Degen Show Part (2/5/21)
Your favorite Degens give you their NBA Bet Picks for 2/5/21 and there’s some hockey picks below too. Listen to their NBA win totals episode for more NBA action.
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Max’s NBA Bet Picks for 2/5/21
Chicago (-2) at Orlando (2)
Pick: Bet $20 Chicago
Total: 222 (Lean Over – 224)
Predicted Score: Chicago 116 – Orlando 108
Overview: Orlando has lost 4 in a row and while they have managed to get over 100 points in 3 of those 4 games, their offense still seems to be one of the less desirable ones in the league. Orlando is 27th in the league in offensive efficiency and over their last 3 games, they are last. Aaron Gordon remains out and trade rumors are swirling around Vucevic – with Boston as a potential landing spot.
For Chicago, it’s the same old song and dance I’ve said about them lately. If they could manage to play any defense whatsoever, this would be a pretty good team. Their offense is pretty damn good – ranked 5th in effective field goal % and 7th in points per game.
Other than defense, turnovers plague this team while Orlando is great at not turning the ball over. It could be the difference in this game and maybe it ends up biting me in the ass – but all signs say to bet $20 on the Bulls to win and cover this game on the road.
Washington (6.5) at Miami (-6.5)
Pick: Bet $20 Washington
Total: 228.5 (Lean Under – 225)
Predicted Score: Washington 116 – Miami 109
Overview: In my continuing trend of betting on teams that the metrics say should be much better than their record indicates, let’s talk once again about Washington. Washington beat Miami just two days ago and without sounding like a Spotify playlist that won’t load – that’s my attempt to modernize being a broken record – it’s always iffy betting on a team who won the first game of a miniseries in the NBA this season.
But I am not expecting them to win. I mean, my metrics say they should, but I just need them to stay within the 6.5 they are getting. Washington has been really great at reducing turnovers lately and their offensive numbers are pretty damn amazing. The problem is their defense. As in, they play no defense.
Still, I will throw $20 on Washington here and hope they come up with a few stops here and there to avoid Miami from running away with this one.
Utah (-7.5) at Charlotte (7.5)
Pick: Bet $20 Charlotte
Total: 222.5 (Lean Under – 219)
Predicted Score: Utah 111 – Charlotte 108
Overview: The Hornets had a nice 3-game winning streak going but ran into the buzzsaw that is Philly two days ago. Though after last night’s shitshow by the Sixers, maybe they are more like a handsaw. Because damn they looked tired out there. But I digress. Can’t spend too much time hating on Philly, can we?
The Hornets don’t get a chance to get an easy win tonight as they host the redhot Utah Jazz tonight. Utah has just one loss since January 8th. They are also 8-2 over their last 10 ATS and 13-7 ATS this season as a favorite. But the Hornets are team that plays competitively and getting a big number like this is a tempting bet for sure.
Charlotte isn’t a great team and their metrics are all middle of the pack. But they are far from the bad team I thought they would be. I’ll toss $20 on the Hornets here.
New Orleans (2.5) at Indiana (-2.5)
Pick: Lean Indiana
Total: 227 (Lean Under – 223)
Predicted Score: Indiana 114 – New Orleans 109
Milwaukee (-10) at Cleveland (10)
Pick: Lean Cleveland
Total: 227.5 (Lean Under – 223)
Predicted Score: Milwaukee 116 – Cleveland 107
Toronto (4.5) at Brooklyn (-4.5)
Pick: Lean Toronto
Total: 242 (Lean Under – 232)
Predicted Score: Brooklyn 118 – Toronto 114
Minnesota (-2.5) at Oklahoma City (2.5)
Pick: Lean Oklahoma City
Total: 219.5 (Lean Over – 225)
Predicted Score: Oklahoma City 113 – Minnesota 112
Detroit (8) at Phoenix (-8)
Pick: Lean Detroit
Total: 214.5 (Lean Over – 220)
Predicted Score: Phoenix 111 – Detroit 109
Boston (5) at LA Clippers (-5)
Pick: Lean Boston
Total: 221 (Lean Over – 223)
Predicted Score: LA Clippers 113 – Boston 110
Notes: I should be betting Boston here but Boston struggles against really good teams. Part of that is bad shot selection (depending on midrange jumpers). Boston will miss Marcus Smarts’ defense against a team like the Clippers. I have this closer to LAC by 3 so I will still lean Boston.
Max’s Salty NHL Bets for 2/5/21
Okay, a better day yesterday for sure. I went 5-3 on my picks and 1-0 on my bets (it was a chalky game so I only made $11). Still, that puts me up $72 on the season (base $20 bets) and 26-20 on my bets. As for my picks, I am 93-64.
Boston Bruins (-129) at Philadelphia Flyers (117)
Pick: Bet Philadelphia
Notes: No, I’m not chasing waterfalls here. Philly should have won the last game and as the plus line again, the value is there to try again.
Nashville Predators (103) at Florida Panthers (-119)
Pick: Lean Florida
Detroit Red Wings (318) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-365)
Pick: Lean Detroit
Notes: Yes, the value is still on Detroit here. Based on their shots, they are an unlucky team that should balance out eventually while Tampa is one of the luckier teams.
San Jose Sharks (101) at Anaheim Ducks (-111)
Pick: Lean San Jose
Los Angeles Kings (219) at Vegas Golden Knights (-246)
Pick: Lean Vegas