Max Bet NFL Week 3 Bets

Saxy Maxy and Mad Max talk about their NFL Week 3 bets. They see what lines have changed, what are the key injuries and then rapid fire their picks. Listen to the Degen’s NBA Totals show, NHL win Totals episode, or MLB win Totals one too.

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Max’s NFL Week 3 Bets

Sports Bet Picks for 9/25/22

Kansas City (-5.5) vs. Indianapolis (5.5)
Spread: Bet $50 Kansas City
Total: Lean Under 49.5
Predicted Score: Kansas City 27 – Indianapolis 20 (47)
Notes: The Colts come home to play their first home game of the season.

Being an 0-1-1 team – with a tie to the Texans and a 24-0 loss to the Jags was not what they imagined this season.

But when your QB has 1 TD and 4 INTs on the season, you rank 26th in time of possession and you third down conversion rate is 9% worse compared to last season, then you are in trouble.

The Chiefs are coming off a close win over the Chargers but man, this team looks damn good through 2 games.

Mahomes has 595 yards with 7 TDs and no INTs.

And it seems like his luck is back.

Maybe that luck gets tested today on the road – but their first road game of the season was a 44-21 blowout of the Cardinals.

I like the Chiefs today to win and cover.

$50 bet on the Chiefs.

 

Detroit (6) vs. Minnesota (-6)
Spread: Bet $50 Detroit
Total: Lean Under 52.5
Predicted Score: Detroit 25 – Minnesota 27 (52)
Notes: Primetime Kirk showed up once again and the Vikings were humiliated on Monday Night Football.

Now they return home to face off against one of the most dynamic offenses in the league this season.

And no, I am not joking.

Jared Fucking Goff has this team averaging 35.5 points per game.

His connection with Amon St. Brown is looking like one of the best in the league.

Deandre Swift is producing like one of the best backs in the game and they have one of the best offensive lines in the game.

Can they actually upset the Vikings today?

Possibly.

But I’m more interested in taking the points.

I think this is way too much disrespect on Detroit.

$50 bet on the Lions.

 

Houston (3) vs. Chicago (-3)
Spread: Bet $50 Houston
Total: Lean Over 39
Predicted Score: Houston 20 – Chicago 21 (41)
Notes: This was a game I hit earlier in the week with Houston +3.

I’m glad I can still get them +3 on the show right now.

Chicago got that surprise win over the Niners to kick off the season.

But it was weather that assisted them in that.

They have a major QB issue with Justin Fields not looking like a starter in this league at this point.

Houston’s Davis Mills’ has had more yards in one game this season than Fields has had in both of his combined.

I like Mills too.

He showed lots of promise last season on a team void of talent.

Both offenses leave a lot to be desired but that means a lower scoring game.

And in those, getting 3 is always nice.

$50 bet on the Texans.

 

Jacksonville (3.5) vs. LA Chargers (-3.5)
Spread: Lean Jacksonville
Total: Lean Over 42.5
Predicted Score: Jacksonville 22 – LA Chargers 23 (45)

Notes: This was a late add to my picks this morning.

I really hemmed and hawed over if I was going to do it.

Mostly because I am waiting for the bottom to fall out from under Jacksonville.

But maybe it won’t.

They are 9th in the league in time of possession, 8th in red zone attempts, and have a top 10 defense right now.

The Chargers will test all of that today for sure.

But the big question for them is the health of Justin Herbert.

He’s listed as questionable and I don’t think the Chargers will push him if there’s a risk of it getting worse.

Trevor Lawrence looks to be improving and James Robinson is a force to be reckoned with this year.

$50 bet on the Jaguars.

Leans

Baltimore (-2.5) vs. New England (2.5)
Spread: Lean New England
Total: Lean Over 44
Predicted Score: Baltimore 23 – New England 22 (45)

New Orleans (-2.5) vs. Carolina (2.5)
Spread: Lean Carolina
Total: Lean Over 41
Predicted Score: New Orleans 23 – Carolina 22 (45)

Philadelphia (-6.5) vs. Washington (6.5)
Spread: Lean Washington
Total: Lean Over 47.5
Predicted Score: Philadelphia 27 – Washington 22 (49)

Buffalo (-4.5) vs. Miami (4.5)
Spread: Lean Buffalo
Total: Lean Under 52.5
Predicted Score: Buffalo 26 – Miami 19 (45)

Cincinnati (-6) vs. NY Jets (6)
Spread: Lean NY Jets
Total: Lean Over 44.5
Predicted Score: Cincinnati 25 – NY Jets 20 (45)

Las Vegas (-1.5) vs. Tennessee (1.5)
Spread: Lean Las Vegas
Total: Lean Over 45.5
Predicted Score: Las Vegas 24 – Tennessee 22 (46)

Green Bay (1) vs. Tampa Bay (-1)
Spread: Lean Tampa Bay
Total: Lean Under 42
Predicted Score: Green Bay 17 – Tampa Bay 21 (38)

Atlanta (1) vs. Seattle (-1)
Spread: Lean Seattle
Total: Lean Over 42.5
Predicted Score: Atlanta 24 – Seattle 26 (50)

LA Rams (-3.5) vs. Arizona (3.5)
Spread: Lean Arizona
Total: Lean Over 48.5
Predicted Score: LA Rams 26 – Arizona 26 (52)

San Francisco (-1.5) vs. Denver (1.5)
Spread: Lean San Francisco
Total: Lean Under 44.5
Predicted Score: San Francisco 18 – Denver 16 (34)

About the Author

Mad Max is a gentle soul who enjoys drinking gin, grooming his beard and betting on sports.

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