Degen Show (1/28/22)
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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 1/28/22
BOS (2) at ATL (-2)
Pick: Bet $10 BOS ML
Total: 218.5 (Lean Over – 219)
Predicted Score: BOS 110 – ATL 109
Notes: Time to rip the band aid off. I can’t remember the last time I bet on the Celtics. In fact, I have probably bet against them more than on them.
Such is the tortured life of a Celtics fan.
Coming off a big win over the Kings, Boston will take the road and take on a Hawks team that has won 5 in a row.
Atlanta is also coming off a big win … over the Kings.
Man, the Kings suck!
Both teams are relatively healthy and I have this as a very close one. But ultimately I do think Boston can shock the Hawks and sneak out a win today.
Or go up big and lose. I’ll eye the live betting lines on this one for sure.
$10 bet on the Celtics.
DEN (-5.5) at NOP (5.5)
Pick: Bet $10 NOP ML
Total: 215 (Lean Over – 223)
Predicted Score: DEN 111 – NOP 112
Notes: The Nuggets have won 4 of their last 5 games but head to New Orleans to take on a Pelicans team that has won their last 4 home games.
They are coming off a loss to the Sixers – but they were without Brandon Ingram in that game.
Both he and Josh Hart are listed as questionable today – but I do believe they will end up playing.
In Zion Williamson news, he’s still fat.
Nikola Jokic is coming off a so-so game. He scored 26, had 10 rebounds and 8 assists. Such a scrub.
He should have another good game today as he eyes back-to-back MVPs. He’s had to play at this level again because, well, he doesn’t have much help.
Jamaal Murray should be returning at some point – which could be a boost.
But the Nuggets are still just a good team trying to hang with some really good teams in the West.
And in this matchup, I think they could be vulnerable to an upset.
$10 moneyline bet on the Pelicans.
NYK (9) at MIL (-9)
Pick: Bet $10 NYK ML
Total: 215.5 (Lean Under – 213)
Predicted Score: NYK 105 – MIL 108
Notes: We made some money from fading the Bucks the other night against Cleveland and maybe there’s a chance to make some money from fading them again today.
The Knicks are not playing some inspiring ball this season and lately, it seems even worse. Losers of 4 of their last 5, the Knicks have struggled to be consistent on offense.
This is their third straight road game and they lost their first two. Do they have a chance of winning today? I think better than the implied probability says in this one.
Milwaukee is 17-8 at home this season.
They have won their last 3 home games but other than a flex over the Grizzlies, they really have not shown up for all 4 quarters.
I am banking on them sleeping on the Knicks today. I still have them winning this one so maybe I should take the points.
But this sweet, sweet plus line is too tempting.
$10 moneyline bet on the Knicks.
DET (2) at ORL (-2)
Pick: Lean DET
Total: 211.5 (Lean Over – 216)
Predicted Score: DET 107 – ORL 109
LAL (6.5) at CHA (-6.5)
Pick: Lean LAL
Total: 228.5 (Lean Under – 216)
Predicted Score: LAL 106 – CHA 110
UTA (3) at MEM (-3)
Pick: Lean UTA
Total: 225 (Lean Under – 214)
Predicted Score: UTA 108 – MEM 106
POR (-2) at HOU (2)
Pick: Lean POR
Total: 232.5 (Lean Under – 225)
Predicted Score: POR 116 – HOU 109
IND (1) at OKC (-1)
Pick: Lean OKC
Total: 217.5 (Lean Over – 225)
Predicted Score: IND 112 – OKC 113
LAC (6) at MIA (-6)
Pick: Lean LAC
Total: 210.5 (Lean Over – 216)
Predicted Score: LAC 106 – MIA 110
CHI (-2) at SAS (2)
Pick: Lean SAS
Total: 229 (Lean Under – 217)
Predicted Score: CHI 107 – SAS 110
MIN (9.5) at PHX (-9.5)
Pick: Lean MIN
Total: 230.5 (Lean Under – 226)
Predicted Score: MIN 110 – PHX 116
Detroit Red Wings (185) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-230)
Pick: Bet $10 Pittsburgh
Notes: I hit on some value plays yesterday as the dogs were barking in the NHL for me. Today, I can only offer you chalk.
Yes, I was actually tempted in betting the Bruins today but instead, I’ll bet another pair of favorites with big minus lines and some room to get even worse.
Starting with the Penguins.
Fresh off a close loss to the Kraken last night, Pittsburgh will be ready to go and grab a win today. This is a team that had won 6 in a row before last night’s mistake.
And they are a really damn good home team.
Detroit? I can only find some value on them at home. When on the road, this team just forgets the basic elements of hockey. Like scoring. Or defense. Or skating.
It is a chalky one but I’ll do it anyway.
$10 bet on the Penguins.
Colorado Avalanche (-220) at Chicago Blackhawks (180)
Pick: Bet $10 Colorado
Notes: My other chalky one for the day is Colorado. They will lose eventually but I don’t think tonight is that night.
These teams played 4 days ago and Chicago kept it surprisingly close but still lost 2-0. While the offense for Colorado has been producing, let’s not ignore their defense as of late.
In the beginning of December, their goals against was 3.11. That’s now down to 2.95.
It has been a huge difference in this team winning games.
Chicago ranks 29th in goals scored per game, 22nd in goals allowed per game and I’d like to tell you their advanced metrics tell a different story. But they don’t.
Based on their shot selection, maybe they score a few more goals. But their goals against would be even worse if some high danger shots fell when they should have.
I could bet this game up even more. So consider this a value.
$10 bet on the Avalanche.
Minnesota Wild (-120) at New York Rangers (100)
Pick: Lean Minnesota
Boston Bruins (-370) at Arizona Coyotes (285)
Pick: Lean Boston
Washington Capitals (100) at Dallas Stars (-120)
Pick: Lean Dallas