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Degen Show Part (1/6/2021)
Your favorite Degens give you their NBA Bet Picks for 1/6/21. Listen to their NBA win totals episode for more NBA action.
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Max’s NBA Bet Picks for 1/6/21
Bets
Charlotte at Atlanta
Spread: ATL -6 (Lean Charlotte)
Total: 232 (219 – Bet $20 on Under)
Predicted Score: Hawks 111 – Hornets 108
Overview: The Hornets have lost 3 in a row after consecutive losses to the Sixers. All three of the recent losses have been ugly with turnovers being a major issue. Charlotte is 23rd in turnovers per game and if they expect to stay competitive, Rozier and Ball need to be a lot more careful with their court vision.
The Hawks have lost two in a row to drop their record to 4-3. Their offense started the season well-balanced but they have fallen into some bad habits once again by relying on Trae Young too much and living and dying by the 3.
Atlanta should get the win today but I don’t think they cover. That said, I can’t trust the Hornets after they screwed me over the last few games. I’ll lean the Hornets but I will throw $20 on the under in this one.
Oklahoma City at New Orleans
Spread: NO -8 (Bet $20 on OKC)
Total: 212.5 (223 – Bet $20 on Over)
Predicted Score: Pelicans 115 – Thunder 108
Overview: OKC is 2-4 on the year and have not looked competitive over their last 4 games. They rank last in the league in points per game and last in offensive efficiency. They have done better defensively but even that has been an issue the past few games.
New Orleans is coming off a tough OT loss to the Pacers on Monday and also find scoring to be a problem. With that, the total is very low and I expect this to go over. So I will bet $20 on the over and I also think OKC can keep this within 8. It’s close but I’ll still bet $20 on the Thunder.
Detroit at Milwaukee
Spread: MIL -13.5 (Bet $20 on Milwaukee)
Total: 226.5 (Lean Over – 227)
Predicted Score: Bucks 122 – Pistons 105
Overview: These two teams matched up on Monday and the Bucks only won by 10. So seeing a 13.5 line gives me some pause. But the Bucks offensive metrics are stellar and their defense is starting to pick up too.
Giannis is averaging 26 points and 11 rebounds per game and the rest of the team is feeding off that. Milwaukee is shooting 59.5% in effective field goal percentage – which ranks 1st in the league. They also rank 1st in 3 point %, offensive efficiency, and points per game. When they lose, it comes down to turnovers and offensive rebounding – but they are improving on that.
The Bucks are only 4-3 but you get the feeling that they are about to turn things up. And I think that begins tonight in a big win over the Pistons. I’ll bet $20 on the Bucks to cover this one.
Leans
Houston at Indiana
Spread: IND -2 (Lean Houston)
Total: 226.5 (Lean Over – 227)
Predicted Score: Rockers 117 – Pacers 110
Washington at Philadelphia
Spread: PHI -6.5 (Lean Washington)
Total: 231.5 (Lean Under – 228)
Predicted Score: Sixers 115 – Wizards 113
Cleveland at Orlando
Spread: ORL -6 (Lean Cleveland)
Total: n/a
Predicted Score: Cavs 109 – Magic 108
Boston at Miami
Spread: MIA -2.5 (Lean Boston)
Total: 218 (Lean Over – 220)
Predicted Score: Celtics 111 – Heat 109
Utah at New York
Spread: UTA -6 (Lean New York)
Total: 214.5 (Lean Over – 218)
Predicted Score: Jazz 111 – Knicks 107
Toronto at Phoenix
Spread: PHO -3.5 (Lean Toronto)
Total: 217 (Lean Under – 216)
Predicted Score: Raptors 110 – Suns 106
Chicago at Sacramento
Spread: SAC -7 (Lean Chicago)
Total: 231.5 (Lean Under – 221)
Predicted Score: Bulls 113 – Kings 108
LA Clippers at Golden State
Spread: LAC -5 (Lean Golden State)
Total: n/a
Predicted Score: Warriors 112 – Clippers 111