Degen Show Part (2/26/21)
Your favorite Degens give you their NBA Bet Picks for 2/26/21 and there’s some hockey picks below too. Listen to their NBA win totals episode for more NBA action.
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Max’s NBA Bet Picks for 2/26/21
Sacramento (-1) at Detroit (1)
Pick: Bet $20 Sacramento
Total: 224 (Lean Over – 228)
Predicted Score: Sacramento 115 – Detroit 113
Overview: Let’s start off with the game of the night! After last night’s trouncing by the Knicks, the Kings have lost 9 in a row. Not a single one of those losses was close – including a double-digit loss to Orlando. The Kings have by far the worst defense in the league and if a team like Orlando can drop 123 points on you, then you should be worried that the Pistons drop 150.
The Kings are 5-9 on the road and are game 5 of their road trip. Of course the Pistons have only one win recently – over the Magic. So this should make for an exciting match-up. But I do think ultimately Sacramento breaks their losing streak and pulls out a win. Their effective field goal % is 9th in the league and 4% better than Detroit’s. They have the wherewithal to withstand a bad quarter while Detroit doesn’t.
Granted, against the King’s defense that ranks last in opponent’s effective field goal % – and is allowing an astounding 61% over their last 3 games – it’s possible Detroit doesn’t miss much tonight.
Still, I’ll drop $20 on the Kings here.
Phoenix (-5.5) at Chicago (5.5)
Pick: Bet $20 Chicago
Total: 228.5 (Lean Under – 225)
Predicted Score: Chicago 113 – Phoenix 112
Overview: This was almost a moneyline bet for me. I do have Chicago winning this game but I was turned off by the fact that Phoenix dropped their last game to Charlotte. This is a damn good team and it’s hard to imagine them losing back-to-back games too often. But we’ve learned that Chicago is a dangerous team.
Chicago has a top 10 offense and their Achilles heel has been their defense. But now they have moved up to 18th in defensive efficiency and that’s been a huge difference. They can still be scored on – but they have made key stops that they weren’t a few weeks ago. If they can sustain that, the Bulls could be a team that you wouldn’t want to face in a first round playoff matchup. Zach Lavine is such a versatile and, at times, an unstoppable scorer that can lift the team to wins … if they play a modicum of defense.
While the temptation was there for a moneyline, I’ll just take the points. $20 bet on the Bulls.
Portland (5) at LA Lakers (-5)
Pick: Bet $20 Lakers
Total: 222 (Lean Over – 227)
Predicted Score: LA Lakers 117 – Portland 110
Overview: A couple of years ago, LeBron went to LA and the team didn’t make the playoffs. A lot of that season was him nursing a sore groin and waiting it out until Anthony Davis could join him. AD final did and they won a title. Now, life without AD has begun and the Lakers have lost 4 in a row.
On the other side of the court tonight is a dangerous Blazers team that, despite losing 3 in a row – including 2 in a row on the road – are 5th in the West and boast a 10-7 road record.
So why am I betting the Lakers here? Shooting. As in the Lakers are a better shooting team when it comes to effective field goal % and are much better at defending other teams. And with Dennis Schroder listed as probable for tonight, they get another offensive weapon and a guy that will keep Dame Lillard on his toes tonight.
Without AD, a 5-game losing streak is definitely possible for this Lakers team. I just don’t think it’s likely. $20 bet on the Lakers.
Indiana (3) at Boston (-3)
Pick: Lean Indiana
Total: 219 (Lean Over – 224)
Predicted Score: Indiana 113 – Boston 111
Houston (7.5) at Toronto (-7.5)
Pick: Lean Houston
Total: 220 (Lean Over – 223)
Predicted Score: Houston 112 – Toronto 111
LA Clippers (-6.5) at Memphis (6.5)
Pick: Lean Memphis
Total: 226.5 (Lean Under – 221)
Predicted Score: Memphis 111 – LA Clippers 110
Utah (-6.5) at Miami (6.5)
Pick: Lean Utah
Total: 217.5 (Lean Under – 217)
Predicted Score: Utah 112 – Miami 105
Atlanta (-3.5) at Oklahoma City (3.5)
Pick: Lean Oklahoma City
Total: 223.5 (Lean Under – 223)
Predicted Score: Atlanta 112 – Oklahoma City 111
Charlotte (6.5) at Golden State (-6.5)
Pick: Lean Charlotte
Total: 231 (Lean Under – 225)
Predicted Score: Golden State 114 – Charlotte 111
Max’s Salty NHL Bets for 2/26/21
I was 5-5 in overall picks yesterday but went 2-1 in bets (up $14.25). That puts me at 162 -127 in picks, 44-37 in bets and up $131.37 on the season.
Los Angeles Kings (140) at Minnesota Wild (-156)
Pick: Bet Minnesota
Boston Bruins (-165) at New York Rangers (145)
Pick: Lean New York
Colorado Avalanche (-170) at Arizona Coyotes (153)
Pick: Lean Colorado