Degen Show (11/19/21)
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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 11/19/21
LAL (1.5) at BOS (-1.5)
Pick: Bet $10 BOS ML
Total: 212.5 (Lean Under – 208)
Predicted Score: LAL 100 – BOS 108
Notes: The main variable in this one is if LeBron suits up. He’s been upgraded to questionable for this game. The other variable is which Boston team shows up. Typically when I bet on them, it’s the Boston team that loses by 20 in front of their home crowd.
But I’m a little pumped after watching the KG documentary last night and hoping some of the guys on this team have watched it too. I’m also hoping that the Lakers’ road shooting woes keep up that status quo today.
$10 moneyline bet on the Celtics.
OKC (13) at MIL (-13)
Pick: Bet $10 OKC ML
Total: 214.5 (Lean Under – 209)
Predicted Score: OKC 106 – MIL 103
Notes: The Bucks still don’t seem like a dominant team and the books seem to be juicing this line a bit. I get that OKC is not great competition but this line seems a lot higher than it should be for a Bucks team that is only 2-4 at home and have some ugly losses this past week.
Can OKC win? Maybe. Its probably unlikely. But at this value I think its worth a flyer. $10 moneyline bet on the Thunder.
LAC (-3.5) at NOP (3.5)
Pick: Bet $10 LAC ML
Total: 215.5 (Lean Under – 212)
Predicted Score: LAC 109 – NOP 103
Notes: The Clippers are playing in a back-to-back and got whacked yesterday by the Grizzlies. Trust me. I know. But now they head to New Orleans to take on a Pelicans team that is 2-14 on the season and only 1-6 at home.
New Orleans might see the round mound of beignet town soon as Zion progresses with his foot injury. I still don’t know if that will make a huge difference.
This team had a lot of flaws last year and it was pinned on coaching. After losing Lonso Ball to free agency, we can say the issues are deeper than coaching.
LA should get the win today. $10 moneyline bet on the Clippers.
IND (2.5) at CHA (-2.5)
Pick: Lean IND
Total: 215.5 (Lean Under – 204)
Predicted Score: IND 101 – CHA 103
GSW (-7.5) at DET (7.5)
Pick: Lean Golden State
Total: 210.5 (Lean Under – 208)
Predicted Score: GSW 109 – DET 99
ORL (12.5) at BKN (-12.5)
Pick: Lean Orlando
Total: 209.5 (Lean Over – 213)
Predicted Score: ORL 104 – BKN 109
CHI (3.5) at DEN (-3.5)
Pick: Lean DEN
Total: 211.5 (Lean Under – 207)
Predicted Score: CHI 102 – DEN 105
DAL (7.5) at PHX (-7.5)
Pick: Lean DAL
Total: 211.5 (Lean Over – 218)
Predicted Score: DAL 107 – PHX 111
TOR (3.5) at SAC (-3.5)
Pick: Lean SAC
Total: 218.5 (Lean Under – 218)
Predicted Score: TOR 106 – SAC 112
Winnipeg Jets (-125) at Vancouver Canucks (105)
Pick: Bet $10 Winnipeg
Notes: Winnipeg is coming off that tough loss to the Oilers yesterday but still remains one of the better teams in the league. On the other side of the ice, Vancouver has lost 5 in a row. If this was not a back-to-back situation, you could expect this line to be a lot worse for the Jets.
Even if Comrie gets the start in place of Hellebuyck, I still think the Jets can pull out the win. $10 bet on Winnipeg.
Colorado Avalanche (-155) at Seattle Kraken (135)
Pick: Bet $10 Colorado
Notes: It appears as if this expansion team will not have the same success as the Golden Knights did in their first season. The Kraken had some expectations based on their roster – but it has not come together. Goaltending and defense has certainly been an issue.
But maybe it does get better for them. Their expected goals against suggests they have been giving up some goals that are coming from lower percentage shot opportunities.
For Colorado, their offense is starting to click but more importantly, their goaltending is playing much better than earlier in the season. They should get the win today. $10 bet on the Avalanche.