)

Pick: Lean Kings

Notes: Sharks have been playing better lately and beat the Kings twice last week. I like LA to bounce back but not enough to bet them.

 

MLB

 

NYY (-135) at TB (124)

Pitchers: C. Kluber vs. R. Hill

Pick: Lean TB

 

WSH (252) at LAD (-283)

Pitchers: J. Ross vs. W. Buehler

Pick: Lean LAD

 

COL (141) at SF (-154)

Pitchers: A. Gomber vs. J. Cueto

Pick: Lean COL

 

LAA () at TOR ()

Pitchers: A. Heaney vs. T. Zeuch

Pick: n/a

 

DET (162) at CLE (-177)

Pitchers: J. Teheran vs. Z. Plesac

Pick: Lean CLE

 

PHI (116) at ATL (-126)

Pitchers: Z. Wheeler vs. C. Morton

Pick: Bet $20 PHI

 

SD (-185) at TEX (169)

Pitchers: J. Musgrove vs. K. Arihara

Pick: Bet $20 SD

 

OAK (149) at HOU (-163)

Pitchers: S. Manaea vs. L. McCullers Jr.

Pick: Lean HOU

 

CIN (-135) at ARI (124)

Pitchers: T. Mahle vs. T. Widener

Pick: Bet $20 CIN