Degen Show Part (7/23/21)

Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 7/23/21. Listen to the Degen’s MLB futures episode or their mulligan after the All Star break.

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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 7/23/21

MLB

 

ARI (123) at CHC (-133)

Pitchers: Z. Gallen (ERA: 4.02 – Road ERA: 3.66 – Avg. ML: 131) vs. Z. Davies (ERA: 4.49 – Home ERA: 4.37 – Avg. ML: 111)

Pick: Bet $10 ARI

Notes: The Diamondbacks are 11-38 on the road this season. They have not won a road series since they swept 3-games from the Reds in April. The Cubs, historically and more importantly, this season, have been fairly reliable at home this season. Chicago also just took 2 of 3 from the D-Backs last weekend.

But the Cubs are preparing for a firesale and that could mean an opportunity for the D-Backs to win a game or 2 in Chicago this weekend. It starts today with Zac with a C on the mound.

Gallen has pitched better on the road this year. He is still trying to go farther into games after dealing with a few injuries early on. And I think they get a better start from him today. Davies is a name that is being tossed around the trade market so I am thinking Chicago will be careful with this start today.

$10 bet on Arizona.

 

CWS (116) at MIL (-125)

Pitchers: L. Giolito (ERA: 3.95 – Road ERA: 5.05 – Avg. ML: -148) vs. F. Peralta (ERA: 2.46 – Home ERA: 2.12 – Avg. ML: -132)

Pick: Bet $10 MIL

Notes: Giolito has not been the staff ace for the White Sox but he gets pitted against some of the better pitchers from other teams. That will be the case again today as he draws Freddy Peralta today. Peralta has a 2.12 home ERA and his 0.90 WHIP is quite low – despite giving up more walks recently. While Milwaukee has not been a dominant home team, Chicago has been a mediocre road team. That’s something they will need to get better with if they hope to have a long playoff run.

I lost some money on the Brewers earlier this week when I bet on them to beat the Royals. So they owe me one.

$10 bet on the Brewers.

 

Leans

ATL (141) at PHI (-153)

Pitchers: M. Fried (ERA: 4.43 – Road ERA: 6.43 – Avg. ML: -130) vs. Z. Wheeler (ERA: 2.49 – Home ERA: 2.2 – Avg. ML: -112)

Pick: Lean PHI

 

WSH (-131) at BAL (121)

Pitchers: P. Corbin (ERA: 5.76 – Road ERA: 6.12 – Avg. ML: 109) vs. J. Lopez (ERA: 6.18 – Home ERA: 5.42 – Avg. ML: 152)

Pick: Lean BAL

 

SD () at MIA ()

Pitchers: J. Musgrove (ERA: 3.42 – Road ERA: 4.24 – Avg. ML: -143) vs. Z. Thompson (ERA: 1.8 – Home ERA: 1.64 – Avg. ML: 126)

Pick: TBD

 

STL (144) at CIN (-157)

Pitchers: W. LeBlanc (ERA: 4.38 – Road ERA: 3.29 – Avg. ML: 112) vs. T. Mahle (ERA: 3.89 – Home ERA: 6.48 – Avg. ML: -117)

Pick: Lean STL

 

NYY (-102) at BOS (-106)

Pitchers: G. Cole (ERA: 2.64 – Road ERA: 2.55 – Avg. ML: -182) vs. E. Rodriguez (ERA: 6.1 – Home ERA: 5.82 – Avg. ML: -106)

Pick: Lean NYY (Looks trappish with money hitting NY)

 

TB () at CLE ()

Pitchers: R. Hill (ERA: 3.94 – Road ERA: 4.19 – Avg. ML: -117) vs. Z. Plesac (ERA: 4.31 – Home ERA: 3.92 – Avg. ML: -104)

Pick: TBD

 

TOR (-104) at NYM (-104)

Pitchers: S. Matz (ERA: 4.56 – Road ERA: 3.79 – Avg. ML: -117) vs. T. Megill (ERA: 2.7 – Home ERA: 2.93 – Avg. ML: -109)

Pick: Lean NYM

 

LAA (-130) at MIN (120)

Pitchers: A. Cobb (ERA: 4.11 – Road ERA: 6.63 – Avg. ML: -109) vs. J. Happ (ERA: 6.31 – Home ERA: 4.42 – Avg. ML: -111)

Pick: Lean LAA

 

TEX (198) at HOU (-218)

Pitchers: K. Allard (ERA: 4.48 – Road ERA: 4.48 – Avg. ML: 145) vs. J. Odorizzi (ERA: 4.55 – Home ERA: 5.72 – Avg. ML: -122)

Pick: Lean HOU

 

DET (111) at KC (-120)

Pitchers: W. Peralta (ERA: 1.73 – Road ERA: 2.45 – Avg. ML: 159) vs. K. Bubic (ERA: 6.5 – Home ERA: 4.69 – Avg. ML: 131)

Pick: Lean DET

 

PIT (156) at SF (-170)

Pitchers: C. Kuhl (ERA: 4.39 – Road ERA: 6.16 – Avg. ML: 162) vs. J. Cueto (ERA: 4.12 – Home ERA: 3.29 – Avg. ML: -108)

Pick: Lean SF

 

COL () at LAD ()

Pitchers: C. Gonzalez (ERA: 6.02 – Road ERA: 6.66 – Avg. ML: 152) vs. D. Price (ERA: 2.18 – Home ERA: 2.14 – Avg. ML: -172)

Pick: TBD

 

OAK (-113) at SEA (105)

Pitchers: F. Montas (ERA: 4.45 – Road ERA: 4.34 – Avg. ML: -105) vs. Y. Kikuchi (ERA: 3.89 – Home ERA: 4.48 – Avg. ML: 116)

Pick: Lean OAK