Degen Show (11/17/22)
Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 11/17/22 – NFL Week 11 Thursday Night Football Bets, NBA Bets and NHL Bets. Download and listen to all of our stuff!
Powered by RedCircle
The Book Club is open for business.
If you want to join Max, Arch, Sex Panther, Saxy Maxy, Phil and maybe some other familiar faces in a private discord server to discuss even more sports betting you can!
Keep the Lights On Around Here!
Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 11/17/22
NFL Week 11 Thursday Night Football Bets
Tennessee (3.5) vs. Green Bay (-3)
Spread: Lean Tennessee
Total: Lean Under 41
Predicted Score: Tennessee 20 – Green Bay 17 (37)
Notes: We’ve been doing this show now for 4 years – give or take a pandemic or two.
And what I’ve learned – and what I’m sure listeners have learned – is that there’s three different methodologies for sports betting on this show.
Arch uses formulas and numbers to make his picks.
Panther uses some numbers – but relies a lot on the eye test and gut.
And I fall somewhere in between.
Which makes this game so difficult for me to bet today.
My numbers say to take the Titans.
I just don’t want to believe those numbers because my gut says the Packers are on the cusp of turning things around and a lot of those numbers don’t apply to what we’re about to see.
Green Bay scored 30 or more points 8 times in regular season last year.
Through 10 games, they have done that once this year.
The same week that saw Rodgers have his best QBR and rating all season.
The same week that saw Rodgers connect with Christian Watson for 107 yards and 3 TDs.
Maybe Lazard will still be the top target but with Watson, it looks like he has a number 2.
A number 2 that isn’t a broken down Randall Cobb or Sammy Watkins.
A number 2 that isn’t a running back.
And that could make the world of difference for Rodgers and the Packers.
Or, you know, I could be overreacting and the numbers are spot on and they fuck things up this week.
A lean on the Titans.
BKN (2.5) at POR (-2.5)
Pick: Bet $10 POR ML -144
Notes: Kevin Durant just took a steaming shit on his teammates when he posed the question should the Nets be winning with just him on the floor with.
“Look at our starting lineup. Edmond Sumner, Royce O’Neale, Joe Harris, [Nic] Claxton and me. It’s not disrespect, but what are you expecting from that group? You expect us to win because I’m out there. So if you’re watching from that lens, you’re expecting us to play well because number seven is out there.”
That’s what I fucking expect!
Isn’t that what great players do?
They win despite the adversity and make the players around them better.
It’s clear that Durant does not want to be there and desperately wants to go to a team where he can be his true Beta in Alpha clothes that he wants to be.
As for Portland, this team is pretty fucking good.
And they should get the win today.
$10 moneyline bet on the Blazers.
SAS (7) at SAC (-7)
Pick: Bet $10 SAC ML -280
Notes: I already expounded the offensive efforts of the Kings on yesterday’s show – much to Panther’s annoyance as I cut him off when he was trying to correctly avoid that fucking Warriors game.
So I won’t spend much time talking about them being second to only Boston in offensive efficiency.
Or them being second only to Boston in Effective Field goal percentage.
Or how they’ve won 4 in a row and put up 153 fucking points in their last outing.
No, won’t say any of that.
Instead, I’ll just say that I’ll eat the chalk and bet them to get the win today over a Spurs team that has lost 4 of 5 and is 25th in offensive efficiency.
$10 moneyline bet on Sacaremento.
DET (9) at LAC (-9)
Pick: Lean LAC
NHL bets and leans are posted exclusively at the Book Club.