Degen Show (11/11/2020)

Your favorite Degens give you their NFL Week 10 DFS advice. Check back to last week’s episode to see how they did.

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Degen News Briefs

RIP Tommy

Celtics legend Tommy Heinsohn passed away yesterday at the age of 86. As a Celtics fan, Heinsohn is as much of a household name as Bird and Russell. He didn’t always get the credit he deserved, but he was a hell of a ballplayer and a fun announcer.

Heinsohn has been with the Celtics since 1956. Which is just insane to think of sticking with a team that long (even Bird went to the Pacers). Think of this: Heinsohn has been with Boston for all 17 of their titles. You’ll be missed Tommy.

COVID Impact on Sports

A few COVID-related things happened yesterday in three of the major sports:

• NFL – With COVID-19 cases increasing, the league is worried about being able to finish the 16 game season. Contingency plans are being assembled to reduce the amount of regular season games and add another playoff team to the mix.
• In separate NFL news, the league is also considering their 1^st down at the 25 yard line option to reduce onside kicks. This comes as a result of 56% of 4^th and 1 attempts made by teams this year.
• NBA – The 72 game season was approved by the NBA board of governors yesterday. The salary cap will be set at $109.1 million, which is the same as last season. The main discussion point has been over the revenue sharing system. Since league revenues have been impacted, the goal is to limit impact on players by spreading the losses over a few seasons (in hopes the revenue is back up in a few years).
• In other NBA news, rumors have it that Chris Paul could be dealt from OKC to the Suns. It would add a veteran presence to a team that looked pretty dangerous starting the season last year and closing it out in the bubble too.
• NHL – Will need to consider realignment for next season (along with a shortened season) due to travel restrictions between the U.S. and Canada. The realignment will not just be to deal with the travel to and from the countries, but also to reduce cross-country travel too. The target date for the season is still January 1, but it seems like a lot of things still need to be figured out.

Max’s NFL Week 10 DFS Advice

Last week I cashed in both of my DFS tournaments on the arm of Josh Allen (or the defense of Seattle) and the legs of Dalvin Cook.

In my standard league, my team easily won to improve to 7-2 (3^rd place) but I have a battle this week against the 4^th place team and I’ll be missing Travis Kelce. I picked up Evan Engram who has been trending up as the Giants offense starts to get better behind a more cohesive offensive line.

For DFS this week:

Stacks

I am dipping back into the well this week and taking Josh Allen (BUF) and Stefon Diggs (BUF) against the Cardinals offense. Allen and Diggs put up great numbers last week against Seattle and should do so again this week. I have this game as the second highest scoring one this week (behind Seattle and L.A.).

A risk/reward stack would be Drew Lock (DEN) and Jerry Jeudy (DEN). I am not entirely sold on Lock but he provides a less expensive option and he does (by the end of the game) put up some solid numbers. He should be a good bet against the Raiders defense.

Value

QB: Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) – Tua did not shine in his first game against an aggressive Rams’ defense but he looked much better this week and gets a Chargers’ defense that can be scored on. DraftKings has him at $5,600 and FanDuel at $6,800. LAC gives up the 6^th most fantasy points to QBs.

RB: Antonio Gibson (WAS) – With Kyle Allen breaking his ankle it means that game manager Alex Smith takes the helm. Gibson has already been racking up some points but he will be more critical to the Alex Smith offense. Also helps that Detroit’s defense against the run is pretty bad.

WR: Jerry Jeudy (DEN) – I kind of tipped my hand on this one earlier. Even if you don’t trust Drew Lock as your QB, I think you can solidly play Jeudy as a value wide receiver. He should get his against the Raiders.

 

Fades

QB: Carson Wentz (PHI) – Am I sold on the Giants’ defense? Not entirely, but it is getting better week to week. I am just less sold on Wentz. He should do “OK” but not enough to move the needle for a DFS winning lineup.

RB: Melvin Gordon (DEN) – Just like I said last week, best to avoid Gordon. For one, Phillip Lindsay is the primary back there and for two, this will be more about throwing against Las Vegas and not trying to run it down their throats.

WR: Corey Davis (TEN) – Tough matchup against the Colts and he’s coming off a pretty bad week last week. He will try to do something but I fear he will be contained.

 

Max’s Tuesday NCAAF Picks

I went 2-1 in my NCAAF bets yesterday. I hit on Akron/Ohio under, hit on Kent State ATS and missed on the over for Miami (OH)/Buffalo. I also leaned the under in that Kent State game and was way off. Kent State beat the over by themselves.

Eastern Michigan at Ball State

Spread: Ball State -8 (Lean Eastern Michigan)

O/U: 62.5 (Lean Over – 63)

Predicted Score: Ball State 35 – Eastern Michigan 28

Overview: Eastern Michigan held their own with Kent State last week while Ball State lost to Miami (OH). Preston Hutchinson looked pretty good in the win for EMU despite throwing two INTs to a tough Kent State defense. EMU’s defense slowed down Kent State’s offense and should be able to manage against Ball State.

The Cardinals outplayed Miami (OH) last week but still could not get the win. Part of that was an inability to stop AJ Mayer – which could be a roadmap for EMU to possibly win this one.

I do have Ball State winning by a TD but with the spread at -8, I’ll take the points and lean EMU.

 

Central Michigan at Northern Illinois

Spread: Central Michigan -9.5 (Lean Northern Illinois)

O/U: 59.5 (Lean under – 52)

Predicted Score: Central Michigan 27 – Northern Illinois 25

Overview: A few years back, Central Michigan was 1-11. Enter in coach Jim McElwain and they win the MAC West champs last year. The Chippewas offense has looked much better under McElwain and they are bringing back most of that offense from last season including their leading rusher and top 3 wide receivers. They do have a redshirt freshman at QB in Daniel Richardson but he looked solid in week 1.

Northern Illinois will provide the Chippewas with some problems, though. Even though they are clearly rebuilding after a 5-7 season last year, it seems like the talent they have this year are more competitive than the team they had last year. Well, through 1 game against Buffalo.

The Huskies still lost by 19 last week but I think they can hang with Central Michigan this week. I’ll don’t trust them enough to bet them but it’s a solid professional lean on them.

 

Toledo at Western Michigan

Spread: Western Michigan -3 (Bet Western Michigan)

O/U: 57 (Bet over – 71)

Predicted Score: Western Michigan 39 – Toledo 32

Overview: Toledo beat up on Bowling Green in week 1 by capitalizing on turnovers and running the ball effectively. QB Eli Peters tossed four touchdowns (which seems like the career total for his possible namesake, Eli Manning) and he should be able to put up more against Western Michigan.

The Broncos beat up on Akron in week 1 but that was more on Akron and less on the Western Michigan defense. I really think this game turns into a score fest with Western Michigan winning by a TD. As such, I will bet them and bet the over here.

 

Rich’s NFL Week 10 DFS Advice

Rank	Name	Team	Position
1	Aaron Rodgers	GNB	QB
2	Jared Goff	LAR	QB
3	Deshaun Watson	HOU	QB
4	Kyler Murray	ARI	QB
5	Justin Herbert	LAC	QB
6	Josh Allen	BUF	QB
7	Russell Wilson	SEA	QB
8	Tua Tagovailoa	MIA	QB
9	Davante Adams	GNB	WR
10	Derek Carr	LVR	QB
11	Alvin Kamara	NOR	RB
12	Teddy Bridgewater	CAR	QB
13	Carson Wentz	PHI	QB
14	Jake Luton	JAX	QB
15	Tom Brady	TAM	QB
16	Matthew Stafford	DET	QB
17	Daniel Jones	NYG	QB
18	Drew Brees	NOR	QB
19	Drew Lock	DEN	QB
20	Ben Roethlisberger	PIT	QB
21	Baker Mayfield	CLE	QB
22	Aaron Jones	GNB	RB
23	Alex Smith	WAS	QB
24	Joe Burrow	CIN	QB
25	James Robinson	JAX	RB
26	Jimmy Garoppolo	SFO	QB
27	Nick Mullens	SFO	QB
28	Nick Chubb	CLE	RB
29	Miles Sanders	PHI	RB
30	Myles Gaskin	MIA	RB
31	Michael Thomas	NOR	WR
32	Cooper Kupp	LAR	WR
33	James Conner	PIT	RB
34	Duke Johnson	HOU	RB
35	Antonio Gibson	WAS	RB
36	Kareem Hunt	CLE	RB
37	Terry McLaurin	WAS	WR
38	Joe Mixon	CIN	RB
39	Robert Woods	LAR	WR
40	D.K. Metcalf	SEA	WR
41	Stefon Diggs	BUF	WR
42	Chris Carson	SEA	RB
43	Josh Jacobs	LVR	RB
44	Jerick McKinnon	SFO	RB
45	Allen Lazard	GNB	WR
46	DeAndre Hopkins	ARI	WR
47	Robby Anderson	CAR	WR
48	DeeJay Dallas	SEA	RB
49	Wayne Gallman	NYG	RB
50	Will Fuller	HOU	WR
51	Chris Godwin	TAM	WR
52	Salvon Ahmed	MIA	RB
53	Darrell Henderson	LAR	RB
54	Ronald Jones II	TAM	RB
55	David Johnson	HOU	RB
56	Keenan Allen	LAC	WR
57	Antonio Brown	TAM	WR
58	Mike Davis	CAR	RB
59	D.J. Moore	CAR	WR
60	Emmanuel Sanders	NOR	WR
61	Kenyan Drake	ARI	RB
62	Tyler Lockett	SEA	WR
63	Jerry Jeudy	DEN	WR
64	Brandin Cooks	HOU	WR
65	A.J. Green	CIN	WR
66	Jarvis Landry	CLE	WR
67	Tyler Boyd	CIN	WR
68	Devin Singletary	BUF	RB
69	Jamaal Williams	GNB	RB
70	Kalen Ballage	LAC	RB
71	Marvin Jones	DET	WR
72	DeVante Parker	MIA	WR
73	Latavius Murray	NOR	RB
74	J.D. McKissic	WAS	RB
75	D’Andre Swift	DET	RB
76	Chase Claypool	PIT	WR
77	Danny Amendola	DET	WR
78	Adrian Peterson	DET	RB
79	Melvin Gordon	DEN	RB
80	Travis Fulgham	PHI	WR
81	Chase Edmonds	ARI	RB
82	Odell Beckham Jr.	CLE	WR
83	DJ Chark	JAX	WR
84	Darius Slayton	NYG	WR
85	Cole Beasley	BUF	WR
86	JuJu Smith-Schuster	PIT	WR
87	Darren Waller	LVR	TE
88	Carlos Hyde	SEA	RB
89	Josh Reynolds	LAR	WR
90	Tee Higgins	CIN	WR
91	Raheem Mostert	SFO	RB
92	Tevin Coleman	SFO	RB
93	Tim Patrick	DEN	WR
94	Hunter Renfrow	LVR	WR
95	Marquez Valdes-Scantling	GNB	WR
96	Curtis Samuel	CAR	WR
97	Malcolm Brown	LAR	RB
98	Randall Cobb	HOU	WR
99	Jordan Reed	SFO	TE
100	Mike Evans	TAM	WR
101	Robert Tonyan	GNB	TE
102	Keelan Cole	JAX	WR
103	Laviska Shenault Jr.	JAX	WR
104	Austin Hooper	CLE	TE
105	Joshua Kelley	LAC	RB
106	Nelson Agholor	LVR	WR
107	Scott Miller	TAM	WR
108	Noah Fant	DEN	TE
109	Mike Gesicki	MIA	TE
110	Dallas Goedert	PHI	TE
111	Brandon Aiyuk	SFO	WR
112	Deebo Samuel	SFO	WR
113	Richie James	SFO	WR
114	Christian Kirk	ARI	WR
115	Mike Williams	LAC	WR
116	Marvin Hall	DET	WR
117	T.J. Hockenson	DET	TE
118	Leonard Fournette	TAM	RB
119	Diontae Johnson	PIT	WR
120	Preston Williams	MIA	WR
121	Christian McCaffrey	CAR	RB
122	Evan Engram	NYG	TE
123	Hunter Henry	LAC	TE
124	Tyler Higbee	LAR	TE
125	Kenny Golladay	DET	WR
126	Phillip Lindsay	DEN	RB
127	Gerald Everett	LAR	TE
128	David Moore	SEA	WR
129	Rob Gronkowski	TAM	TE
130	Tre’Quan Smith	NOR	WR
131	Eric Ebron	PIT	TE
132	Boston Scott	PHI	RB
133	Giovani Bernard	CIN	RB
134	Taysom Hill	NOR	QB
135	Chris Conley	JAX	WR
136	Justin Jackson	LAC	RB
137	Kendrick Bourne	SFO	WR
138	Henry Ruggs III	LVR	WR
139	Devontae Booker	LVR	RB
140	Jared Cook	NOR	TE
141	Jordan Howard	MIA	RB
142	Matt Breida	MIA	RB
143	John Brown	BUF	WR
144	Greg Ward	PHI	WR
145	Jeff Driskel	DEN	QB
146	Sterling Shepard	NYG	WR
147	Zack Moss	BUF	RB
148	Ryan Fitzpatrick	MIA	QB
149	Alfred Morris	NYG	RB
150	Jalen Guyton	LAC	WR
151	Darren Fells	HOU	TE
152	KJ Hamler	DEN	WR
153	Logan Thomas	WAS	TE
154	Jakeem Grant	MIA	WR
155	Larry Fitzgerald	ARI	WR
156	Gabriel Davis	BUF	WR
157	Quintez Cephus	DET	WR
158	Jeff Wilson	SFO	RB
159	Golden Tate	NYG	WR
160	James Washington	PIT	WR
161	Rashard Higgins	CLE	WR
162	Kerryon Johnson	DET	RB
163	Benny Snell Jr.	PIT	RB
164	Richard Rodgers	PHI	TE
165	Devonta Freeman	NYG	RB
166	Jordan Akins	HOU	TE
167	Deonte Harris	NOR	WR
168	John Hightower	PHI	WR
169	DeSean Jackson	PHI	WR
170	Jalen Richard	LVR	RB
171	Harrison Bryant	CLE	TE
172	Chris Thompson	JAX	RB
173	Cam Akers	LAR	RB
174	Cam Sims	WAS	WR
175	D’Ernest Johnson	CLE	RB
176	Tyler Ervin	GNB	RB
177	DaeSean Hamilton	DEN	WR
178	Gardner Minshew II	JAX	QB
179	JaMycal Hasty	SFO	RB
180	Van Jefferson	LAR	WR
181	James O’Shaughnessy	JAX	TE
182	Dan Arnold	ARI	TE
183	Brett Rypien	DEN	QB
184	Dontrelle Inman	WAS	WR
185	Greg Olsen	SEA	TE
186	Tyler Eifert	JAX	TE
187	Kenny Stills	HOU	WR
188	Drew Sample	CIN	TE
189	Andy Isabella	ARI	WR
190	O.J. Howard	TAM	TE
191	Albert Okwuegbunam	DEN	TE
192	Dion Lewis	NYG	RB
193	Kyle Juszczyk	SFO	RB
194	Marquez Callaway	NOR	WR
195	Royce Freeman	DEN	RB
196	Travis Homer	SEA	RB
197	Jalen Reagor	PHI	WR
198	Isaiah Wright	WAS	WR
199	Ray-Ray McCloud	PIT	WR
200	Isaiah McKenzie	BUF	WR
201	Will Dissly	SEA	TE
202	Peyton Barber	WAS	RB
203	David Njoku	CLE	TE
204	AJ Dillon	GNB	RB
205	Bryan Edwards	LVR	WR
206	Alec Ingold	LVR	RB
207	Jace Sternberger	GNB	TE
208	Mike Thomas	CIN	WR
209	Tyron Johnson	LAC	WR
210	Steven Sims	WAS	WR
211	Tyler Johnson	TAM	WR
212	Anthony McFarland Jr.	PIT	RB
213	Tyler Kroft	BUF	TE
214	Ross Dwelley	SFO	TE
215	Auden Tate	CIN	WR
216	Troymaine Pope	LAC	RB
217	Zay Jones	LVR	WR
218	Tyrod Taylor	LAC	QB
219	Durham Smythe	MIA	TE
220	C.J. Beathard	SFO	QB
221	Justin Watson	TAM	WR
222	Jacob Hollister	SEA	TE
223	Cameron Brate	TAM	TE
224	Freddie Swain	SEA	WR
225	T.J. Yeldon	BUF	RB
226	Corey Clement	PHI	RB
227	Jesse James	DET	TE
228	Dawson Knox	BUF	TE
229	Malik Taylor	GNB	WR
230	Ian Thomas	CAR	TE
231	Darrell Daniels	ARI	TE
232	C.J. Board	NYG	WR
233	Courtland Sutton	DEN	WR
234	Collin Johnson	JAX	WR
235	Foster Moreau	LVR	TE
236	Johnny Mundt	LAR	TE
237	C.J. Uzomah	CIN	TE
238	Adam Trautman	NOR	TE
239	Trent Taylor	SFO	WR
240	Kaden Smith	NYG	TE
241	Austin Mack	NYG	WR
242	Jalen Hurts	PHI	QB
243	Adam Shaheen	MIA	TE
244	Ke’Shawn Vaughn	TAM	RB
245	Donovan Peoples-Jones	CLE	WR
246	Jason Witten	LVR	TE
247	Vance McDonald	PIT	TE
248	KhaDarel Hodge	CLE	WR
249	Darrius Shepherd	GNB	WR
250	Dontrell Hilliard	CLE	RB
251	LeSean McCoy	TAM	RB
252	Jamal Agnew	DET	WR
253	Jaydon Mickens	TAM	WR
254	Chase Daniel	DET	QB
255	JJ Arcega-Whiteside	PHI	WR
256	Nick Vannett	DEN	TE
257	Virgil Green	LAC	TE
258	Josh Hill	NOR	TE
259	Marcedes Lewis	GNB	TE
260	Donald Parham	LAC	TE
261	Samaje Perine	CIN	RB
262	Chris Manhertz	CAR	TE
263	Antonio Gandy-Golden	WAS	WR
264	Pharaoh Brown	HOU	TE
265	Patrick Laird	MIA	RB
266	Trenton Cannon	CAR	RB
267	Brandon Zylstra	CAR	WR
268	Joe Reed	LAC	WR
269	Case Keenum	CLE	QB
270	KeeSean Johnson	ARI	WR
271	Michael Burton	NOR	RB
272	Cethan Carter	CIN	TE
273	K.J. Hill	LAC	WR
274	Levine Toilolo	NYG	TE
275	Andy Janovich	CLE	RB
276	Tanner Hudson	TAM	TE
277	Ty Montgomery	NOR	RB
278	Alex Armah	CAR	RB
279	Diontae Spencer	DEN	WR
280	Andre Roberts	BUF	WR
281	Equanimeous St. Brown	GNB	WR
282	Josiah Deguara	GNB	TE
283	Jaylen Samuels	PIT	RB
284	Elijhaa Penny	NYG	RB
285	Alex Erickson	CIN	WR
286	Jason Huntley	PHI	RB
287	Gabe Nabers	LAC	RB
288	Reggie Gilliam	BUF	TE
289	Mack Hollins	MIA	WR
290	Theo Riddick	LVR	RB
291	Nick Bellore	SEA	RB
292	Keke Coutee	HOU	WR
293	Lynn Bowden Jr.	MIA	RB
294	Keith Kirkwood	CAR	WR
295	Dwayne Washington	NOR	RB
296	Bennie Fowler	NOR	WR
297	Pharoh Cooper	CAR	WR
298	Chandler Cox	MIA	RB
299	Temarrick Hemingway	WAS	TE
300	Matt Barkley	BUF	QB
301	DeAndre Carter	HOU	WR
302	D.J. Foster	ARI	RB
303	Dexter Williams	GNB	RB
304	Tyrie Cleveland	DEN	WR
305	Cullen Gillaspia	HOU	RB
306	Jeremy Sprinkle	WAS	TE
307	John Lovett	GNB	QB
308	Jake Butt	DEN	TE
309	Trent Sherfield	ARI	WR
310	Malcolm Perry	MIA	RB
311	Dede Westbrook	JAX	WR
312	Alex Collins	SEA	RB
313	Maxx Williams	ARI	TE
314	JoJo Natson	CLE	WR
315	Chris Streveler	ARI	QB
316	Isaac Nauta	DET	TE
317	Jordan Thomas	ARI	TE
318	Jameis Winston	NOR	QB
319	Mason Rudolph	PIT	QB
320	Blaine Gabbert	TAM	QB
321	Lee Smith	BUF	WR