Degen Show Part (4/10/21)

Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 4/10/21. Listen to the Degen’s NBA win totals episode, their MLB futures episode and Max’s NHL Power rankings post.

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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 4/10/21



Sports Bet Picks for 4/10/21

TOR (-2.5) at CLE (2.5)

Pick: Bet ML $20 CLE

Total: 216.5 (Lean Over – 219)

Predicted Score: TOR 109 – CLE 110

Notes: Jarrett Allen and Larry Nance Jr. will miss the game for Cleveland. Toronto will still be without Fred VanVleet and Kyle Lowry. The Raptors have lost 2 in a row while Cleveland has won their last 2 in convincing fashion. I hate that Allen won’t play for the Cavs but I still give them the edge to win this game. Not much I like today. I don’t even really like this one. But a $20 moneyline bet on the Cavs.


WAS (11.5) at PHX (-11.5)

Pick: Bet $20 PHX

Total: 229.5 (Lean Over – 233)

Predicted Score: WAS 110 – PHX 123

Notes: Washington pulled out an upset win last night over the Warriors but now travel to Phoenix to play a red-hot Suns team. Phoenix lost their last outing to LA – but should be a bit more rested. I imagine that this line is so high because Bradley Beal’s status is in question after playing last night.


LAL (11.5) at BKN (-11.5)

Pick: Lean LAL

Total: 227.5 (Lean Under – 212)

Predicted Score: LAL 102 – BKN 110

Notes: Anthony Davis is not expected to be back on the court until after their road trip. He’s not the only injury. Some guy named LeBron is out and Alex Caruso (questionable), Marc Gasol (questionable), and Kyle Kuzma (questionable) all have injuries. Harden is still out for Brooklyn but with Durant available for more minutes, I think they probably cover this one. I just don’t love it. A lean on the Lakers.


SAC (12.5) at UTA (-12.5)

Pick: Lean SAC

Total: 231 (Lean Under – 224)

Predicted Score: SAC 106 – UTA 118

Notes: I have Utah winning this game by 12. So it’s close. The Jazz bounced back well from consecutive losses by beating Portland while Sacramento really wants to get Luke Walton fired and give Panther the head coaching job.


PHI (-11.5) at OKC (11.5)

Pick: Lean OKC

Total: 218.5 (Lean Under – 217)

Predicted Score: PHI 113 – OKC 104

Notes: Philly took a road loss to the Pelicans last night and look to bounce back against a dreadful OKC team. Joel Embiid might not play after logging 31 minutes last night. OKC has lost 5 in a row and really has not been competitive. I have Philly winning this game by about 8 or 9 – so not quite enought to cover.


HOU (9) at GSW (-9)

Pick: Lean HOU

Total: 228 (Lean Under – 227)

Predicted Score: HOU 113 – GSW 114

Notes: Both teams played last night and took L’s. The Warriors look to bounce back from that stunning loss while Houston finds itself as not the worst dog on the board today. John Wall sat out last night for rest but should be back today. I don’t love the Warriors right now and maybe some value in betting Houston. I just can’t do it.


DET (11.5) at POR (-11.5)

Pick: Lean DET

Total: 223.5 (Lean Over – 227)

Predicted Score: DET 111 – POR 116

Notes: Jerami Grant and Wayne Ellington are out for Detroit and Mason Plumlee is questionable. There, I named 3 players for the Pistons. Jusuf Nurkic is doubtful for today for Portland. The Blazers have been so hit or miss lately. They should get the win over a depleted Pistons team – or any Pistons team – I just think it’s too many points.



Sports Bet Picks for 4/10/21

Florida Panthers (-101) at Dallas Stars (-109)

Pick: Bet $20 Florida

Notes: Almost all of the money is hitting Florida and the line has not gotten worse for them. Panthers have lost 2 in a row. Dallas is decent at home but beatable.


Tampa Bay Lightning (-175) at Nashville Predators (157)

Pick: Bet $20 Tampa

Notes: Nashville has won 4 of 5 but the competition has not been good. Tampa dropped 2 games to subpar teams and is still a vulnerable team – but I like their metrics lately (despite the losses) and they should get it done today. It is chalky – but for Tampa, this is a sweet spot of buying for them.


Boston Bruins (-120) at Philadelphia Flyers (109)

Pick: Lean Philadelphia

Notes: Money is hammering Boston here but my metrics say Philly pulls out the win. Flyers have not looked good lately, though, and their only win recently was a 3-2 win over the Bruins.


Winnipeg Jets (117) at Montreal Canadiens (-129)

Pick: Lean Montreal

Notes: My metrics say the play is Montreal. But Winnipeg has played better recently and is a damn good road team. Without taking one of the massive dogs today, Winnipeg could be the best value play on the board. I just hate them.


Chicago Blackhawks (-117) at Columbus Blue Jackets (106)

Pick: Lean Chicago

Notes: Both teams are struggling to find wins right now. Chicago has a losing road record but is not terrible on the road while the Blue Jackets are mediocre at home. Even with the minus line here, Chicago hits the implied probability. I just don’t like it.


Ottawa Senators (293) at Toronto Maple Leafs (-346)

Pick: Lean Toronto

Pick: Probably the game you want to add to any parlay. Love Toronto here but so much damn chalk.


Detroit Red Wings (291) at Carolina Hurricanes (-344)

Pick: Lean Detroit

Notes: The value is there on Detroit from implied probability but a 4-14-2 road record against a Carolina home record of 14-2-3 scares me off for sure.


Minnesota Wild (-105) at St. Louis Blues (-115)

Pick: Lean Minnesota

Notes: The Blues are still scoring from last night. I’ll pass on Minnesota tonight.


Edmonton Oilers (-111) at Calgary Flames (100)

Pick: Lean Calgary

Notes: The Oilers are a damn good road team but I give the Flames a slight edge to wins this one.


Los Angeles Kings (115) at San Jose Sharks (-135)

Pick: Lean Los Angeles

Notes: This is a replay of last night’s game. I think the results will be a bit different – but not enough confidence to bet.



Sports Bet Picks for 4/10/21

SEA (164) at MIN (-179)

Pitchers: Y. Kikuchi vs. M. Pineda

Pick: Bet $20 MIN


KC (124) at CWS (-135)

Pitchers: M. Minor vs. D. Cease

Pick: Bet $20 KC


DET (151) at CLE (-165)

Pitchers: T. Skubal vs. A. Civale

Pick: Bet $20 CLE


BOS (-124) at BAL (114)

Pitchers: G. Richards vs. B. Zimmermann

Pick: Bet $20 BAL


SD (-174) at TEX (159)

Pitchers: C. Paddack vs. J. Lyles

Pick: Bet $20 TEX


MIA (230) at NYM (-257)

Pitchers: T. Rogers vs. J. deGrom

Pick: Lean NYM


NYY (-116) at TB (107)

Pitchers: D. German vs. C. Archer

Pick: Lean NYY


MIL (102) at STL (-110)

Pitchers: A. Houser vs. C. Martinez

Pick: Lean STL


COL (156) at SF (-170)

Pitchers: C. Gonzalez vs. L. Webb

Pick: Lean COL


OAK (135) at HOU (-147)

Pitchers: F. Montas vs. J. Urquidy

Pick: Lean OAK


CHC (-150) at PIT (138)

Pitchers: Z. Davies vs. M. Keller

Pick: Lean CHC


LAA (115) at TOR (-124)

Pitchers: J. Quintana vs. S. Matz

Pick: Lean TOR


PHI (119) at ATL (-128)

Pitchers: Z. Eflin vs. I. Anderson

Pick: Lean PHI


CIN () at ARI ()

Pitchers: J. Hoffman vs. R. Smith

Pick: n/a


WSH () at LAD ()

Pitchers:  vs. J. Urias

Pick: n/a

About the Author

Mad Max is a gentle soul who enjoys drinking gin, grooming his beard and betting on sports.

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