Degen Show (11/26/21)
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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 11/26/21
MIN (2.5) at CHA (-2.5)
Pick: Bet $10 MIN ML
Total: 222.5 (Lean Under – 212)
Predicted Score: MIN 106 – CHA 106
Notes: Two teams that are playing some good basketball right now. Minnesota is riding a 5-game winning streak after beating the Heat two night ago. They head to Charlotte to face a Hornets team that has won 4 out of 5 games and 4 home wins in a row.
The main change for the T-Wolves is that Anthony Edwards is evolving into the lead scorer – allowing Karl Anthony Towns to be more impactful on defense and allowing D-Lo to be an offensive creator.
I love the upside of the Hornets this season but on this given night, I think the T-Wolves pull off the win. $10 moneyline bet on Minnesota.
PHX (-3) at NYK (3)
Pick: Bet $10 PHX ML
Total: 216 (Lean Under – 208)
Predicted Score: PHX 107 – NYK 101
Notes: To tell you how good the Warriors are this season all you need to know is that the Suns have won 14 straight games and still trail Golden State in the standings. But still, Phoenix is having a hell of a start to the season as they head to New York to face a Knicks team that raised their home record to .500 after beating the Lakers 3 days ago.
Part of the issue for the Knicks is that their defensive efficiency is much lower than last season. They ranked 3rd in the league last season and are 15th right now this year. Teams are finding ways to score on them and Phoenix is a team that can do that.
I like the Suns for the win today. $10 moneyline bet on Phoenix.
WAS (-7.5) at OKC (7.5)
Pick: Bet $10 OKC ML
Total: 208.5 (Lean Under – 204)
Predicted Score: WAS 102 – OKC 102
Notes: OKC has lost 4 games in a row as they hit some better competition and could not keep up. We think the Wizards are better competition but they are slumping right now too. They’ve lost 4 of 5 games and their lone win was a 3-point win over the Heat.
Shooting has been an issue for the Wiz. Their effective field goal % is trending down the past few weeks and that number is even worse on the road.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been dealing with an injury and has not been in the lineup but Josh Giddey has been shining despite that. I have this as a very close game and as such, its worth the risk to jump on OKC with the plus money.
$10 moneyline bet on the Thunder.
POR (6.5) at GSW (-6.5)
Pick: Bet $15 GSW ML
Total: 225 (Lean Under – 220)
Predicted Score: POR 105 – GSW 115
Notes: The Trail Blazers must have some secret controls over their hoops at home. Because on the road, they cannot hit a shot if their lives depended on it. And now they head to the Bay Area to take on a Warriors team that is 10-1 at home this year.
Golden State has won 5 in a row and maybe the Blazers could be competition for them. If this game was in Portland. Because have I mentioned that the Blazers are 1-8 on the road?
I like Golden State here to win. $15 moneyline bet on Golden State.
BOS (-2.5) at SAS (2.5)
Pick: Lean BOS
Total: 215.5 (Lean Over – 216)
Predicted Score: BOS 110 – SAS 106
DET (11.5) at LAC (-11.5)
Pick: Lean DET
Total: 206.5 (Lean Over – 209)
Predicted Score: DET 102 – LAC 107
CHI (-8.5) at ORL (8.5)
Pick: Lean ORL
Total: 213.5 (Lean Under – 211)
Predicted Score: CHI 108 – ORL 103
ATL (1) at MEM (-1)
Pick: Lean ATL
Total: 226 (Lean Under – 223)
Predicted Score: ATL 114 – MEM 109
TOR (3.5) at IND (-3.5)
Pick: Lean TOR
Total: 213.5 (Lean Over – 219)
Predicted Score: TOR 108 – IND 111
MIL (-3.5) at DEN (3.5)
Pick: Lean DEN
Total: 213.5 (Lean Over – 214)
Predicted Score: MIL 106 – DEN 108
NOP (12) at UTA (-12)
Pick: Lean NOP
Total: 216 (Lean Under – 213)
Predicted Score: NOP 103 – UTA 110
SAC (7.5) at LAL (-7.5)
Pick: Lean SAC
Total: 224.5 (Lean Under – 221)
Predicted Score: SAC 111 – LAL 110
New Jersey Devils (125) at Nashville Predators (-145)
Pick: Bet $10 New Jersey
Notes: The Devils have been playing better hockey but it has not really translated into wins. They did get a big win over Tampa Bay last week on the road and now they head to Nashville to take on a Predators team that are typically a good home team.
But Nashville is only 5-4 this year at home and coming off a 5-2 loss to the Golden Knights two days ago. I do have Nashville winning this game but its by a very slim margin. So I will take a plus line flyer on the Devils here.
$10 bet on New Jersey.
St. Louis Blues (-145) at Chicago Blackhawks (125)
Pick: Bet $10 St. Louis
Notes: The Blues aren’t quite a dominant team but they are good enough. If they can keep afloat like they have been, its possible they can get hot at the right time and make playoff push. Looking at their advanced metrics, it does seem like that might happen.
Their expected goals for indicates this is an offense that will get better over the course of the season. They take quality shots on goal and eventually teams will not be lucky enough to stop them.
Chicago had a stretch where they started to look better but I still think they are a long ways away from competing against the better teams in the league.
$10 bet on the Blues.
Florida Panthers (-105) at Washington Capitals (-115)
Pick: Bet $10 Florida
Notes: The Panthers have won 4 games in a row but those were all home games. Florida isn’t a bad road team, but vulnerable. And Washington is a dangerous team for sure.
Both teams are top 5 in goals scored per game and goals against per game. So this should make for a really great hockey game today. But I have Florida winning enough times to trigger a bet.
$10 bet on the Panthers.
New York Rangers (140) at Boston Bruins (-160)
Pick: Lean Boston
Winnipeg Jets (110) at Minnesota Wild (-130)
Pick: Lean Minnesota
Carolina Hurricanes (-150) at Philadelphia Flyers (130)
Pick: Lean Carolina
Ottawa Senators (145) at Anaheim Ducks (-165)
Pick: Lean Anaheim
Montreal Canadiens (-120) at Buffalo Sabres (100)
Pick: Lean Buffalo
Vancouver Canucks (120) at Columbus Blue Jackets (-140)
Pick: Lean Columbus
Seattle Kraken (167) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-192)
Pick: Lean Seattle
Pittsburgh Penguins (-145) at New York Islanders (125)
Pick: Lean Pittsburgh
Colorado Avalanche (-130) at Dallas Stars (110)
Pick: Lean Colorado
Toronto Maple Leafs (-160) at San Jose Sharks (140)
Pick: Lean Toronto