Daily Degen: Our Best NFL Week 10 DFS Advice

Degen Show (11/11/2020)

Your favorite Degens give you their NFL Week 10 DFS advice. Check back to last week’s episode to see how they did.

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Degen News Briefs

RIP Tommy

Celtics legend Tommy Heinsohn passed away yesterday at the age of 86. As a Celtics fan, Heinsohn is as much of a household name as Bird and Russell. He didn’t always get the credit he deserved, but he was a hell of a ballplayer and a fun announcer.

Heinsohn has been with the Celtics since 1956. Which is just insane to think of sticking with a team that long (even Bird went to the Pacers). Think of this: Heinsohn has been with Boston for all 17 of their titles. You’ll be missed Tommy.

COVID Impact on Sports

A few COVID-related things happened yesterday in three of the major sports:

  • NFL – With COVID-19 cases increasing, the league is worried about being able to finish the 16 game season. Contingency plans are being assembled to reduce the amount of regular season games and add another playoff team to the mix.
  • In separate NFL news, the league is also considering their 1st down at the 25 yard line option to reduce onside kicks. This comes as a result of 56% of 4th and 1 attempts made by teams this year.
  • NBA – The 72 game season was approved by the NBA board of governors yesterday. The salary cap will be set at $109.1 million, which is the same as last season. The main discussion point has been over the revenue sharing system. Since league revenues have been impacted, the goal is to limit impact on players by spreading the losses over a few seasons (in hopes the revenue is back up in a few years).
  • In other NBA news, rumors have it that Chris Paul could be dealt from OKC to the Suns. It would add a veteran presence to a team that looked pretty dangerous starting the season last year and closing it out in the bubble too.
  • NHL – Will need to consider realignment for next season (along with a shortened season) due to travel restrictions between the U.S. and Canada. The realignment will not just be to deal with the travel to and from the countries, but also to reduce cross-country travel too. The target date for the season is still January 1, but it seems like a lot of things still need to be figured out.

Max’s NFL Week 10 DFS Advice

Last week I cashed in both of my DFS tournaments on the arm of Josh Allen (or the defense of Seattle) and the legs of Dalvin Cook.

In my standard league, my team easily won to improve to 7-2 (3rd place) but I have a battle this week against the 4th place team and I’ll be missing Travis Kelce. I picked up Evan Engram who has been trending up as the Giants offense starts to get better behind a more cohesive offensive line.

For DFS this week:

Stacks

NFL Week 10 DFS Advice

I am dipping back into the well this week and taking Josh Allen (BUF) and Stefon Diggs (BUF) against the Cardinals offense. Allen and Diggs put up great numbers last week against Seattle and should do so again this week. I have this game as the second highest scoring one this week (behind Seattle and L.A.).

A risk/reward stack would be Drew Lock (DEN) and Jerry Jeudy (DEN). I am not entirely sold on Lock but he provides a less expensive option and he does (by the end of the game) put up some solid numbers. He should be a good bet against the Raiders defense.

Value

NFL Week 10 DFS Advice

QB: Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) – Tua did not shine in his first game against an aggressive Rams’ defense but he looked much better this week and gets a Chargers’ defense that can be scored on. DraftKings has him at $5,600 and FanDuel at $6,800. LAC gives up the 6th most fantasy points to QBs.

RB: Antonio Gibson (WAS) – With Kyle Allen breaking his ankle it means that game manager Alex Smith takes the helm. Gibson has already been racking up some points but he will be more critical to the Alex Smith offense. Also helps that Detroit’s defense against the run is pretty bad.

WR: Jerry Jeudy (DEN) – I kind of tipped my hand on this one earlier. Even if you don’t trust Drew Lock as your QB, I think you can solidly play Jeudy as a value wide receiver. He should get his against the Raiders.

 

Fades

NFL Week 10 DFS Advice

QB: Carson Wentz (PHI) – Am I sold on the Giants’ defense? Not entirely, but it is getting better week to week. I am just less sold on Wentz. He should do “OK” but not enough to move the needle for a DFS winning lineup.

RB: Melvin Gordon (DEN) – Just like I said last week, best to avoid Gordon. For one, Phillip Lindsay is the primary back there and for two, this will be more about throwing against Las Vegas and not trying to run it down their throats.

WR: Corey Davis (TEN) – Tough matchup against the Colts and he’s coming off a pretty bad week last week. He will try to do something but I fear he will be contained.

 

Max’s Tuesday NCAAF Picks

I went 2-1 in my NCAAF bets yesterday. I hit on Akron/Ohio under, hit on Kent State ATS and missed on the over for Miami (OH)/Buffalo. I also leaned the under in that Kent State game and was way off. Kent State beat the over by themselves.

Eastern Michigan at Ball State

NFL Week 10 DFS Advice

Spread: Ball State -8 (Lean Eastern Michigan)

O/U: 62.5 (Lean Over – 63)

Predicted Score: Ball State 35 – Eastern Michigan 28

Overview: Eastern Michigan held their own with Kent State last week while Ball State lost to Miami (OH). Preston Hutchinson looked pretty good in the win for EMU despite throwing two INTs to a tough Kent State defense. EMU’s defense slowed down Kent State’s offense and should be able to manage against Ball State.

The Cardinals outplayed Miami (OH) last week but still could not get the win. Part of that was an inability to stop AJ Mayer – which could be a roadmap for EMU to possibly win this one.

I do have Ball State winning by a TD but with the spread at -8, I’ll take the points and lean EMU.

 

Central Michigan at Northern Illinois

Spread: Central Michigan -9.5 (Lean Northern Illinois)

O/U: 59.5 (Lean under – 52)

Predicted Score: Central Michigan 27 – Northern Illinois 25

Overview: A few years back, Central Michigan was 1-11. Enter in coach Jim McElwain and they win the MAC West champs last year. The Chippewas offense has looked much better under McElwain and they are bringing back most of that offense from last season including their leading rusher and top 3 wide receivers. They do have a redshirt freshman at QB in Daniel Richardson but he looked solid in week 1.

Northern Illinois will provide the Chippewas with some problems, though. Even though they are clearly rebuilding after a 5-7 season last year, it seems like the talent they have this year are more competitive than the team they had last year. Well, through 1 game against Buffalo.

The Huskies still lost by 19 last week but I think they can hang with Central Michigan this week. I’ll don’t trust them enough to bet them but it’s a solid professional lean on them.

 

Toledo at Western Michigan

Spread: Western Michigan -3 (Bet Western Michigan)

O/U: 57 (Bet over – 71)

Predicted Score: Western Michigan 39 – Toledo 32

Overview: Toledo beat up on Bowling Green in week 1 by capitalizing on turnovers and running the ball effectively. QB Eli Peters tossed four touchdowns (which seems like the career total for his possible namesake, Eli Manning) and he should be able to put up more against Western Michigan.

The Broncos beat up on Akron in week 1 but that was more on Akron and less on the Western Michigan defense. I really think this game turns into a score fest with Western Michigan winning by a TD. As such, I will bet them and bet the over here.

 

Rich’s NFL Week 10 DFS Advice

Rank Name Team Position
1 Aaron Rodgers GNB QB
2 Jared Goff LAR QB
3 Deshaun Watson HOU QB
4 Kyler Murray ARI QB
5 Justin Herbert LAC QB
6 Josh Allen BUF QB
7 Russell Wilson SEA QB
8 Tua Tagovailoa MIA QB
9 Davante Adams GNB WR
10 Derek Carr LVR QB
11 Alvin Kamara NOR RB
12 Teddy Bridgewater CAR QB
13 Carson Wentz PHI QB
14 Jake Luton JAX QB
15 Tom Brady TAM QB
16 Matthew Stafford DET QB
17 Daniel Jones NYG QB
18 Drew Brees NOR QB
19 Drew Lock DEN QB
20 Ben Roethlisberger PIT QB
21 Baker Mayfield CLE QB
22 Aaron Jones GNB RB
23 Alex Smith WAS QB
24 Joe Burrow CIN QB
25 James Robinson JAX RB
26 Jimmy Garoppolo SFO QB
27 Nick Mullens SFO QB
28 Nick Chubb CLE RB
29 Miles Sanders PHI RB
30 Myles Gaskin MIA RB
31 Michael Thomas NOR WR
32 Cooper Kupp LAR WR
33 James Conner PIT RB
34 Duke Johnson HOU RB
35 Antonio Gibson WAS RB
36 Kareem Hunt CLE RB
37 Terry McLaurin WAS WR
38 Joe Mixon CIN RB
39 Robert Woods LAR WR
40 D.K. Metcalf SEA WR
41 Stefon Diggs BUF WR
42 Chris Carson SEA RB
43 Josh Jacobs LVR RB
44 Jerick McKinnon SFO RB
45 Allen Lazard GNB WR
46 DeAndre Hopkins ARI WR
47 Robby Anderson CAR WR
48 DeeJay Dallas SEA RB
49 Wayne Gallman NYG RB
50 Will Fuller HOU WR
51 Chris Godwin TAM WR
52 Salvon Ahmed MIA RB
53 Darrell Henderson LAR RB
54 Ronald Jones II TAM RB
55 David Johnson HOU RB
56 Keenan Allen LAC WR
57 Antonio Brown TAM WR
58 Mike Davis CAR RB
59 D.J. Moore CAR WR
60 Emmanuel Sanders NOR WR
61 Kenyan Drake ARI RB
62 Tyler Lockett SEA WR
63 Jerry Jeudy DEN WR
64 Brandin Cooks HOU WR
65 A.J. Green CIN WR
66 Jarvis Landry CLE WR
67 Tyler Boyd CIN WR
68 Devin Singletary BUF RB
69 Jamaal Williams GNB RB
70 Kalen Ballage LAC RB
71 Marvin Jones DET WR
72 DeVante Parker MIA WR
73 Latavius Murray NOR RB
74 J.D. McKissic WAS RB
75 D’Andre Swift DET RB
76 Chase Claypool PIT WR
77 Danny Amendola DET WR
78 Adrian Peterson DET RB
79 Melvin Gordon DEN RB
80 Travis Fulgham PHI WR
81 Chase Edmonds ARI RB
82 Odell Beckham Jr. CLE WR
83 DJ Chark JAX WR
84 Darius Slayton NYG WR
85 Cole Beasley BUF WR
86 JuJu Smith-Schuster PIT WR
87 Darren Waller LVR TE
88 Carlos Hyde SEA RB
89 Josh Reynolds LAR WR
90 Tee Higgins CIN WR
91 Raheem Mostert SFO RB
92 Tevin Coleman SFO RB
93 Tim Patrick DEN WR
94 Hunter Renfrow LVR WR
95 Marquez Valdes-Scantling GNB WR
96 Curtis Samuel CAR WR
97 Malcolm Brown LAR RB
98 Randall Cobb HOU WR
99 Jordan Reed SFO TE
100 Mike Evans TAM WR
101 Robert Tonyan GNB TE
102 Keelan Cole JAX WR
103 Laviska Shenault Jr. JAX WR
104 Austin Hooper CLE TE
105 Joshua Kelley LAC RB
106 Nelson Agholor LVR WR
107 Scott Miller TAM WR
108 Noah Fant DEN TE
109 Mike Gesicki MIA TE
110 Dallas Goedert PHI TE
111 Brandon Aiyuk SFO WR
112 Deebo Samuel SFO WR
113 Richie James SFO WR
114 Christian Kirk ARI WR
115 Mike Williams LAC WR
116 Marvin Hall DET WR
117 T.J. Hockenson DET TE
118 Leonard Fournette TAM RB
119 Diontae Johnson PIT WR
120 Preston Williams MIA WR
121 Christian McCaffrey CAR RB
122 Evan Engram NYG TE
123 Hunter Henry LAC TE
124 Tyler Higbee LAR TE
125 Kenny Golladay DET WR
126 Phillip Lindsay DEN RB
127 Gerald Everett LAR TE
128 David Moore SEA WR
129 Rob Gronkowski TAM TE
130 Tre’Quan Smith NOR WR
131 Eric Ebron PIT TE
132 Boston Scott PHI RB
133 Giovani Bernard CIN RB
134 Taysom Hill NOR QB
135 Chris Conley JAX WR
136 Justin Jackson LAC RB
137 Kendrick Bourne SFO WR
138 Henry Ruggs III LVR WR
139 Devontae Booker LVR RB
140 Jared Cook NOR TE
141 Jordan Howard MIA RB
142 Matt Breida MIA RB
143 John Brown BUF WR
144 Greg Ward PHI WR
145 Jeff Driskel DEN QB
146 Sterling Shepard NYG WR
147 Zack Moss BUF RB
148 Ryan Fitzpatrick MIA QB
149 Alfred Morris NYG RB
150 Jalen Guyton LAC WR
151 Darren Fells HOU TE
152 KJ Hamler DEN WR
153 Logan Thomas WAS TE
154 Jakeem Grant MIA WR
155 Larry Fitzgerald ARI WR
156 Gabriel Davis BUF WR
157 Quintez Cephus DET WR
158 Jeff Wilson SFO RB
159 Golden Tate NYG WR
160 James Washington PIT WR
161 Rashard Higgins CLE WR
162 Kerryon Johnson DET RB
163 Benny Snell Jr. PIT RB
164 Richard Rodgers PHI TE
165 Devonta Freeman NYG RB
166 Jordan Akins HOU TE
167 Deonte Harris NOR WR
168 John Hightower PHI WR
169 DeSean Jackson PHI WR
170 Jalen Richard LVR RB
171 Harrison Bryant CLE TE
172 Chris Thompson JAX RB
173 Cam Akers LAR RB
174 Cam Sims WAS WR
175 D’Ernest Johnson CLE RB
176 Tyler Ervin GNB RB
177 DaeSean Hamilton DEN WR
178 Gardner Minshew II JAX QB
179 JaMycal Hasty SFO RB
180 Van Jefferson LAR WR
181 James O’Shaughnessy JAX TE
182 Dan Arnold ARI TE
183 Brett Rypien DEN QB
184 Dontrelle Inman WAS WR
185 Greg Olsen SEA TE
186 Tyler Eifert JAX TE
187 Kenny Stills HOU WR
188 Drew Sample CIN TE
189 Andy Isabella ARI WR
190 O.J. Howard TAM TE
191 Albert Okwuegbunam DEN TE
192 Dion Lewis NYG RB
193 Kyle Juszczyk SFO RB
194 Marquez Callaway NOR WR
195 Royce Freeman DEN RB
196 Travis Homer SEA RB
197 Jalen Reagor PHI WR
198 Isaiah Wright WAS WR
199 Ray-Ray McCloud PIT WR
200 Isaiah McKenzie BUF WR
201 Will Dissly SEA TE
202 Peyton Barber WAS RB
203 David Njoku CLE TE
204 AJ Dillon GNB RB
205 Bryan Edwards LVR WR
206 Alec Ingold LVR RB
207 Jace Sternberger GNB TE
208 Mike Thomas CIN WR
209 Tyron Johnson LAC WR
210 Steven Sims WAS WR
211 Tyler Johnson TAM WR
212 Anthony McFarland Jr. PIT RB
213 Tyler Kroft BUF TE
214 Ross Dwelley SFO TE
215 Auden Tate CIN WR
216 Troymaine Pope LAC RB
217 Zay Jones LVR WR
218 Tyrod Taylor LAC QB
219 Durham Smythe MIA TE
220 C.J. Beathard SFO QB
221 Justin Watson TAM WR
222 Jacob Hollister SEA TE
223 Cameron Brate TAM TE
224 Freddie Swain SEA WR
225 T.J. Yeldon BUF RB
226 Corey Clement PHI RB
227 Jesse James DET TE
228 Dawson Knox BUF TE
229 Malik Taylor GNB WR
230 Ian Thomas CAR TE
231 Darrell Daniels ARI TE
232 C.J. Board NYG WR
233 Courtland Sutton DEN WR
234 Collin Johnson JAX WR
235 Foster Moreau LVR TE
236 Johnny Mundt LAR TE
237 C.J. Uzomah CIN TE
238 Adam Trautman NOR TE
239 Trent Taylor SFO WR
240 Kaden Smith NYG TE
241 Austin Mack NYG WR
242 Jalen Hurts PHI QB
243 Adam Shaheen MIA TE
244 Ke’Shawn Vaughn TAM RB
245 Donovan Peoples-Jones CLE WR
246 Jason Witten LVR TE
247 Vance McDonald PIT TE
248 KhaDarel Hodge CLE WR
249 Darrius Shepherd GNB WR
250 Dontrell Hilliard CLE RB
251 LeSean McCoy TAM RB
252 Jamal Agnew DET WR
253 Jaydon Mickens TAM WR
254 Chase Daniel DET QB
255 JJ Arcega-Whiteside PHI WR
256 Nick Vannett DEN TE
257 Virgil Green LAC TE
258 Josh Hill NOR TE
259 Marcedes Lewis GNB TE
260 Donald Parham LAC TE
261 Samaje Perine CIN RB
262 Chris Manhertz CAR TE
263 Antonio Gandy-Golden WAS WR
264 Pharaoh Brown HOU TE
265 Patrick Laird MIA RB
266 Trenton Cannon CAR RB
267 Brandon Zylstra CAR WR
268 Joe Reed LAC WR
269 Case Keenum CLE QB
270 KeeSean Johnson ARI WR
271 Michael Burton NOR RB
272 Cethan Carter CIN TE
273 K.J. Hill LAC WR
274 Levine Toilolo NYG TE
275 Andy Janovich CLE RB
276 Tanner Hudson TAM TE
277 Ty Montgomery NOR RB
278 Alex Armah CAR RB
279 Diontae Spencer DEN WR
280 Andre Roberts BUF WR
281 Equanimeous St. Brown GNB WR
282 Josiah Deguara GNB TE
283 Jaylen Samuels PIT RB
284 Elijhaa Penny NYG RB
285 Alex Erickson CIN WR
286 Jason Huntley PHI RB
287 Gabe Nabers LAC RB
288 Reggie Gilliam BUF TE
289 Mack Hollins MIA WR
290 Theo Riddick LVR RB
291 Nick Bellore SEA RB
292 Keke Coutee HOU WR
293 Lynn Bowden Jr. MIA RB
294 Keith Kirkwood CAR WR
295 Dwayne Washington NOR RB
296 Bennie Fowler NOR WR
297 Pharoh Cooper CAR WR
298 Chandler Cox MIA RB
299 Temarrick Hemingway WAS TE
300 Matt Barkley BUF QB
301 DeAndre Carter HOU WR
302 D.J. Foster ARI RB
303 Dexter Williams GNB RB
304 Tyrie Cleveland DEN WR
305 Cullen Gillaspia HOU RB
306 Jeremy Sprinkle WAS TE
307 John Lovett GNB QB
308 Jake Butt DEN TE
309 Trent Sherfield ARI WR
310 Malcolm Perry MIA RB
311 Dede Westbrook JAX WR
312 Alex Collins SEA RB
313 Maxx Williams ARI TE
314 JoJo Natson CLE WR
315 Chris Streveler ARI QB
316 Isaac Nauta DET TE
317 Jordan Thomas ARI TE
318 Jameis Winston NOR QB
319 Mason Rudolph PIT QB
320 Blaine Gabbert TAM QB
321 Lee Smith BUF WR