Degen Show (2/19/22)
The guys struggle with things to talk about. NBA All Star weekend bets? Bobby Bonilla day? Daughtry concerts? Eli Manning hall of fame? What the fuck is going on today?
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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 2/19/22
St. Louis Blues (150) at Toronto Maple Leafs (-175)
Pick: Bet $10 Toronto
Notes: St. Louis continues their road trip by heading to Toronto tonight. The Blues are coming off a shocking loss to the Canadiens.
The Maple Leafs have won 2 games in a row including a big win over the Penguins.
The last time these two teams played it ended up in a high-scoring affair.
The Blues have made some changes the past month since that game – including shifting away from Jordan Binnington as their primary goalie.
St. Louis has been playing well but the questions around goalie could cause similar problems to what the Golden Knights dealt with in previous years.
In fact, with this line, it seems like Binnington could be getting the start tonight instead of Ville Husso. But could be a gametime decision there.
As for Toronto, they have their goalie of the future all set and have a dynamic offense too.
Getting a win today would be a great motivation after taking down Pittsburgh this week too.
And that’s what I think happens.
$10 bet on the Maple Leafs.
Anaheim Ducks (125) at Vancouver Canucks (-150)
Pick: Bet $10 Anaheim
Notes: The Ducks are mired in a terrible losing streak at the moment and find themselves as a below .500 team on the road.
Their last win was a few weeks ago in Ottawa. Since then, they have lost 4 in a row – including their last 3 road games.
This is their third straight Canadian road game and they are taking on a Vancouver team that has played pretty well recently.
Part of the Ducks’ recent struggles has been some shaky play from goaltender John Gibson.
Anaheim is an average team. They go through periods of excellent play and then balanced out with terrible play.
Vancouver has been a solid home team and Thatcher Demko has been very good in the net for them.
The Canucks have recency on their side but I think this is still a little too much to pay for them. The value is on Anaheim.
$10 bet on the Ducks.
Colorado Avalanche (-350) at Buffalo Sabres (290)
Pick: Lean Colorado
Edmonton Oilers (-135) at Winnipeg Jets (115)
Pick: Lean Winnipeg
Boston Bruins (-185) at Ottawa Senators (160)
Pick: Lean Boston
Los Angeles Kings (-200) at Arizona Coyotes (170)
Pick: Lean Los Angeles
Seattle Kraken (240) at Calgary Flames (-290)
Pick: Lean Calgary
|Team||Action||Implied Probabilty||Max’s Expected Probability|
|Colorado Avalanche||Lean Colorado||77.78||72.14|
|Edmonton Oilers||Lean Winnipeg||57.45||48.82|
|Boston Bruins||Lean Boston||64.91||68.79|
|St. Louis Blues||Bet $10 Toronto||40.00||35.29|
|Toronto Maple Leafs||63.64||62.82|
|Los Angeles Kings||Lean Los Angeles||66.67||68.30|
|Anaheim Ducks||Bet $10 Anaheim||44.44||53.76|
|Seattle Kraken||Lean Calgary||29.41||26.64|