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Degen Show Part (2/9/21)
Your favorite Degens give you their NBA Bet Picks for 2/9/21 and there’s some hockey picks below too. Listen to their NBA win totals episode for more NBA action.
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Max’s NBA Bet Picks for 2/9/21
I was 5-3 on my ATS picks yesterday but 0-3 on my bets. That hit my wallet for $60 and now I am barely in the black on the season (like by mere cents). I am 6-11 in my bets over the past 9 days.
New York (6.5) at Miami (-6.5)
Pick: Bet $20 New York
Total: 208 (Lean Over – 213)
Predicted Score: Miami 107 – New York 106
Overview: There is no hiding from the fact that my NBA picks are slumping. The past month has seen me lose that $300 surplus I got fat on with early season betting. Now the harsh realities of last season’s NBA are betting are coming back to me and I recall the mid-season slump that was saved only by a pause and reboot in the season. That probably won’t happen this year so my only hope for this Tuesday nigh lies with the New York Knicks.
In other words, I’m fucked.
The Knicks and I have been on opposite sides all year. I think they are going to play well, they prove me wrong. I think they are going to suck, they prove me wrong. So now I will take a different tact with them. I’ll bet on them but I won’t believe in them.
Yes, I will ignore their Top 5 ranked defense and I won’t tout how their effective field goal % is up about 5% over their last 3 games. I won’t talk about their solid offensive rebounding numbers nor their ability to limit turnovers. Maybe instead I can talk about their league’s worst offense. Only, it’s been playing better lately and now they will add Derek Rose to the mix.
Let’s just stop talking about the Knicks altogether and focus on Miami. They’ve won two in a row and beat these very Knicks by 6 points just 2 days ago. But it was only a 3 point game until the fouling at the end happened.
For fucks sakes, enough dillydallying. I’ll get it over with. I’ll bet $20 on the Knicks.
Golden State (1) at San Antonio (-1)
Pick: Bet $20 Golden State
Total: 233 (Lean Under – 227)
Predicted Score: Golden State 116 – San Antonio 111
Overview: We’ve been doing this show for a few years now and I once coined the phrase “don’t go chasing waterfalls.” It has nothing to do with any song that may or may not have existed by a female pop group with a 3-letter acronym. I say that not only at the request of the Absolute Degeneracy legal team but also as a way of explaining what it feels like I might be about to do.
I had the Warriors outright winning the game yesterday. They lost by 5. Dejounte Murray had 27 points, 10 rebounds and 8 steals while DeMar Derozan dropped 21 points and 10 assists. Steph Curry led scorers with 32 points despite being benched for half of the 4th quarter.
The Warriors entered the 4th leading by 2 points. When Curry hit the bench, San Antonio’s lead swelled to 8 at the most. Curry managed to get the game to within 1 with 9 seconds left and then the foulfest happened.
After the game, Steve Kerr said he won’t impact the longevity of Curry’s career by chasing wins.
Well, hopefully Curry is well rested tonight as he helps me chase waterfalls. I’ll bet $20, once again, on the Golden State Warriors.
Meaningless Leans
Brooklyn (-7) at Detroit (7)
Pick: Lean Detroit
Total: 232 (Lean Under – 231)
Predicted Score: Brooklyn 119 – Detroit 112
Houston (5.5) at New Orleans (-5.5)
Pick: Lean Houston
Total: 222 (Lean Over – 224)
Predicted Score: Houston 114 – New Orleans 110
Philadelphia (-5) at Sacramento (5)
Pick: Lean Philadelphia
Total: 231.5 (Lean Under – 226)
Predicted Score: Philadelphia 116 – Sacramento 110
Boston (5.5) at Utah (-5.5)
Pick: Lean Boston
Total: 220.5 (Lean Under – 220)
Predicted Score: Utah 112 – Boston 108
Orlando (6) at Portland (-6)
Pick: Lean Orlando
Total: 223.5 (Lean Over – 225)
Predicted Score: Portland 114 – Orlando 111
Max’s Salty NHL Bets for 2/9/21
Somewhat of an off day yesterday. I was 3-3 in my picks and 0-1 in my bets (down $20). That puts me at 107-72 in my overall season picks, 30-22 in my bets and up $122.57 (with $20 base bets).
Philadelphia Flyers (-119) at Washington Capitals (108)
Pick: Bet Washington
Detroit Red Wings (199) at Florida Panthers (-223)
Pick: Lean Florida
Edmonton Oilers (-189) at Ottawa Senators (157)
Pick: Lean Edmonton
Chicago Blackhawks (146) at Dallas Stars (-162)
Pick: Lean Dallas
Tampa Bay Lightning (-160) at Nashville Predators (132)
Pick: Lean Tampa
Winnipeg Jets (115) at Calgary Flames (-128)
Pick: Lean Winnipeg
Anaheim Ducks (210) at Vegas Golden Knights (-235)
Pick: Lean Vegas
San Jose Sharks (-115) at Los Angeles Kings (104)
Pick: Lean San Jose
