Degen Show Part (2/23/21)
Your favorite Degens give you their NBA Bet Picks for 2/23/21 and there’s some hockey picks below too. Listen to their NBA win totals episode for more NBA action.
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Max’s NBA Bet Picks for 2/23/21
Minnesota (11) at Milwaukee (-11)
Pick: Bet $20 Minnesota
Total: 231.5 (Lean Under – 228)
Predicted Score: Milwaukee 117 – Minnesota 111
Overview: The Bucks have beaten some bad teams lately and by a lot – covering double digit spreads in consecutive games. It seems to be their bread and butter. Now how that plays out in the playoffs, that’s a different story. But for tonight, they get another bad team and another double-digit spread.
The Timberwolves are a young team who just got a new coach. After firing Ryan Saunders, Minnesota acted quickly and outright hired a new coach in Raptors’ assistant Chris Finch. Finch has a history with Minnesota’s VP of Basketball Operations and was one of the more enticing assistant coaches out there.
Normally I’d like a team on a post-coach-bump but this is different. Most situations involve an assistant who knows the players and the playbook and is just a new voice in the locker room. This is a whole new coach with a new system. So any dividends won’t be seen for a few weeks.
But am I dismissing Minnesota here tonight? No. Minnesota has managed to keep games close lately and while Milwaukee will get a win today, I have the winning by about 6 or 7. So a $20 bet on Minnesota.
Golden State (-1.5) at New York (1.5)
Pick: Bet $20 Golden State
Total: 215.5 (Lean Over – 217)
Predicted Score: Golden State 114 – New York 103
Overview: Steph Curry is listed as questionable in this game after being a late scratch to his last game. And Draymond Green has been on an apology tour ever since getting ejected in the final seconds against Charlotte – resulting in a tie that eventually became a loss. My predictions are that Curry does end up playing and Green is focused on playing his best basketball tonight.
Which means I like Golden State to cover this line.
Yes, I know, the Knicks. My goddamn kryptonite. And the Warriors have not treated me well lately. And yes, I know, the Knicks have won 4 of 5 games and have a 3-game home win streak going on while the Warriors are 5-9 on the road.
And yes, I know, the Knicks beat the Warriors 119-104 last time they played.
So why am I taking the Warriors? Factoring in the Knicks defense and Golden State being on the road, the Warriors effective field goal % is still better than New York’s. That means even if the Knicks play their best defense and Curry misses the game, there is still a chance that the Warriors shoot better from the field than the Knicks.
Golden State makes 5 more 3-pointers per game than New York does. It could take a hit with Curry out, but still, I just think the Warriors can survive a cold quarter of shooting while New York might need to shoot great all game to keep up with the Warriors.
So yes, a $20 bet on the Warriors here.
Atlanta (-7) at Cleveland (7)
Pick: Lean Cleveland
Total: 228.5 (Lean Under – 222)
Predicted Score: Atlanta 114 – Cleveland 108
Detroit (3.5) at Orlando (-3.5)
Pick: Lean Detroit
Total: 207 (Lean Over – 220)
Predicted Score: Detroit 111 – Orlando 109
Boston (-1.5) at Dallas (1.5)
Pick: Lean Dallas
Total: 225.5 (Lean Over – 225)
Predicted Score: Boston 113 – Dallas 112
Notes: Dallas is in a back-to-back and Porzingis is questionable with a tight back.
Sacramento (7.5) at Brooklyn (-7.5)
Pick: Lean Sacramento
Total: 242 (Lean Under – 238)
Predicted Score: Brooklyn 122 – Sacramento 116
Philadelphia (-1.5) at Toronto (1.5)
Pick: Lean Toronto
Total: 224.5 (Lean Under – 223)
Predicted Score: Philadelphia 112 – Toronto 111
Portland (7.5) at Denver (-7.5)
Pick: Lean Portland
Total: 230.5 (Lean Under – 230)
Predicted Score: Denver 117 – Portland 113
Washington (9.5) at LA Clippers (-9.5)
Pick: Lean Washington
Total: 235.5 (Lean Under – 230)
Predicted Score: Washington 116 – LA Clippers 114
Max’s Salty NHL Bets for 2/23/21
5-3 in picks and 1-0 in bets yesterday. That puts me at 151-115 in picks and 40-35 in bets (up $82.32 in $20 base bets).
Chicago Blackhawks (111) at Columbus Blue Jackets (-123)
Pick: Bet Chicago
Edmonton Oilers (-129) at Vancouver Canucks (116)
Pick: Bet Vancouver
Montreal Canadiens (-221) at Ottawa Senators (195)
Pick: Lean Montreal
Pittsburgh Penguins (-103) at Washington Capitals (-107)
Pick: Lean Washington
Buffalo Sabres (110) at New Jersey Devils (-130)
Pick: Lean Buffalo
Nashville Predators (-156) at Detroit Red Wings (141)
Pick: Lean Detroit