Degen Show (2/17/22)
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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 2/17/22
MIA (-4.5) at CHA (4.5)
Pick: Bet $10 MIA ML
Total: 226 (Lean Under – 215)
Predicted Score: MIA 113 – CHA 102
Notes: I faded the Heat a few days ago against the Mavs and that paid off.
Now its time for me to follow them today as they hit the road to play in Charlotte tonight.
Miami had been on a solid winning streak prior to that loss to Luka and the Mavs.
Now they will see if they can grab one last win before the All Star break.
They will have to do so without Tyler Herro who is dealing with a knee issue and possibly without Jimmy Butler – who has a shoulder injury.
The Hornets have been on a downward trend as of late.
The beginning of the season looked promising for this young team but they have lost 8 of their last 10 games and have slid down to 9th in the Eastern Conference.
Their shooting dropped off a cliff the past month and once that happened, their gaps in defense really started to become glaring.
Even without Butler I think the Heat grab the win today.
$10 moneyline bet on Miami.
DAL (-3) at NOP (3)
Pick: Bet $10 DAL ML
Total: 215.5 (Lean Under – 213)
Predicted Score: DAL 108 – NOP 105
Notes: I mentioned Luka in the previous game and I’ll mention him again right now.
The Dallas Mavs look to end the first half of the season strong as they head to New Orleans to take on the Pelicans tonight.
Dallas has won 4 of their last 5 games and their lone loss was a 2-point one to the Clippers.
The Pelicans, on the other hand, have been slumping a bit. I mean, they did get that win over the Raptors a few days back.
Trust us. We know.
But other than that, there has been some lackluster play out there.
Maybe post All-Star break they will get things going again once CJ McCollum has settled in a bit more.
Dallas should grab the win here though. Luka has been on an absolute tear lately.
Over his last 10 games, he is averaging 32 points, 10.5 assists and 9.8 rebounds while shooting 41.6% from 3-point range.
Joel Embiid appears to be the frontrunner for MVP right now.
But we will see how he does with both Harden on the court and those old man back that likes to seize up in the second half of the year.
It could be a Luka MVP season.
$10 moneyline bet on him and the Mavs.
WAS (4) at BKN (-4)
Pick: Lean WAS
Total: 218 (Lean Under – 212)
Predicted Score: WAS 107 – BKN 105
PHI (6.5) at MIL (-6.5)
Pick: Lean PHI
Total: 223.5 (Lean Over – 226)
Predicted Score: PHI 112 – MIL 114
HOU (10) at LAC (-10)
Pick: Lean LAC
Total: 228.5 (Lean Over – 230)
Predicted Score: HOU 112 – LAC 118
Boston Bruins (100) at New York Islanders (-115)
Pick: Bet $10 Boston
Notes: The Bruins will look to bounce back from a close loss to the Rangers the other day by sticking around the New York area to take on the Islanders.
New York has lost 4 of their last 5 games including an embarrassing one to the Sabres a few days back.
Boston has not been playing its best hockey lately.
Brad Marchand is still suspended so that’s been a blow to them.
He has appealed the suspension but it does look like he will still be out tonight.
The line is certainly suspect here.
I would still expect Boston to be a big favorite here. So maybe I am jumping into trap city.
But $10 bet on the Bruins.
Columbus Blue Jackets (130) at Chicago Blackhawks (-150)
Pick: Bet $10 Columbus
Notes: Columbus is coming off a loss but really, they’ve been playing some decent hockey lately.
Having Patrik Laine healthy has really helped their offense come back to life.
Laine gets some great shots on goal and opens up other players on Columbus when defenses focus on him.
Defense is, of course, one of Columbus’ main issues.
But Chicago should not give them too much of a challenge.
Marc Andre Fleury has actually been playing well lately. He could be a target as the trade deadline approaches next month.
With Fleury playing so well, Chicago should be able to keep this game close. So maybe you can chickenshit bet the Blue Jackets.
But I’ll take them for the straight-up win.
$10 bet on Columbus.
NHL Implied Probability Chart
|Team||Action||Current Line||Implied Probability||Max’s Expected Probability|
|St. Louis Blues||Lean St. Louis||-265||72.60||73.35|
|Ottawa Senators||Lean Ottawa||-105||51.22||53.02|
|Pittsburgh Penguins||Lean Toronto||130||43.48||40.37|
|Toronto Maple Leafs||-150||60.00||58.79|
|Washington Capitals||Lean Washington||-175||63.64||61.55|
|Detroit Red Wings||Lean New York||160||38.46||36.44|
|New York Rangers||-190||65.52||61.94|
|Boston Bruins||Bet $10 Boston||100||50.00||66.23|
|New York Islanders||-115||53.49||30.62|
|Seattle Kraken||Lean Winnipeg||150||40.00||43.96|
|Columbus Blue Jackets||Bet $10 Columbus||130||43.48||52.49|
|Anaheim Ducks||Lean Edmonton||185||35.09||48.15|
|Vancouver Canucks||Lean San Jose||-115||53.49||47.78|
|San Jose Sharks||-105||51.22||52.17|