Degen Show Part (2/10/21)
Your favorite Degens give you their NBA Bet Picks for 2/10/21 and there’s some hockey picks below too. Listen to their NBA win totals episode for more NBA action.
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Max’s NBA Bet Picks for 2/10/21
I was 4-3 on my picks but 2-0 on my bets. Stayed in the black for at least one more day.
Charlotte (4) at Memphis (-4)
Pick: Bet $20 Charlotte
Total: 226 (Lean Under – 221)
Predicted Score: Charlotte 111 – Memphis 110
Overview: The Grizzlies were unbeatable. Until they weren’t. Now they have lost 4 in a row and host a dangerous Hornets team. Charlotte is coming off a big win over Houston two days ago. A game that saw Lamelo Ball go for 24 points, 7 rebounds and 10 assists. That included seven 3-pointers – which makes him 21 for 40 from three over his last six games.
Memphis has struggled mightily their last few games and in general, hasn’t been a good home team. Their effective field goal % is 4% lower at home than on the road – while Charlotte’s is about a point better on the road than at home.
I have Charlotte outright winning this one but I will take the points and bet $20 on the Hornets.
Atlanta (4) at Dallas (-4)
Pick: Bet $20 Atlanta
Total: 233 (Lean Under – 226)
Predicted Score: Atlanta 115 – Dallas 111
Overview: Both teams entered the season with high hopes that their young stars would push them to the playoffs. Right now, neither team has that trajectory though Dallas has managed to win 3 of 5 games. That includes 2 home games that improved their home record to 4-7 on the year.
Playing at home in Dallas this season has not been great for them. Their offensive and defensive metrics are worse at home than on the road. Atlanta happens to be a slightly better team on the road than at home. Atlanta hasn’t played in 4 days while Dallas played two games in that stretch. So the Hawks might be a little fresher.
I’m going to bet $20 on the Hawks.
Indiana (2.5) at Brooklyn (-2.5)
Pick: Lean Brooklyn
Total: 234.5 (Lean Under – 233)
Predicted Score: Brooklyn 118 – Indiana 115
Toronto (-5.5) at Washington (5.5)
Pick: Lean Washington
Total: 229.5 (Lean Over – 231)
Predicted Score: Toronto 116 – Washington 115
LA Clippers (-8.5) at Minnesota (8.5)
Pick: Lean Minnesota
Total: 226.5 (Lean Under – 220)
Predicted Score: LA Clippers 111 – Minnesota 109
New Orleans (-3) at Chicago (3)
Pick: Lean Chicago
Total: 230 (Lean Under – 226)
Predicted Score: Chicago 115 – New Orleans 111
Cleveland (9.5) at Denver (-9.5)
Pick: Lean Cleveland
Total: 223 (Lean Under – 221)
Predicted Score: Denver 114 – Cleveland 107
Oklahoma City (12.5) at LA Lakers (-12.5)
Pick: Lean Oklahoma City
Total: 218.5 (Lean Over – 221)
Predicted Score: LA Lakers 115 – Oklahoma City 106
Milwaukee (-5) at Phoenix (5)
Pick: Lean Milwaukee
Total: 225.5 (Lean Under – 224)
Predicted Score: Milwaukee 115 – Phoenix 109
Max’s Salty NHL Bets for 2/10/21
The Philly game was postponed because of COVID issues so my lone bet was cancelled out. But I was 5-2 on my other picks. That puts me at 112-74 (60%) in my season picks and 30-22 in bets (up $122 in base $20 bets).
Boston Bruins (-150) at New York Rangers (135)
Pick: Lean New York
Notes: The value is with New York but Boston is a scary team. I posted in the social Degeneracy posts about their metrics. Basically, their PDO is the 3rd lowest in the league yet they are 8-1. Scary.
Toronto Maple Leafs (-105) at Montreal Canadiens (-105)
Pick: Bet Toronto
Notes: This should be a fun one. I like Toronto’s advanced metrics a bit better than Montreal’s but the Canadiens are just starting to get into a groove. So I expect to see some positive regression for them.