Degen Show (2/10/22)
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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 2/10/22
BKN (2.5) at WAS (-2.5)
Pick: Bet $10 BKN ML
Total: 220 (Lean Under – 213)
Predicted Score: BKN 107 – WAS 106
Notes: The Wizards got the news that Bradley Beal will miss the remainder of the season with a wrist surgery. That could shake some things up in the East for sure.
Washington started this season off so damn hot but have faded to the back of the pack. Without Beal, this team could be a seller today.
For Brooklyn, the big question over Harden still looms. My guess is nothing gets done right now and Brooklyn and Philly will engage in a sign and trade in the offseason.
Harden is out of the lineup again today but Kyrie will be able to play. He’s going to try and break the Nets’ 9-game losing streak.
The Wizards have not had much recent success either. They beat Philly 8 days ago. Trust me. I know.
But other than that, lots of losses piling up.
Someone needs to win this game and I think its Brooklyn that will sneak out the win.
$10 moneyline bet on the Nets.
MIA (-4.5) at NOP (4.5)
Pick: Bet $10 NOP ML
Total: 217 (Lean Under – 212)
Predicted Score: MIA 107 – NOP 105
Notes: Miami has won 3 games in a row but this is their 6th straight game on the road. I bet on the Heat over Washington the other day and got the win. But I was also eyeing this one up.
New Orleans has won 4 games in a row. And they have fought back to almost .500 at home this year. This is a dangerous team when healthy and when CJ McCollum is added to the mix – this is a play-in game bound team.
Which brings up an interesting point. I was opposed to expanding the playoffs to 20 teams. But shit has it made the trade deadline even more interesting.
Teams that could sneak into the play-in games are being a bit more aggressive this year and while the trades are probably short-sighted, they are entertaining for fans like us.
In this game, yeah, I have Miami winning. Barely.
So I should take the Pelicans with the points but there is enough value to risk a moneyline play.
$10 moneyline bet on New Orleans.
TOR (-7) at HOU (7)
Pick: Bet $15 TOR ML
Total: 226.5 (Lean Under – 225)
Predicted Score: TOR 117 – HOU 108
Notes: While the Nets are riding a 9-game losing streak, the Raptors are riding an 8-game winning streak. And heading to Houston today, it could be 9.
The only question on Toronto is if they will end up making a trade today that impacts their lineup. But other than that, this looks like a win – and probably a cover for the Raptors.
Houston did get a surprise win over the Cavs 8 days ago. But other than that, it’s been misery and double-digit losses.
I predict more of the same today.
$15 moneyline bet on the Raptors.
MEM (-10) at DET (10)
Pick: Lean MEM
Total: 225 (Lean Over – 226)
Predicted Score: MEM 118 – DET 108
NYK (9) at GSW (-9)
Pick: Lean NYK
Total: 218.5 (Lean Over – 228)
Predicted Score: NYK 110 – GSW 118
MIL (3.5) at PHX (-3.5)
Pick: Lean MIL
Total: 232.5 (Lean Over – 234)
Predicted Score: MIL 118 – PHX 116
LAC (7) at DAL (-7)
Pick: Lean DAL
Total: 216 (Lean Over – 222)
Predicted Score: LAC 107 – DAL 115
Columbus Blue Jackets (-115) at Buffalo Sabres (-105)
Pick: Bet $10 Columbus
Notes: The Blue Jackets are not a very good team but they are playing a bit better as of late. They got some key wins over the Rangers and Capitals over the past few weeks.
Now their losses have been pretty brutal. So when they lose. They lose.
Columbus has the 2nd worst goals against in the league.
But I like them to win today.
Buffalo is a very beatable team. Their goals against aren’t much better than Columbus’ and their goals for are far worse.
Two subpar teams so I’ll pick the less shitty one.
$10 bet on Columbus.
Toronto Maple Leafs (-120) at Calgary Flames (100)
Pick: Bet $10 Toronto
Notes: So a few days ago I bet on the Golden Knights and hit on them. I faded them against the Flames yesterday and won. Now its time to fade the Flames and hope it ends the same way.
The Flames have been playing some good hockey again. But Toronto has been on an unbelievable streak lately.
Post All Star break, they kicked things off with a big win over the Hurricanes. I bet on Toronto in that one and I am going to do it again.
$10 bet on the Maple Leafs.
Washington Capitals (-210) at Montreal Canadiens (170)
Pick: Lean Washington
Carolina Hurricanes (-105) at Boston Bruins (-115)
Pick: Lean Boston
Pittsburgh Penguins (-210) at Ottawa Senators (170)
Pick: Lean Pittsburgh
New Jersey Devils (220) at St. Louis Blues (-275)
Pick: Lean St. Louis
Tampa Bay Lightning (105) at Colorado Avalanche (-125)
Pick: Lean Colorado
|Team||Current Line||Implied Probabilty||Max’s Expected Probability|
|Columbus Blue Jackets||-115||53.49||54.65|
|New Jersey Devils||220||31.25||43.24|
|St. Louis Blues||-275||73.33||56.33|
|Tampa Bay Lightning||105||48.78||44.41|
|Toronto Maple Leafs||-120||54.55||55.35|