Degen Show (3/11/22)
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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 3/11/22
MIN (-7) at ORL (7)
Pick: Bet $10 MIN ML
Total: 232.5 (Lean Under – 230)
Predicted Score: MIN 119 – ORL 111
Notes: The T-Wolves have won 6 games in a row and sit only a couple games back from jumping out of the play-in games in the playoffs.
They have also won 3 road games in row – edging ever so closer to being .500 on the road this year.
And taking on the Magic is one way to help get there.
Orlando is 17-50 on the season and 7-23 at home this year.
That said, they are playing some better basketball since Fultz returned. They got a good win over the Pelicans two nights ago.
Still, the T-Wolves is the play here. Defensively, they have jumped up to 8th in defensive efficiency this season and have held their opponents to 46% effective field goal % over their last 3 games.
Orlando is the 3rd worst shooting team in the league and if Minnesota clamps down on defense, it will be a decisive win.
$10 moneyline bet on Minnesota.
CHA (-2) at NOP (2)
Pick: Bet $10 NOP ML
Total: 229 (Lean Under – 225)
Predicted Score: CHA 109 – NOP 116
Notes: The Pelicans have had a Zion sighting and surprisingly, he’s trimmer than expected.
Maybe he was hiding from the team so he could shed a few pounds before emerging again.
While he has been sighted, he won’t resume basketball activities until tomorrow.
The Pelicans will also be without CJ McCollum and Brandon Ingram today. That puts a ton of pressure on Valanciunas.
So with all of those injuries we should fade the Pelicans, right?
Probably. But I still don’t like Charlotte right now.
They are still not shooting well and they’ve been turning the ball over more than earlier in the season.
Whatever discipline and patience they had to let the offense develop in the first half of the season is gone.
They are forcing up some bad shots and making bad passes.
So to me, the value is on the Pelicans here to hold homecourt.
$10 moneyline bet on New Orleans.
LAC (6) at ATL (-6)
Pick: Lean LAC
Total: 228.5 (Lean Under – 222)
Predicted Score: LAC 109 – ATL 113
DET (14) at BOS (-14)
Pick: Lean DET
Total: 216 (Lean Over – 227)
Predicted Score: DET 111 – BOS 116
DAL (-11) at HOU (11)
Pick: Lean HOU
Total: 225 (Lean Under – 224)
Predicted Score: DAL 113 – HOU 111
NYK (9.5) at MEM (-9.5)
Pick: Lean NYK
Total: 230 (Lean Under – 225)
Predicted Score: NYK 111 – MEM 114
CLE (5.5) at MIA (-5.5)
Pick: Lean CLE
Total: 210 (Lean Over – 223)
Predicted Score: CLE 109 – MIA 114
UTA (-7.5) at SAS (7.5)
Pick: Lean SAS
Total: 230 (Lean Under – 230)
Predicted Score: UTA 116 – SAS 114
TOR (6) at PHX (-6)
Pick: Lean TOR
Total: 221 (Lean Under – 220)
Predicted Score: TOR 108 – PHX 112
WAS (4) at LAL (-4)
Pick: Lean WAS
Total: 227.5 (Lean Under – 222)
Predicted Score: WAS 112 – LAL 110
Vegas Golden Knights (122) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-146)
Pick: Bet $10 Pittsburgh
Notes: I bet on the Golden Knights yesterday to avoid losing 2 in a row against shitty teams and well, they ended up losing 2 in a row against shitty teams.
They head to Pittsburgh today to take on a not shitty team.
The Penguins have had a rough schedule and playing Tampa, Carolina and Florida in a row will take a toll on any team.
Pittsburgh will look to bounce back from losing their last 2 games against a Vegas team that is 4-7-1 over their last 12 games.
The Sabres booed and then ruined Jack Eichel’s return to Buffalo yesterday but he still could be a difference maker if the Golden Knights can hold on to a playoff spot.
Vegas has had goalie issues this season and its even worse right now with Lehner injured.
Brossoit got the start yesterday so Logan Thompson should be in today.
Tristan Jarry should get the nod for the Penguins today and I think they get it done tonight.
$10 bet on Pittsburgh.
Winnipeg Jets (104) at New York Islanders (-125)
Pick: Bet $10 Winnipeg
Notes: The Jets beat the Devils last night and turn around to take on the Islanders tonight.
New York is coming off an impressive win over the Blue Jackets yesterday but lets see if they saved any offense for today.
Connor Hellebuyck will get the start for Winnipeg today and I am not sure if that’s a good thing or a bad thing.
He is a top goalie in this league but has been bad away from home this year and he’s slumping a bit as of late.
I think that’s because the Jets’ defense is pretty bad and puts more pressure on him to produce.
The Islanders have done well at home this season when listed as a favorite.
But I think the value is on Hellebuyck to break his slump and push the Jets to another win today.
$10 bet on Winnipeg.
Minnesota Wild (-200) at Columbus Blue Jackets (164)
Washington Capitals (-104) at Vancouver Canucks (-115)
Pick: Lean Washington