Degen Show Part (3/27/21)
Your favorite Degens give you their NBA Bet Picks for 3/27/21 and Max’s salty NHL picks too. Listen to the Degen’s NBA win totals episode for more NBA action.
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Max’s NBA Bet Picks for 3/27/21
HOU (4.5) at MIN (-4.5)
Pick: Bet $20 MIN
Total: 227.5 (Lean Under – 224)
Predicted Score: HOU 109 – MIN 115
Overview: Minnesota had to go on a 22-0 run to win the game last night. The Rockets were shooting lights out for most of the game before they went cold in the 4th. They still finished the game shooting 5% better from the field than Minnesota and 12% from 3 point land.
Looking at effective field goal % recently and including home and away, the probability of that happening again tonight is low. Meaning Minnesota should be able to avoid needing to crawl back from a major deficit to win tonight.
$20 bet on the Timberwolves here.
CHI (2) at SAS (-2)
Pick: Bet $20 CHI
Total: 223.5 (Lean Under – 211)
Predicted Score: CHI 107 – SAS 104
Overview: Zach Lavine is listed as day-to-day and probably misses tonight’s game. Which means we will be deprived of seeing the new look Bulls on the court tonight. Even without Lavine, I like the Bulls here tonight.
Chicago has been a pretty good road team and has shot the ball very well on the road. San Antonio has not been stellar at home – posting only a 10-13 record at home and shooting under 50% from effective FG% at home lately.
I do still have the Bulls winning this game but I’ll take the points.
$20 bet on Chicago.
MEM (10) at UTA (-10)
Pick: Bet $20 UTA
Total: 228 (Lean Under – 224)
Predicted Score: MEM 108 – UTA 116
Overview: Chasing waterfalls here. Memphis kept it close after Utah led by 16 at the half yesterday. Memphis shot 40% from 3 yesterday – 5% better than their season average. They hit 12 3’s – which is 2 more than they average. Utah hit 5 less 3’s than they usually do and shot 4% worse.
That’s my way of saying that if each team hits their averages tonight, Utah should blow out Memphis. I am more inclined to think Utah shoots better than Memphis shooting that way in back to back games.
$20 bet on the Jazz.
CLE (7.5) at SAC (-7.5)
Pick: Bet $20 SAC
Total: 221.5 (Lean Under – 218)
Predicted Score: CLE 105 – SAC 113
Overview: Collin Sexton missed the game last night and is questionable tonight. The Cavs looked like garbage out there against an undermanned Lakers team. I don’t think they keep up with the hot shooting Kings.
Sacramento has been the best shooting team in the league the past few weeks and that average jumps up from 56% to 62% when at home. The Kings are 4-1 at home the past month and are scoring 10 more points per game at home than on the road.
Kings should cover this one.
$20 bet on Sacramento.
DET (3.5) at WAS (-3.5)
Pick: Lean DET
Total: 227.5 (Lean Under – 226)
Predicted Score: DET 115 – WAS 111
Notes: Bradley Beal is questionable with a sore foot.
NYK (9.5) at MIL (-9.5)
Pick: Lean NYK
Total: 222.5 (Lean Over – 227)
Predicted Score: NYK 113 – MIL 114
Notes: Milwaukee lost to Boston last night. Knicks dealing with a slew of injuries.
DAL (-1.5) at NOP (1.5)
Pick: Lean NOP
Total: 228.5 (Lean Under – 221)
Predicted Score: DAL 108 – NOP 113
Notes: Luka Doncic missed Friday’s game and is questionable for tonight. Porzingis played 38 minutes last night and is uncertain for tonight. I continue to be burned by New Orleans.
BOS (-9.5) at OKC (9.5)
Pick: Lean OKC
Total: 219.5 (Lean Over – 231)
Predicted Score: BOS 118 – OKC 113
Notes: Boston played and won last night. Unclear if Fournier will play yet.
PHI (4.5) at LAC (-4.5)
Pick: Lean PHI
Total: 223.5 (Lean Under – 217)
Predicted Score: PHI 108 – LAC 109
Notes: Kawhi is listed as questionable tonight. Rondo should be playing.
Max’s Salty NHL Bets for 3/27/21
New York Rangers (-131) at Philadelphia Flyers (118)
Pick: Lean Philadelphia
Buffalo Sabres (305) at Boston Bruins (-362)
Pick: Lean Buffalo
Vegas Golden Knights (161) at Colorado Avalanche (-180)
Pick: Lean Colorado
Columbus Blue Jackets (-154) at Detroit Red Wings (138)
Pick: Bet Detroit
Tampa Bay Lightning (-115) at Carolina Hurricanes (104)
Pick: Lean Carolina
Edmonton Oilers (143) at Toronto Maple Leafs (-159)
Pick: Lean Toronto
New York Islanders (-109) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-101)
Pick: Bet New York
Florida Panthers (100) at Dallas Stars (-111)
Pick: Lean Florida
Nashville Predators (104) at Chicago Blackhawks (-115)
Pick: Lean Chicago
Winnipeg Jets (105) at Calgary Flames (-118)
Pick: Lean Calgary
San Jose Sharks (103) at Arizona Coyotes (-116)
Pick: Lean San Jose