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Degen Show (2/11/22)
Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 2/11/22. Listen to the Degen’s NBA Totals show, NHL win Totals episode, or NFL win Totals one too.
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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 2/11/22
NBA
DEN (5) at BOS (-5)
Pick: Bet $10 BOS ML
Total: 217.5 (Lean Over – 221)
Predicted Score: DEN 108 – BOS 113
Notes: Time to rip the band aid off. The Celtics currently sit in the 7th spot in the Eastern Conference – a game behind the Raptors to avoid a play-in game.
They have won 6 games in a row and are 8-2 over their last 10 games. And as mentioned, defense has been the key.
The Celtics now rank 2nd in defensive efficiency in the league, 2nd in opponent’s effective field goal % and 4th in opponent’s points per game.
They won’t get an easy game tonight as the Nuggets head into town riding their 2-game winning streak. Denver easily handled the Nets and Knicks the past week.
Jokic is stuffing the stat lines but he’s also getting help from a variety of other players.
Still, I think Boston grabs the win today. Denver is only 15-14 on the road this year and the Celtics are 11-4 over their last 15 home games.
That’s much better than their home win percentage from earlier this year.
$10 moneyline bet on the Celtics.
Leans
CHA (-6.5) at DET (6.5)
Pick: Lean DET
Total: 224.5 (Lean Under – 219)
Predicted Score: CHA 110 – DET 109
CLE (-6.5) at IND (6.5)
Pick: Lean IND
Total: 215.5 (Lean Over – 221)
Predicted Score: CLE 111 – IND 110
OKC (12) at PHI (-12)
Pick: Lean OKC
Total: 209 (Lean Over – 212)
Predicted Score: OKC 105 – PHI 107
SAS (8) at ATL (-8)
Pick: Lean SAS
Total: 232.5 (Lean Under – 222)
Predicted Score: SAS 108 – ATL 114
MIN (4) at CHI (-4)
Pick: Lean MIN
Total: 241 (Lean Over – 244)
Predicted Score: MIN 122 – CHI 122
ORL (12.5) at UTA (-12.5)
Pick: Lean ORL
Total: 220 (Lean Over – 221)
Predicted Score: ORL 108 – UTA 113
NHL
New York Islanders (130) at Edmonton Oilers (-150)
Pick: Bet $10 Edmonton
Notes: I’ll preface this by saying that the line is too chalky to bet the Oilers but I am going to do it anyway as I am banking on the post-coach bump.
Edmonton fired head coach Dave Tippett yesterday and Jay Woodcroft will take over for the remainder of the season.
The Oilers started the season off as a Stanley Cup favorite. With the best player in hockey on their team, Edmonton went 16-5 to kick things off.
They are 7-13-3 since then.
The Islanders know a thing or two about a bipolar season.
After starting the season off on the road for the first few months, they returned to their new home and kept losing.
They eventually found some rhythm but still are not that same Islanders team we loved the past 3 years.
I think Edmonton gets the win today. As mentioned, it is a tad chalky for my liking. But such is a gambler’s life.
$10 bet on the Oilers.
Winnipeg Jets (140) at Dallas Stars (-165)
Pick: Lean Dallas
Tampa Bay Lightning (-310) at Arizona Coyotes (245)
Pick: Lean Tampa
Seattle Kraken (140) at Anaheim Ducks (-160)
Pick: Lean Anaheim
Team | Current Line | Implied Probability |
Max’s Expected Probability |
Winnipeg Jets | 140 | 41.67 | 49.52 |
Dallas Stars | -165 | 62.26 | 50.48 |
New York Islanders | 130 | 43.48 | 45.40 |
Edmonton Oilers | -150 | 60.00 | 54.40 |
Tampa Bay Lightning | -310 | 75.61 | 73.13 |
Arizona Coyotes | 245 | 28.99 | 19.91 |
Seattle Kraken | 140 | 41.67 | 47.51 |
Anaheim Ducks | -160 | 61.54 | 52.43 |