NBA and NHL Bets! March 5th Degeneracy

Max’s Notes:

NBA

Nuggets at Hornets 

Denver will try to shake off their loss against the Warriors as they hit the road to Charlotte to play the Hornets. Charlotte has lost two in a row but continues to be competitive. They will be without Devonte’ Graham who is listed as questionable with an ankle injury. Denver is 17-12 straight up and 14-14-1 ATS on the road this season. I think they cover this one tonight. I’ll bet Denver.

Clippers at Rockets

The Clippers have won 5 in a row and they head to Houston where the Rockets look to forget their Missile performance against the Knicks on Monday. Houston is a good home team – posting a 21-8 record. But the Clippers have been better on the road lately and find themselves as a dog for only the 9th time this season. I think they win outright here but I’ll take the point if it’s there. Betting LA.

76ers at Kings

The Sixers are missing their two best players and are in the middle of a 4 game California road trip. They have lost the first two to the LA teams and after the Kings today they head to San Francisco to play the Steph Curry-led Warriors on Sunday. Philly is 9-23 on the road and face a Kings team that has won 7 of 10. I’ve been cashing in with fools gold lately and the books keep accepting it.  Just seems a bit too much today. I’ll lean Sacramento.

Raptors at Warriors 

It’s finally the return of Steph Curry. And I bet that Draymond Green’s sore knee is better in time for tip-off. Which makes betting this game a bit tougher. Without Curry, this is a double digit win by the Raptors. But until we can see what Steph brings to the table today, I can only lean the Raptors.

NHL

Penguins at Sabres

Pittsburgh broke their losing streak on Tuesday and now head to Buffalo to play a Sabres team that has lost 4 in a row. For as good as the Penguins are, they are only 15-15-2 on the road. For the season, Buffalo has been solid at home but that’s not been a guarantee lately. The money is hard on the Sabres and I tend to agree it’s a nice value play. I’ll bet Buffalo.

Canadiens at Lightning

Montreal has won 2 in a row and continue to play better on the road than at home. The problem is that they head to Tampa where the Lightning are 21-10-2. Tampa is coming off a home loss to the Bruins on Tuesday and hard to imagine them losing two in a row at home but that happened just last week. So crazier things can happen here. Money and public are on Tampa and line is getting better. I’m leaning Montreal here as another value play.

Bruins at Panthers

The Bruins have won 3 in a row and the Panthers have lost 3 in a row. They meet up in Florida tonight where the Panthers are 16-14-3 this season. The Bruins are a fairly good road team and the chalk here isn’t too much to take. I’ll bet Boston to get this one.

Capitals at Rangers

The Capitals are coming off that loss to the Flyers yesterday and now face a Rangers team that has lost 3 in a row and just lost Chris Kreider for several weeks. The Rangers still have hope of getting into the playoffs but need to pick up wins. The Capitals are trying to hold off Philly as the top seed from the Metropolitan division and look to improve their already stellar 22-10-1 away record. I’ll lean the Rangers here.

Hurricanes at Flyers

Carolina has lost 3 in a row and their playoff hopes are slipping. So they definitely don’t want to be facing the red hot Flyers here. I know Philly is playing in a back to back but it’s hard to bet against them. They have won 7 in a row and have a +12 goal differential over their last 5. Philly is 23-5-4 at home and they add another tonight. I’ll bet the Flyers.

Islanders at Senators 

The Islanders have lost 4 in a row and while their offense has been problematic all season, now their defense is faltering too. That strong defense is what has kept them in the playoff picture and if they don’t turn things around they might find themselves on the outside look in. And as bad as Ottawa has been this year they are a pretty good home team. The sharps seem to be on the Senators and I don’t hate that play. I’ll lean Ottawa.

Stars at Predators 

Both teams have lost 3 in a row and for Dallas, it’s dropped them in playoff seeding. The Stars have been pretty good on the road this season and Nashville is definitely beatable there. The money and public are on the Stars and line has gotten better for them. I’ll lean the Predators here.

Oilers at Blackhawks 

Two teams that have won 3 in a row and for the Blackhawks, they have managed to get above .500 at home and on the road in that stretch. Edmonton continues their road trip and find themselves as dogs in this one. Something seems off here with all of the money on Edmonton. I’d avoid this one completely.

Maple Leafs at Kings

After winning 3 straight the Kings are ready for their playoff push. Well, not quite. They still have the second worst record in the league. But their improved play – including wins over Pittsburgh and Vegas – has to worry Toronto a bit. The Maple Leafs are more than likely guaranteed a playoff spot but still can not afford to lose many more games just in case Florida gets on a hot streak and sneaks in over them. They should get it done today but I would not be shocked if LA won. I’ll lean Toronto.

Wild at Sharks

Minnesota is wedged in with 4 other teams in the West who are vying for the two wild card spots. They have played very well lately and have been a team that I like betting on when the value is there. Not seeing the value today. San Jose has won 3 in a row and have a winning home record. The Wild have been iffy away from Minnesota. I’ll only lean the Wild here.