November 14th Thursday Night Football, NBA and NHL Degeneracy

Excepts from Mad Max’s notes:

NFL

Steelers at Browns 

The Steelers are coming off an impressive win over the Rams making it their fourth in a row. The Browns barely got a win over the Bills this past week. Seems like the Steelers will get James Connor back which is good because the Browns rush defense isn’t stellar and with Mason Rudolph struggling a bit, having a big game on the ground will be key. I think the Browns will mimic that game plan and we can expect an old school, low scoring, grinding type game.

NBA

Heat at Cavs

Miami is off to one of their best starts since LeBron donned a Heat jersey. They play LeBron’s other old team and they continue to look not bad. The Cavs are coming off a close loss to the Sixers as Kevin Love’s game winning shot rimmed out. The Cavs are 6-2-2 against the spread. Seeing the Heat -3.5 here but no real data.

Clippers at Pelicans

Paul George is slated to make his debut tonight. He’s listed as probable. It’s up in the air to see if Kawhi Leonard will play too. He played in last night’s loss to the Rockets and played 41 minutes. So, load management might be at play here with a subpar opponent like the Pelicans. New Orleans is also coming off a loss to the Rockets from a few days ago. The Clippers on the road -6 seems accurate here.

Mavs at Knicks

After getting blown out by the Bulls, the Knicks are at a point where they are itching to fire Fizdale. If they get beat badly at home by Porzingis and the Mavs, that could be the end. The Knicks have two wins and one was a stunning upset over Dallas. But surrounded by that win is four losses by an average of 20 points. Dallas has beaten lesser teams like Memphis and Cleveland by double digits.

Bulls at Bucks

The Bulls are coming off a very big win over the Knicks while the Bucks are coming off a close win over the Thunder. It dropped Milwaukee to 4-5 against the spread as a favorite this season. In that close win, the Bucks loss Khris Middleton for a few weeks. The Bulls saw some light out shooting from rookie Coby White, but the main attraction continues to be Zach Levine.

Hawks at Suns

If there’s one certainty in this game it’s that both teams will attempt a lot of three pointers. The Suns are coming off a loss to the Lakers but still managed to make 11 three pointers for their 8th consecutive game. Meth Curry could do that on his own. Or miss 11 threes. That’s the duality of Trae Young. The Hawks are coming off a good road win against the Nuggets. This is a tight one for me.

Nets at Nuggets

The Nuggets were playing with fire with some close wins and it caught up with them as they lost a close one to the Hawks. The Nets just can’t seem to find their way. While the Celtics and Kemba continue to shine, the Kyrie-led Nets are coming off back to back losses. And now they are in Denver for their fourth game of their Western Conference road trip. Can’t trust either team here.

NHL

Hurricanes at Sabres

The Sabres return home after two consecutive losses to the Lightning over in Europe. They’ve now lost 5 in a row by an average of more than 2 goals per game. Carolina broke their losing streak with an 8-2 beatdown of Ottawa on Monday. Carolina has almost an 8 shot differential compared to the Sabres. Meaning they get 4 more shots on goal and give up 4 less than Buffalo.

Coyotes at Wild

Maybe I was a game early on Arizona or maybe tonight will show me I should not bet against them. But this is their 5th game in 7 days and their last game was on Tuesday and they looked gassed but managed to pull out a win in OT.