Degen Show (12/16/2020)

Your favorite Degens give you their best NFL Week 15 DFS Picks. Check back to see how they did last week in DFS.

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Max’s NFL Week 15 DFS Picks

Stacks

The Jets rank second to last in passing yards allowed per game, they are last in the league in giving up passing TDs per game (2.2 on the season and 3.0 over their last 3 games) and are in the bottom half of the league in interceptions and takeaways per game.

So despite my apprehension of Jared Goff as the future of the Rams’ offense, I love him this week against this Jets team. Goff struggled against the Pats’ tough defense last week but against weaker pass defenses such as Arizona, Tampa and Seattle he combined for 1,029 yards, 4 TDs and 2 INTs.

I’ll pair him up with Cooper Kupp this week as my top option. Kupp broke his TD drought last week against the Pats and hopefully that bursts the dam open. Robert Woods could be a great option too since Goff has been targeting him more in recent games – but I’m ready to see the Goff/Kupp bromance rekindled this weekend in a big win over the Jets.

Value

QB: Ryan Tannehill (TEN) – The Detroit defense has not looked much better with Patricia gone. They have given up 282 yard per game in the air over their last 3 and give up 2 TDs per game in the air. Tannehill only had 212 yards last week against the Jaguars but still threw 2 TDs.  The game before that he lit up the Browns and he has the chance to do the same this week against the Lions.

RB: J.K. Dobbins (BAL) – Yeah, I hate running back splits, but Dobbins is coming off a 13 carry, 53 yard and 1 TD performance against the Browns. He’s up against a Jaguars defense that is giving up 200 yard per game on the ground over their last 3. Granted, that’s Derek Henry, Dalvin Cook and Nick Chubb in those games. So it’s not that bad. But they rank 30^th in the league on the season and Dobbins should be able to put up some yards.

WR:  Marvin Jones Jr. (DET) – Tennessee has given up 294 yards in the air over their past 3 games and rank 29^th on the season as a whole in giving up yards in the air. The Titans also give up 2.2 passing TDs a game – which ties them with the Cowboys, Jets and Jaguars.

Fades

QB: Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) – Tua is coming off a solid game against the Chiefs but he also tossed his first career INT. The Patriots defense is top 8 in passing yards allowed per game with 218 yards allowed. This is down to 160 over their last 3 – which ranks 4^th best in the league during this time frame. The Pats give up 21.5 points per game and only 13.7 over their last 3. I’d avoid trusting Tua this week.

RB: Todd Gurley (ATL) – Gurley is averaging about 20 yards rushing per game over his last 3 and has no TDs in that timespan. He’s now facing the best rushing defense in the league as he faces a Bucs team that allows less than 81 yards rushing per game. Dalvin Cook did manage to get over 100 yards on Tampa, but Gurley is not Cook. So I wouldn’t depend on Gurley for anything this week.

WR: Brandin Cooks (HOU) – The Texans have a tougher matchup against the Colts defense this week. The Colts are in the Top 5 in not allowing receiving TDs and that will limit Cooks’ value here. Cooks is coming off an injury and will be even more vulnerable this week.

Defense

My playoffs start this week and I’m glad to have the Rams against the Jets this week. I think the Rams are the play at defense but it will cost you. So I might turn to the 49ers. They only give up 24 points per game and are facing a Cowboys team that has not been consistent offensively. The Niners picked up 2 sacks and an INT last week and Dallas ranks 24^th in QB sacks allowed per game and 23^rd in QB INTs per game.

Rich’s NFL Week 15 DFS Picks and Rankings