Degen Show (12/24/2020)

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Max’s NFL Week 16 Friday Picks

Vikings at Saints

NFL Week 16 DFS Picks

Spread: NO -7 (Bet Vikings)

Total: 50.5 (Lean Over – 54)

Predicted Score: Saints 29 – Vikings 25

Overview: Drew Brees eventually got things together last week but it was a rough start. He started the game missing his first 6 passes and did not look 100%. His top weapon, Michael Thomas, is seemingly out for the regular season. He’s still got Emmanuel Sanders and Jared Cook. And of course Alvin Kamara is legit. But the Saints offense is not something you should fear.

Then again, there’s the Vikings shitty defense that can make any team look good. You’d expect the Vikings to try to come out strong this week with a playoff spot still a possibility. I just don’t believe they have the talent to do it.

Offensively, the Vikings have plenty of weapons but are facing a stout New Orleans defense. Minnesota should still be able to score some points and hang with the Saints. We’ve seen some upsets this week so no shocker if Kirk gets a big win but I don’t need them to. I just need to stay within 7.

I’ll bet the Vikings.

Other Things

Hawaii vs. Houston (New Mexico Bowl)

I like Hawaii +7.5 against Houston in the New Mexico bowl. This shouldn’t be a great game – mainly due to some bad field conditions that will see the game moved to Frisco, Texas where brutal winds are expected. Chevan Cordeiro has been a bright spot for the Rainbow Warriors this season should be able to keep things close with Houston.

I’d also lean the over in that game as 48.5.

Marshall at Buffalo (Cramton Bowl)

I’ve been following the Bulls this season and it’s been fun. Now they close out the year against Marshall in the Crampton Bowl where they are favored by 5.5. It should be a winnable and coverable game for Buffalo. I also love the under 54 in this one as Marshall’s offense has been stagnant lately and might not be able to hold up their end of the bargain here.

Max’s NFL Week 16 DFS Picks

The frauds are dead. As in my standard fantasy team finally shit the bed when it mattered. A 12-2 season is pointless if you get bounced in the first round of the playoffs. Just ask the Packers.

The Rams’ defense killed me but I also saw bad performances from Amari Cooper and Adam Thielen And Mr. Rodgers himself had an off week. On to the 3rd place game this weekend!

As for DFS, also had a stinker due to trusting Jared Goff and the Rams’ D. Time to turn the page to week 16.


NFL Week 16 DFS Picks

The obvious thing to say here is to take Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce against the Falcons and try to scrap together value everywhere else in your lineup. And it could work. But my stack this week will be two Jalens. I’ll put the Eagles Jalen Hurts along with wide receiver Jalen Reagor up against the Cowboys.

Reagor was limited in practice but should be good to go this week.

The Cowboys have given up 24 receiving TDs this year – ranking last in the league there – and they are coming off a game where they gave up 308 yards in the air.


NFL Week 16 DFS Picks

QB: Mitch Trubisky (CHI) – Rich convinced me. I’m on the Trubisky train for now. And he’s going up against a Jaguars’ defense that is 28th in the league in passing yards allowed per game (271.7) and second to last in TDs to receivers (2.2 per game). Trubisky has been playing well since taking back over and could have a solid week.

RB: Le’Veon Bell (KC) – The Falcons aren’t bad against the run. In fact, they are top 10 in rushing yards allowed per game by only giving up 104.7 per game. So why is Bell valuable here – especially since Andy Reid might not even know his name?

For one, Clyde Edwards-Helaire appears to be out this week. That should give Bell the green light as the lead back.

For two, Bell is coming off a performance that hopefully caught Reid’s attention. Bell had 62 yards and a TD last week.

But most importantly, Bell can catch the ball and act as another receiver this week against a Falcons pass defense that can be exploited.

WR: D.J. Moore (CAR) – The Panthers will be going against a tough defense this week as Washington gives up the 3rd least passing yards per game and does well with avoiding pass TDs. But Bridgewater has been fairly consistent and has been targeting Moore a lot recently.

Moore is coming off 4 straight solid games and is averaging double digit targets over this span. Moore could be a good value receiver if you end up stacking Mahomes and Hill or Kelce this week.



NFL Week 16 DFS Picks

QB: Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) – Man, the dude is slumping badly right now and faces a fairly good (almost #1) defense in the Colts. Ben will try too hard this week to right the ship and force things. I foresee a bad week for Big Ben.

RB: Frank Gore (NYJ) – Maybe I’m just salty about that catch last week that sealed the game for the Jets. Or maybe it’s because I think old man Gore will be shutdown by the Browns defense. Either way, I wouldn’t toss Gore in your lineup as a filler spot to try to find value.

WR: T.Y. Hilton (IND) – I think the Hilton train has been shutdown for now. He’s facing a tougher Steelers’ defense this week and the Colts receiving crew is getting healthier – meaning Rivers can spread the ball around a bit more.



NFL Week 16 DFS Picks

I kind of like the Cardinals’ defense this week against the Niners. San Francisco has a lot of questions at QB right now and while they put up 33 against the Cowboys last week, they regularly haven’t been putting up big offensive scoring outbursts.

The Cardinals defense is decent enough – ranking 13th in both points allowed and total yards per game. But they also have the ability to shutdown beleaguered offenses. Ask the Giants about that. There’s good value here if you don’t want to pony up for the Browns or Bears.


Rich’s NFL Week 16 DFS Picks and Rankings

Rank Name Team Position
1 Patrick Mahomes KAN QB
2 Deshaun Watson HOU QB
3 Jared Goff LAR QB
4 Justin Herbert LAC QB
5 Mitchell Trubisky CHI QB
6 Travis Kelce KAN TE
7 Tyreek Hill KAN WR
8 Jalen Hurts PHI QB
9 Lamar Jackson BAL QB
10 Russell Wilson SEA QB
11 Baker Mayfield CLE QB
12 Andy Dalton DAL QB
13 Ben Roethlisberger PIT QB
14 Ryan Finley CIN QB
15 Gardner Minshew II JAX QB
16 Miles Sanders PHI RB
17 Daniel Jones NYG QB
18 Joe Burrow CIN QB
19 Matt Ryan ATL QB
20 Sam Darnold NYJ QB
21 Austin Ekeler LAC RB
22 Terry McLaurin WAS WR
23 Philip Rivers IND QB
24 Teddy Bridgewater CAR QB
25 Colt McCoy NYG QB
26 Giovani Bernard CIN RB
27 Drew Lock DEN QB
28 David Montgomery CHI RB
29 Ezekiel Elliott DAL RB
30 Chris Carson SEA RB
31 Brandin Cooks HOU WR
32 Le’Veon Bell KAN RB
33 James Robinson JAX RB
34 Allen Robinson CHI WR
35 Jarvis Landry CLE WR
36 Mike Davis CAR RB
37 Cam Akers LAR RB
38 Amari Cooper DAL WR
39 Jonathan Taylor IND RB
40 D.K. Metcalf SEA WR
41 Kareem Hunt CLE RB
42 Robert Woods LAR WR
43 Nick Foles CHI QB
44 Antonio Gibson WAS RB
45 Nick Chubb CLE RB
46 CeeDee Lamb DAL WR
47 Calvin Ridley ATL WR
48 Cooper Kupp LAR WR
49 Keke Coutee HOU WR
50 Tyler Boyd CIN WR
51 Melvin Gordon DEN RB
52 Keenan Allen LAC WR
53 Tee Higgins CIN WR
54 Rashard Higgins CLE WR
55 J.K. Dobbins BAL RB
56 Logan Thomas WAS TE
57 J.D. McKissic WAS RB
58 Ty Johnson NYJ RB
59 Ito Smith ATL RB
60 D.J. Moore CAR WR
61 Tyler Lockett SEA WR
62 Robby Anderson CAR WR
63 Diontae Johnson PIT WR
64 Gus Edwards BAL RB
65 David Johnson HOU RB
66 Michael Gallup DAL WR
67 Chase Claypool PIT WR
68 Peyton Barber WAS RB
69 Chad Hansen HOU WR
70 Carson Wentz PHI QB
71 Marquise Brown BAL WR
72 James Conner PIT RB
73 Tim Patrick DEN WR
74 Jerry Jeudy DEN WR
75 JuJu Smith-Schuster PIT WR
76 Darius Slayton NYG WR
77 Tony Pollard DAL RB
78 Joe Mixon CIN RB
79 Nyheim Hines IND RB
80 Frank Gore NYJ RB
81 Darrell Henderson LAR RB
82 Julio Jones ATL WR
83 Curtis Samuel CAR WR
84 Mark Andrews BAL TE
85 DJ Chark JAX WR
86 Alex Smith WAS QB
87 Kalen Ballage LAC RB
88 Dwayne Haskins WAS QB
89 Noah Fant DEN TE
90 Mecole Hardman KAN WR
91 Dalton Schultz DAL TE
92 Wayne Gallman NYG RB
93 Darnell Mooney CHI WR
94 Russell Gage ATL WR
95 Jamison Crowder NYJ WR
96 Hunter Henry LAC TE
97 Keelan Cole JAX WR
98 Josh Reynolds LAR WR
99 Austin Hooper CLE TE
100 T.Y. Hilton IND WR
101 Mike Williams LAC WR
102 Boston Scott PHI RB
103 Laviska Shenault Jr. JAX WR
104 Anthony Miller CHI WR
105 Joshua Kelley LAC RB
106 Eric Ebron PIT TE
107 Phillip Lindsay DEN RB
108 Duke Johnson HOU RB
109 Travis Fulgham PHI WR
110 A.J. Green CIN WR
111 Dallas Goedert PHI TE
112 Malcolm Brown LAR RB
113 Tyler Higbee LAR TE
114 Sterling Shepard NYG WR
115 Cole Kmet CHI TE
116 Sammy Watkins KAN WR
117 Odell Beckham Jr. CLE WR
118 Randall Cobb HOU WR
119 KJ Hamler DEN WR
120 Jimmy Graham CHI TE
121 Demarcus Robinson KAN WR
122 Zach Pascal IND WR
123 Jalen Guyton LAC WR
124 Joe Flacco NYJ QB
125 Breshad Perriman NYJ WR
126 Willie Snead BAL WR
127 Hayden Hurst ATL TE
128 Gerald Everett LAR TE
129 Brian Hill ATL RB
130 Jordan Wilkins IND RB
131 Golden Tate NYG WR
132 Todd Gurley ATL RB
133 James Washington PIT WR
134 Michael Pittman Jr. IND WR
135 Jalen Reagor PHI WR
136 Greg Ward PHI WR
137 Cordarrelle Patterson CHI WR
138 David Moore SEA WR
139 Benny Snell Jr. PIT RB
140 Jordan Akins HOU TE
141 Drew Sample CIN TE
142 Justin Jackson LAC RB
143 Christian McCaffrey CAR RB
144 Cam Sims WAS WR
145 Richard Rodgers PHI TE
146 Donovan Peoples-Jones CLE WR
147 Denzel Mims NYJ WR
148 Chris Conley JAX WR
149 Tyron Johnson LAC WR
150 Braxton Berrios NYJ WR
151 Carlos Hyde SEA RB
152 Mo Alie-Cox IND TE
153 Marvin Hall CLE WR
154 Tyler Eifert JAX TE
155 Darren Fells HOU TE
156 Kyle Allen WAS QB
157 Brandon Allen CIN QB
158 Mark Ingram BAL RB
159 Zach Ertz PHI TE
160 Jake Luton JAX QB
161 Mike Glennon JAX QB
162 Collin Johnson JAX WR
163 Jeff Driskel DEN QB
164 Devin Duvernay BAL WR
165 La’Mical Perine NYJ RB
166 Harrison Bryant CLE TE
167 Olamide Zaccheaus ATL WR
168 James O’Shaughnessy JAX TE
169 Samaje Perine CIN RB
170 Miles Boykin BAL WR
171 DaeSean Hamilton DEN WR
172 Marcus Johnson IND WR
173 Darrel Williams KAN RB
174 Royce Freeman DEN RB
175 David Njoku CLE TE
176 Dion Lewis NYG RB
177 Devonta Freeman NYG RB
178 Isaiah Wright WAS WR
179 Alfred Morris NYG RB
180 Greg Olsen SEA TE
181 Trey Burton IND TE
182 Will Dissly SEA TE
183 Steven Sims WAS WR
184 Chris Herndon NYJ TE
185 KhaDarel Hodge CLE WR
186 Van Jefferson LAR WR
187 Noah Brown DAL WR
188 DeeJay Dallas SEA RB
189 D’Ernest Johnson CLE RB
190 DeSean Jackson PHI WR
191 Garrett Gilbert DAL QB
192 John Hightower PHI WR
193 Jacob Hollister SEA TE
194 Jeff Smith NYJ WR
195 Auden Tate CIN WR
196 Jack Doyle IND TE
197 Dontrelle Inman WAS WR
198 Brett Rypien DEN QB
199 Ben DiNucci DAL QB
200 Mike Thomas CIN WR
201 Travis Homer SEA RB
202 Freddie Swain SEA WR
203 Ray-Ray McCloud PIT WR
204 Anthony McFarland Jr. PIT RB
205 Albert Okwuegbunam DEN TE
206 Rodney Smith CAR RB
207 Byron Pringle KAN WR
208 Tarik Cohen CHI RB
209 Trayveon Williams CIN RB
210 Josh Adams NYJ RB
211 Blake Bell DAL TE
212 Christian Blake ATL WR
213 Nick Boyle BAL TE
214 Ian Thomas CAR TE
215 Corey Clement PHI RB
216 Nick Vannett DEN TE
217 Tyrod Taylor LAC QB
218 Kaden Smith NYG TE
219 C.J. Uzomah CIN TE
220 Alshon Jeffery PHI WR
221 Pharaoh Brown HOU TE
222 C.J. Board NYG WR
223 Reggie Bonnafon CAR RB
224 Ryan Griffin NYJ TE
225 Robert Griffin III BAL QB
226 Austin Mack NYG WR
227 Ryan Nall CHI RB
228 Parris Campbell IND WR
229 Nick Keizer KAN TE
230 Jaylen Samuels PIT RB
231 Buddy Howell HOU RB
232 Troy Fumagalli DEN TE
233 Donald Parham LAC TE
234 K.J. Hill LAC WR
235 Vance McDonald PIT TE
236 Brandon Powell ATL WR
237 Trace McSorley BAL QB
238 Javon Wims CHI WR
239 Johnny Mundt LAR TE
240 Justice Hill BAL RB
241 Alex Erickson CIN WR
242 Demetrius Harris CHI TE
243 Marlon Mack IND RB
244 Pharoh Cooper CAR WR
245 Dontrell Hilliard CLE RB
246 Ashton Dulin IND WR
247 Trenton Cannon CAR RB
248 Darwin Thompson KAN RB
249 Virgil Green LAC TE
250 Dare Ogunbowale JAX RB
251 JJ Arcega-Whiteside PHI WR
252 Patrick Ricard BAL RB
253 Riley Ridley CHI WR
254 Keith Smith ATL RB
255 Quez Watkins PHI WR
256 Chris Manhertz CAR TE
257 Dez Bryant BAL WR
258 C.J. Prosise HOU RB
259 Devine Ozigbo JAX RB
260 Levine Toilolo NYG TE
261 Lawrence Cager NYJ WR
262 Cethan Carter CIN TE
263 Luke Stocker ATL TE
264 Joe Reed LAC WR
265 Kahale Warring HOU TE
266 Elijhaa Penny NYG RB
267 Antonio Gandy-Golden WAS WR
268 Rico Dowdle DAL RB
269 Brandon Zylstra CAR WR
270 Case Keenum CLE QB
271 Gabe Nabers LAC RB
272 Jacoby Brissett IND QB
273 Jaeden Graham ATL TE
274 Deon Yelder KAN TE
275 Alex Armah CAR RB
276 Tyler Huntley BAL QB
277 Tyrie Cleveland DEN WR
278 Laquon Treadwell ATL WR
279 Andy Janovich CLE RB
280 Scottie Phillips HOU RB
281 Jason Huntley PHI RB
282 Diontae Spencer DEN WR
283 Penny Hart SEA WR
284 Chad Henne KAN QB
285 James Proche BAL WR
286 Colby Parkinson SEA TE
287 Blake Jarwin DAL TE
288 Geno Smith SEA QB
289 Stephen Carlson CLE TE
290 Vyncint Smith NYJ WR
291 Nick Bellore SEA RB
292 Keith Kirkwood CAR WR
293 Ben Ellefson JAX TE
294 Artavis Pierce CHI RB
295 Temarrick Hemingway WAS TE
296 Robert Foster WAS WR
297 Anthony Sherman KAN RB
298 Lamar Miller CHI RB
299 Eric Saubert JAX TE
300 Stephen Anderson LAC TE
301 Jeremy Sprinkle WAS TE
302 Colin Thompson CAR TE
303 Jake Butt DEN TE
304 Trevon Wesco NYJ TE
305 Rashaad Penny SEA RB
306 Dede Westbrook JAX WR
307 JoJo Natson CLE WR
308 Qadree Ollison ATL RB
309 Marcus Baugh WAS TE
310 Easton Stick LAC QB
311 Mason Rudolph PIT QB
312 Matt Schaub ATL QB
About the Author

Mad Max is a gentle soul who enjoys drinking gin, grooming his beard and betting on sports.

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