Degen Show Part (3/17/21)
Your favorite Degens give you their NBA Bet Picks for 3/17/21 and Max’s salty NHL picks too. Listen to the Degen’s NBA win totals episode for more NBA action.
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Max’s NBA Bet Picks for 3/17/21
BKN (-3.5) at IND (3.5)
Pick: Bet $20 BKN
Total: 231.5 (Lean Under – 225)
Predicted Score: BKN 116 – IND 109
Overview: I have not faired well in betting Brooklyn lately. In fact, I have lost my last 2 ATS bets with the Nets and was seemingly late to their “beat teams by double digits” party last week. But I am not abandoning hope just yet.
Brooklyn has been red hot on the road recently and their effective FG % has been better away from the Barclay’s Center. Indiana has not been a consistent team and the addition of Caris Lavert has created both excitement and confusion.
I think the Nets get it done today and cover this one. Maybe the Bets will break my losing streak. $20 bet on the Nets.
CHA (6.5) at DEN (-6.5)
Pick: Bet $20 ML CHA
Total: 231 (Lean Under – 229)
Predicted Score: CHA 115 – DEN 114
Overview: Charlotte has won 7 out of 10 and are looking like a team on the rise. Their young players are gelling around Gordon Hayward and Terry Rozier and now the Hornets are looking like a dangerous team in the East. Their effective FG % has been trending down recently – so there is some cause for concern that their hot streak will end soon – I just don’t think it will be tonight.
For some reason, Denver has not been playing that well at home lately. They did get a big win over Indy two days ago but that was right after suffering a double-digit loss at home to Dallas. MVP candidate Nikola Jokic stuffed the box scores in both of those games but that goes to prove that he can’t do it on his own.
I have the Hornets edging out a win here. I just think their shooting on the road is better right now that Denver at home and that will be the difference in the end. $20 moneyline bet on the Hornets.
GSW (-11.5) at HOU (11.5)
Pick: Bet $25 ML HOU
Total: 226.5 (Lean Under – 226)
Predicted Score: GSW 116 – HOU 110
Overview: Victor Oladipo is out to rest (since yesterday was a back-to-back) and Christian Wood is doubtful for Houston. The Rockets have now lost 17 in a row. Surprisingly, they still have a better record than the Timberwolves.
So now they host the Golden State Warriors and once again find themselves as double-digit dogs. But last night’s game showed some signs of life from Houston and the Warriors have not been good on the road lately – losing 5 in a row and 6 of their last 8 road games.
The Warriors’ shooting has not been sharp and it looks like Steph Curry is getting frustrated out there.
So if there was a time to swing for the fences and bet Houston on a moneyline, this could be it. A wise person once said, “They can’t lose them all.” Of course, they did lose them all. Fuck it.
$20 moneyline bet on the Rockets.
MIL (-5.5) at PHI (5.5)
Pick: Lean PHI
Total: 235.5 (Lean Under – 229)
Predicted Score: MIL 113 – PHI 116
Notes: Joel Embiid still out and Philly playing in a back to back.
TOR (-2.5) at DET (2.5)
Pick: Lean DET
Total: 220.5 (Lean Under – 214)
Predicted Score: TOR 108 – DET 106
Notes: Fred VanVleet is doubtful, Pascal Siakim is questionable and OG Anunoby is still out for TOR. Wayne Ellington is doubtful and Dennis Smith Jr. is questionable for DET.
SAC (3) at WAS (-3)
Pick: Lean SAC
Total: 245.5 (Lean Under – 241)
Predicted Score: SAC 120 – WAS 121
BOS (-9.5) at CLE (9.5)
Pick: Lean CLE
Total: 217.5 (Lean Over – 224)
Predicted Score: BOS 115 – CLE 109
Notes: Kemba Walker and Tristan Thompson are doubtful for BOS and Kevin Love and Taurean Prince are doubtful for CLE.
SAS (1.5) at CHI (-1.5)
Pick: Lean CHI
Total: 227.5 (Lean Under – 218)
Predicted Score: CHI 111 – SAS 107
Notes: DeMar DeRozan out for SAS.
MIA (-2) at MEM (2)
Pick: Lean MIA
Total: 221 (Lean Under – 216)
Predicted Score: MIA 110 – MEM 106
LAC (-2.5) at DAL (2.5)
Pick: Lean DAL
Total: 226 (Lean Under – 215)
Predicted Score: DAL 109 – LAC 106
Max’s Salty NHL Bets for 3/17/21
5-2 in picks and 1-0 in bets yesterday. On the season: 246-192 (56%) in picks and 73-50 (59%) in bets.
Vancouver Canucks (-144) at Ottawa Senators (130)
Pick: Bet Vancouver
St. Louis Blues (-135) at Los Angeles Kings (122)
Pick: Bet Los Angeles
Philadelphia Flyers (-126) at New York Rangers (114)
Pick: Lean New York
Montreal Canadiens (-112) at Winnipeg Jets (101)
Pick: Lean Winnipeg
San Jose Sharks (204) at Vegas Golden Knights (-232)
Pick: Lean Vegas
Edmonton Oilers (103) at Calgary Flames (-114)
Pick: Lean Calgary