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Degen Show (2/26/22)
Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 2/26/22. Listen to the Degen’s NBA Totals show, NHL win Totals episode, or NFL win Totals one too.
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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 2/26/22
NBA
MEM (1.5) at CHI (-1.5)
Pick: Bet $10 MEM ML
Total: 236.5 (Lean Under – 236)
Predicted Score: MEM 120 – CHI 116
Notes: Memphis has lost two in a row and now the Grizzlies have to face off against a red-hot Bulls team.
Chicago has won 6 in a row after taking down Atlanta a few days back.
The Bulls are 24-8 at home this season and find themselves tied at the top of the East at the moment.
Chicago’s offense is one of the best ones out there – ranking 3rd in offensive efficiency, 7th in points per game and 4th in effective field goal %.
For their part, Memphis is one of the better defensive teams in terms of defensive efficiency. They also lead the league in blocks and steals.
So this should be a good battle between two different style teams.
I lost on betting on Memphis two days ago and I’m worried the Bulls are on the verge of playing like they did earlier in the season.
But I will still take a shot here and bet $10 on the Grizzlies moneyline.
Leans
BOS (-11) at DET (11)
Pick: Lean BOS
Total: 215 (Lean Over – 223)
Predicted Score: BOS 122 – DET 101
TOR (2) at ATL (-2)
Pick: Lean ATL
Total: 225.5 (Lean Over – 228)
Predicted Score: TOR 113 – ATL 115
WAS (7) at CLE (-7)
Pick: Lean WAS
Total: 208.5 (Lean Over – 212)
Predicted Score: WAS 104 – CLE 108
SAS (7.5) at MIA (-7.5)
Pick: Lean SAS
Total: 224.5 (Lean Over – 228)
Predicted Score: SAS 114 – MIA 114
BKN (9.5) at MIL (-9.5)
Pick: Lean BKN
Total: 234.5 (Lean Under – 232)
Predicted Score: BKN 114 – MIL 118
SAC (8.5) at DEN (-8.5)
Pick: Lean DEN
Total: 235.5 (Lean Under – 230)
Predicted Score: SAC 111 – DEN 119
NHL
Colorado Avalanche (-150) at Vegas Golden Knights (125)
Pick: Bet $10 Colorado
Notes: The Avalanche are back on the road after a quick stop home yesterday.
They beat the Jets easily yesterday and now head to Vegas to take on a Golden Knights team that is slumping lately.
They have lost 4 of 5 games including a 2-0 loss to the Avalanche 10 days ago.
This will be the final regular season match-up between these teams.
Heading into the final 2 months of the season, it does look like Colorado is the team to beat in the West while Vegas is not as dominant as they used to be.
In the past, getting Vegas with a plus line would be tempting. Not so much now.
$10 bet on Colorado.
Minnesota Wild (125) at Calgary Flames (-145)
Pick: Bet $10 Calgary
Notes: I’ve made money on the Wild in my history of NHL betting but I’m on the opposite side of them today.
Sure, Calgary is coming off a no-show against the Canucks from a few days ago. But prior to that, the Flames were the hottest team in the NHL.
Minnesota is slumping a bit as of late and their previous road dominance is no longer there.
I think the Flames bounce back and get the win today.
$10 bet on Calgary.
New York Islanders (105) at Los Angeles Kings (-125)
Pick: Bet $10 Los Angeles
Notes: The Kings have won 4 in a row and sit just 3 point behind Calgary for the top spot in the Pacific.
The Islanders … suck.
So yeah, I am worried that this line is so low and that the money is hitting New York.
But did I mention that the Islanders suck?
These teams played a good game a month ago and maybe New York keeps it close.
But LA should grab the win.
$10 bet on the Kings.
Leans
Washington Capitals (-180) at Philadelphia Flyers (155)
Pick: Lean Washington
Edmonton Oilers (175) at Florida Panthers (-205)
Pick: Lean Florida
New York Rangers (140) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-160)
Pick: Lean Pittsburgh
Montreal Canadiens (145) at Ottawa Senators (-170)
Pick: Lean Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning (-175) at Nashville Predators (150)
Pick: Lean Tampa Bay
Toronto Maple Leafs (-205) at Detroit Red Wings (175)
Pick: Lean Toronto
Boston Bruins (-175) at San Jose Sharks (150)
Pick: Lean Boston
| Team | Current Line | Implied Probability | Expected Probability |
| Washington Capitals | -180 | 64.29 | 62.30 |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 155 | 39.22 | 35.97 |
| Edmonton Oilers | 175 | 36.36 | 39.20 |
| Florida Panthers | -205 | 67.21 | 59.75 |
| New York Rangers | 140 | 41.67 | 42.93 |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | -160 | 61.54 | 56.60 |
| Montreal Canadiens | 145 | 40.82 | 39.97 |
| Ottawa Senators | -170 | 62.96 | 59.12 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | -175 | 63.64 | 55.52 |
| Nashville Predators | 150 | 40.00 | 44.16 |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | -205 | 67.21 | 74.07 |
| Detroit Red Wings | 175 | 36.36 | 18.30 |
| Boston Bruins | -175 | 63.64 | 62.26 |
| San Jose Sharks | 150 | 40.00 | 36.02 |
| Colorado Avalanche | -150 | 60.00 | 55.86 |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 125 | 44.44 | 43.78 |
| Minnesota Wild | 125 | 44.44 | 40.62 |
| Calgary Flames | -145 | 59.18 | 58.58 |
| New York Islanders | 105 | 48.78 | 43.70 |
| Los Angeles Kings | -125 | 55.56 | 55.92 |
