Degen Show (12/24/2020)

Your favorite Degens give you their best NFL Week 16 DFS Picks. Check back to see how they did last week in DFS.

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Max’s NFL Week 16 Friday Picks

Vikings at Saints

Spread: NO -7 (Bet Vikings)

Total: 50.5 (Lean Over – 54)

Predicted Score: Saints 29 – Vikings 25

Overview: Drew Brees eventually got things together last week but it was a rough start. He started the game missing his first 6 passes and did not look 100%. His top weapon, Michael Thomas, is seemingly out for the regular season. He’s still got Emmanuel Sanders and Jared Cook. And of course Alvin Kamara is legit. But the Saints offense is not something you should fear.

Then again, there’s the Vikings shitty defense that can make any team look good. You’d expect the Vikings to try to come out strong this week with a playoff spot still a possibility. I just don’t believe they have the talent to do it.

Offensively, the Vikings have plenty of weapons but are facing a stout New Orleans defense. Minnesota should still be able to score some points and hang with the Saints. We’ve seen some upsets this week so no shocker if Kirk gets a big win but I don’t need them to. I just need to stay within 7.

I’ll bet the Vikings.

Other Things

Hawaii vs. Houston (New Mexico Bowl)

I like Hawaii +7.5 against Houston in the New Mexico bowl. This shouldn’t be a great game – mainly due to some bad field conditions that will see the game moved to Frisco, Texas where brutal winds are expected. Chevan Cordeiro has been a bright spot for the Rainbow Warriors this season should be able to keep things close with Houston.

I’d also lean the over in that game as 48.5.

Marshall at Buffalo (Cramton Bowl)

I’ve been following the Bulls this season and it’s been fun. Now they close out the year against Marshall in the Crampton Bowl where they are favored by 5.5. It should be a winnable and coverable game for Buffalo. I also love the under 54 in this one as Marshall’s offense has been stagnant lately and might not be able to hold up their end of the bargain here.

Max’s NFL Week 16 DFS Picks

The frauds are dead. As in my standard fantasy team finally shit the bed when it mattered. A 12-2 season is pointless if you get bounced in the first round of the playoffs. Just ask the Packers.

The Rams’ defense killed me but I also saw bad performances from Amari Cooper and Adam Thielen And Mr. Rodgers himself had an off week. On to the 3^rd place game this weekend!

As for DFS, also had a stinker due to trusting Jared Goff and the Rams’ D. Time to turn the page to week 16.

Stacks

The obvious thing to say here is to take Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce against the Falcons and try to scrap together value everywhere else in your lineup. And it could work. But my stack this week will be two Jalens. I’ll put the Eagles Jalen Hurts along with wide receiver Jalen Reagor up against the Cowboys.

Reagor was limited in practice but should be good to go this week.

The Cowboys have given up 24 receiving TDs this year – ranking last in the league there – and they are coming off a game where they gave up 308 yards in the air.

Value

QB: Mitch Trubisky (CHI) – Rich convinced me. I’m on the Trubisky train for now. And he’s going up against a Jaguars’ defense that is 28^th in the league in passing yards allowed per game (271.7) and second to last in TDs to receivers (2.2 per game). Trubisky has been playing well since taking back over and could have a solid week.

RB: Le’Veon Bell (KC) – The Falcons aren’t bad against the run. In fact, they are top 10 in rushing yards allowed per game by only giving up 104.7 per game. So why is Bell valuable here – especially since Andy Reid might not even know his name?

For one, Clyde Edwards-Helaire appears to be out this week. That should give Bell the green light as the lead back.

For two, Bell is coming off a performance that hopefully caught Reid’s attention. Bell had 62 yards and a TD last week.

But most importantly, Bell can catch the ball and act as another receiver this week against a Falcons pass defense that can be exploited.

WR: D.J. Moore (CAR) – The Panthers will be going against a tough defense this week as Washington gives up the 3^rd least passing yards per game and does well with avoiding pass TDs. But Bridgewater has been fairly consistent and has been targeting Moore a lot recently.

Moore is coming off 4 straight solid games and is averaging double digit targets over this span. Moore could be a good value receiver if you end up stacking Mahomes and Hill or Kelce this week.

 

Fades

QB: Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) – Man, the dude is slumping badly right now and faces a fairly good (almost #1) defense in the Colts. Ben will try too hard this week to right the ship and force things. I foresee a bad week for Big Ben.

RB: Frank Gore (NYJ) – Maybe I’m just salty about that catch last week that sealed the game for the Jets. Or maybe it’s because I think old man Gore will be shutdown by the Browns defense. Either way, I wouldn’t toss Gore in your lineup as a filler spot to try to find value.

WR: T.Y. Hilton (IND) – I think the Hilton train has been shutdown for now. He’s facing a tougher Steelers’ defense this week and the Colts receiving crew is getting healthier – meaning Rivers can spread the ball around a bit more.

 

Defense

I kind of like the Cardinals’ defense this week against the Niners. San Francisco has a lot of questions at QB right now and while they put up 33 against the Cowboys last week, they regularly haven’t been putting up big offensive scoring outbursts.

The Cardinals defense is decent enough – ranking 13^th in both points allowed and total yards per game. But they also have the ability to shutdown beleaguered offenses. Ask the Giants about that. There’s good value here if you don’t want to pony up for the Browns or Bears.

 

Rich’s NFL Week 16 DFS Picks and Rankings

Rank	Name	Team	Position
1	Patrick Mahomes	KAN	QB
2	Deshaun Watson	HOU	QB
3	Jared Goff	LAR	QB
4	Justin Herbert	LAC	QB
5	Mitchell Trubisky	CHI	QB
6	Travis Kelce	KAN	TE
7	Tyreek Hill	KAN	WR
8	Jalen Hurts	PHI	QB
9	Lamar Jackson	BAL	QB
10	Russell Wilson	SEA	QB
11	Baker Mayfield	CLE	QB
12	Andy Dalton	DAL	QB
13	Ben Roethlisberger	PIT	QB
14	Ryan Finley	CIN	QB
15	Gardner Minshew II	JAX	QB
16	Miles Sanders	PHI	RB
17	Daniel Jones	NYG	QB
18	Joe Burrow	CIN	QB
19	Matt Ryan	ATL	QB
20	Sam Darnold	NYJ	QB
21	Austin Ekeler	LAC	RB
22	Terry McLaurin	WAS	WR
23	Philip Rivers	IND	QB
24	Teddy Bridgewater	CAR	QB
25	Colt McCoy	NYG	QB
26	Giovani Bernard	CIN	RB
27	Drew Lock	DEN	QB
28	David Montgomery	CHI	RB
29	Ezekiel Elliott	DAL	RB
30	Chris Carson	SEA	RB
31	Brandin Cooks	HOU	WR
32	Le’Veon Bell	KAN	RB
33	James Robinson	JAX	RB
34	Allen Robinson	CHI	WR
35	Jarvis Landry	CLE	WR
36	Mike Davis	CAR	RB
37	Cam Akers	LAR	RB
38	Amari Cooper	DAL	WR
39	Jonathan Taylor	IND	RB
40	D.K. Metcalf	SEA	WR
41	Kareem Hunt	CLE	RB
42	Robert Woods	LAR	WR
43	Nick Foles	CHI	QB
44	Antonio Gibson	WAS	RB
45	Nick Chubb	CLE	RB
46	CeeDee Lamb	DAL	WR
47	Calvin Ridley	ATL	WR
48	Cooper Kupp	LAR	WR
49	Keke Coutee	HOU	WR
50	Tyler Boyd	CIN	WR
51	Melvin Gordon	DEN	RB
52	Keenan Allen	LAC	WR
53	Tee Higgins	CIN	WR
54	Rashard Higgins	CLE	WR
55	J.K. Dobbins	BAL	RB
56	Logan Thomas	WAS	TE
57	J.D. McKissic	WAS	RB
58	Ty Johnson	NYJ	RB
59	Ito Smith	ATL	RB
60	D.J. Moore	CAR	WR
61	Tyler Lockett	SEA	WR
62	Robby Anderson	CAR	WR
63	Diontae Johnson	PIT	WR
64	Gus Edwards	BAL	RB
65	David Johnson	HOU	RB
66	Michael Gallup	DAL	WR
67	Chase Claypool	PIT	WR
68	Peyton Barber	WAS	RB
69	Chad Hansen	HOU	WR
70	Carson Wentz	PHI	QB
71	Marquise Brown	BAL	WR
72	James Conner	PIT	RB
73	Tim Patrick	DEN	WR
74	Jerry Jeudy	DEN	WR
75	JuJu Smith-Schuster	PIT	WR
76	Darius Slayton	NYG	WR
77	Tony Pollard	DAL	RB
78	Joe Mixon	CIN	RB
79	Nyheim Hines	IND	RB
80	Frank Gore	NYJ	RB
81	Darrell Henderson	LAR	RB
82	Julio Jones	ATL	WR
83	Curtis Samuel	CAR	WR
84	Mark Andrews	BAL	TE
85	DJ Chark	JAX	WR
86	Alex Smith	WAS	QB
87	Kalen Ballage	LAC	RB
88	Dwayne Haskins	WAS	QB
89	Noah Fant	DEN	TE
90	Mecole Hardman	KAN	WR
91	Dalton Schultz	DAL	TE
92	Wayne Gallman	NYG	RB
93	Darnell Mooney	CHI	WR
94	Russell Gage	ATL	WR
95	Jamison Crowder	NYJ	WR
96	Hunter Henry	LAC	TE
97	Keelan Cole	JAX	WR
98	Josh Reynolds	LAR	WR
99	Austin Hooper	CLE	TE
100	T.Y. Hilton	IND	WR
101	Mike Williams	LAC	WR
102	Boston Scott	PHI	RB
103	Laviska Shenault Jr.	JAX	WR
104	Anthony Miller	CHI	WR
105	Joshua Kelley	LAC	RB
106	Eric Ebron	PIT	TE
107	Phillip Lindsay	DEN	RB
108	Duke Johnson	HOU	RB
109	Travis Fulgham	PHI	WR
110	A.J. Green	CIN	WR
111	Dallas Goedert	PHI	TE
112	Malcolm Brown	LAR	RB
113	Tyler Higbee	LAR	TE
114	Sterling Shepard	NYG	WR
115	Cole Kmet	CHI	TE
116	Sammy Watkins	KAN	WR
117	Odell Beckham Jr.	CLE	WR
118	Randall Cobb	HOU	WR
119	KJ Hamler	DEN	WR
120	Jimmy Graham	CHI	TE
121	Demarcus Robinson	KAN	WR
122	Zach Pascal	IND	WR
123	Jalen Guyton	LAC	WR
124	Joe Flacco	NYJ	QB
125	Breshad Perriman	NYJ	WR
126	Willie Snead	BAL	WR
127	Hayden Hurst	ATL	TE
128	Gerald Everett	LAR	TE
129	Brian Hill	ATL	RB
130	Jordan Wilkins	IND	RB
131	Golden Tate	NYG	WR
132	Todd Gurley	ATL	RB
133	James Washington	PIT	WR
134	Michael Pittman Jr.	IND	WR
135	Jalen Reagor	PHI	WR
136	Greg Ward	PHI	WR
137	Cordarrelle Patterson	CHI	WR
138	David Moore	SEA	WR
139	Benny Snell Jr.	PIT	RB
140	Jordan Akins	HOU	TE
141	Drew Sample	CIN	TE
142	Justin Jackson	LAC	RB
143	Christian McCaffrey	CAR	RB
144	Cam Sims	WAS	WR
145	Richard Rodgers	PHI	TE
146	Donovan Peoples-Jones	CLE	WR
147	Denzel Mims	NYJ	WR
148	Chris Conley	JAX	WR
149	Tyron Johnson	LAC	WR
150	Braxton Berrios	NYJ	WR
151	Carlos Hyde	SEA	RB
152	Mo Alie-Cox	IND	TE
153	Marvin Hall	CLE	WR
154	Tyler Eifert	JAX	TE
155	Darren Fells	HOU	TE
156	Kyle Allen	WAS	QB
157	Brandon Allen	CIN	QB
158	Mark Ingram	BAL	RB
159	Zach Ertz	PHI	TE
160	Jake Luton	JAX	QB
161	Mike Glennon	JAX	QB
162	Collin Johnson	JAX	WR
163	Jeff Driskel	DEN	QB
164	Devin Duvernay	BAL	WR
165	La’Mical Perine	NYJ	RB
166	Harrison Bryant	CLE	TE
167	Olamide Zaccheaus	ATL	WR
168	James O’Shaughnessy	JAX	TE
169	Samaje Perine	CIN	RB
170	Miles Boykin	BAL	WR
171	DaeSean Hamilton	DEN	WR
172	Marcus Johnson	IND	WR
173	Darrel Williams	KAN	RB
174	Royce Freeman	DEN	RB
175	David Njoku	CLE	TE
176	Dion Lewis	NYG	RB
177	Devonta Freeman	NYG	RB
178	Isaiah Wright	WAS	WR
179	Alfred Morris	NYG	RB
180	Greg Olsen	SEA	TE
181	Trey Burton	IND	TE
182	Will Dissly	SEA	TE
183	Steven Sims	WAS	WR
184	Chris Herndon	NYJ	TE
185	KhaDarel Hodge	CLE	WR
186	Van Jefferson	LAR	WR
187	Noah Brown	DAL	WR
188	DeeJay Dallas	SEA	RB
189	D’Ernest Johnson	CLE	RB
190	DeSean Jackson	PHI	WR
191	Garrett Gilbert	DAL	QB
192	John Hightower	PHI	WR
193	Jacob Hollister	SEA	TE
194	Jeff Smith	NYJ	WR
195	Auden Tate	CIN	WR
196	Jack Doyle	IND	TE
197	Dontrelle Inman	WAS	WR
198	Brett Rypien	DEN	QB
199	Ben DiNucci	DAL	QB
200	Mike Thomas	CIN	WR
201	Travis Homer	SEA	RB
202	Freddie Swain	SEA	WR
203	Ray-Ray McCloud	PIT	WR
204	Anthony McFarland Jr.	PIT	RB
205	Albert Okwuegbunam	DEN	TE
206	Rodney Smith	CAR	RB
207	Byron Pringle	KAN	WR
208	Tarik Cohen	CHI	RB
209	Trayveon Williams	CIN	RB
210	Josh Adams	NYJ	RB
211	Blake Bell	DAL	TE
212	Christian Blake	ATL	WR
213	Nick Boyle	BAL	TE
214	Ian Thomas	CAR	TE
215	Corey Clement	PHI	RB
216	Nick Vannett	DEN	TE
217	Tyrod Taylor	LAC	QB
218	Kaden Smith	NYG	TE
219	C.J. Uzomah	CIN	TE
220	Alshon Jeffery	PHI	WR
221	Pharaoh Brown	HOU	TE
222	C.J. Board	NYG	WR
223	Reggie Bonnafon	CAR	RB
224	Ryan Griffin	NYJ	TE
225	Robert Griffin III	BAL	QB
226	Austin Mack	NYG	WR
227	Ryan Nall	CHI	RB
228	Parris Campbell	IND	WR
229	Nick Keizer	KAN	TE
230	Jaylen Samuels	PIT	RB
231	Buddy Howell	HOU	RB
232	Troy Fumagalli	DEN	TE
233	Donald Parham	LAC	TE
234	K.J. Hill	LAC	WR
235	Vance McDonald	PIT	TE
236	Brandon Powell	ATL	WR
237	Trace McSorley	BAL	QB
238	Javon Wims	CHI	WR
239	Johnny Mundt	LAR	TE
240	Justice Hill	BAL	RB
241	Alex Erickson	CIN	WR
242	Demetrius Harris	CHI	TE
243	Marlon Mack	IND	RB
244	Pharoh Cooper	CAR	WR
245	Dontrell Hilliard	CLE	RB
246	Ashton Dulin	IND	WR
247	Trenton Cannon	CAR	RB
248	Darwin Thompson	KAN	RB
249	Virgil Green	LAC	TE
250	Dare Ogunbowale	JAX	RB
251	JJ Arcega-Whiteside	PHI	WR
252	Patrick Ricard	BAL	RB
253	Riley Ridley	CHI	WR
254	Keith Smith	ATL	RB
255	Quez Watkins	PHI	WR
256	Chris Manhertz	CAR	TE
257	Dez Bryant	BAL	WR
258	C.J. Prosise	HOU	RB
259	Devine Ozigbo	JAX	RB
260	Levine Toilolo	NYG	TE
261	Lawrence Cager	NYJ	WR
262	Cethan Carter	CIN	TE
263	Luke Stocker	ATL	TE
264	Joe Reed	LAC	WR
265	Kahale Warring	HOU	TE
266	Elijhaa Penny	NYG	RB
267	Antonio Gandy-Golden	WAS	WR
268	Rico Dowdle	DAL	RB
269	Brandon Zylstra	CAR	WR
270	Case Keenum	CLE	QB
271	Gabe Nabers	LAC	RB
272	Jacoby Brissett	IND	QB
273	Jaeden Graham	ATL	TE
274	Deon Yelder	KAN	TE
275	Alex Armah	CAR	RB
276	Tyler Huntley	BAL	QB
277	Tyrie Cleveland	DEN	WR
278	Laquon Treadwell	ATL	WR
279	Andy Janovich	CLE	RB
280	Scottie Phillips	HOU	RB
281	Jason Huntley	PHI	RB
282	Diontae Spencer	DEN	WR
283	Penny Hart	SEA	WR
284	Chad Henne	KAN	QB
285	James Proche	BAL	WR
286	Colby Parkinson	SEA	TE
287	Blake Jarwin	DAL	TE
288	Geno Smith	SEA	QB
289	Stephen Carlson	CLE	TE
290	Vyncint Smith	NYJ	WR
291	Nick Bellore	SEA	RB
292	Keith Kirkwood	CAR	WR
293	Ben Ellefson	JAX	TE
294	Artavis Pierce	CHI	RB
295	Temarrick Hemingway	WAS	TE
296	Robert Foster	WAS	WR
297	Anthony Sherman	KAN	RB
298	Lamar Miller	CHI	RB
299	Eric Saubert	JAX	TE
300	Stephen Anderson	LAC	TE
301	Jeremy Sprinkle	WAS	TE
302	Colin Thompson	CAR	TE
303	Jake Butt	DEN	TE
304	Trevon Wesco	NYJ	TE
305	Rashaad Penny	SEA	RB
306	Dede Westbrook	JAX	WR
307	JoJo Natson	CLE	WR
308	Qadree Ollison	ATL	RB
309	Marcus Baugh	WAS	TE
310	Easton Stick	LAC	QB
311	Mason Rudolph	PIT	QB
312	Matt Schaub	ATL	QB