Degen Show Part (4/13/21)
Powered by RedCircle
Keep the Lights On Around Here!
The Degens! App
Grab the Degens App hangout, shoot the breeze and get even more content.
Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 4/13/21
OKC (16.5) at UTA (-16.5)
Pick: Bet $20 UTA
Total: 223.5 (Lean Over – 229)
Predicted Score: OKC 103 – UTA 126
Notes: Utah was stunned last night by Washington and suffered their 3rd home loss on the season. You can imagine they won’t lose again tonight especially against a Thunder team that has lost 6 in a row. If I was really desperate, I’d moneyline my bankroll on Utah here. I’m kind of desperate in NBA and maybe this is chasing yesterday’s loss, but I have Utah winning by 23 points here. $20 bet on the Jazz. Fuck my life.
BOS (1.5) at POR (-1.5)
Pick: Bet $20 BOS
Total: 227 (Bet $20 Under – 214)
Predicted Score: BOS 109 – POR 105
Notes: The Celtics have won 4 of 5 games and continue their road trip after stunning the Nuggets two nights ago. Portland is coming off a home loss to Miami but on the season, the Blazers have played fairly well at home. Evan Fournier is still out for Boston but I like Boston to keep this one close. I have not had much luck betting on the C’s this year but a $20 bet on Boston and since I have won a few Totals lately, I will also drop $20 on the under in this game.
ATL (3.5) at TOR (-3.5)
Pick: Lean ATL
Total: 223.5 (Lean Under – 223)
Predicted Score: ATL 111 – TOR 112
Notes: Atlanta has won 4 of 5 games but are only a .500 team on the road this season. The Raptors are playing their third game in four nights and are coming off a loss to the Knicks on Sunday. The Hawks are dealing with a slew of injuries including Kris Dunn being out, John Collin still out, Danilo Gallinari doubtful and now Trae Young listed as questionable. Toronto is still playing without Fred VanVleet.
LAC (-2.5) at IND (2.5)
Pick: Lean LAC
Total: 229.5 (Lean Under – 223)
Predicted Score: LAC 115 – IND 108
Notes: The Clippers are riding a 5-game winning streak and the Pacers have won 4 of 5. Indiana has not been stellar at home this season but do get to take on a West Coast team that just traveled East and will be without Kawhi Leonard. The Pacers will be without Myles Turner.
LAL (1.5) at CHA (-1.5)
Pick: Lean LAL
Total: 208.5 (Lean Over – 210)
Predicted Score: LAL 106 – CHA 104
Notes: The Hornets are coming off a close loss to the Hawks and welcome in a depleted Lakers team that is coming off a loss to the Knicks last night.
MIA (3.5) at PHX (-3.5)
Pick: Lean PHX
Total: 215 (Lean Over – 220)
Predicted Score: MIA 108 – PHX 112
Notes: Phoenix has won 4 of 5 games and has increased their home record to 21-8 this year. Miami is playing good basketball lately – shooting almost 56% EFG the past 2 weeks. That does get a bit lower on the road as Miami still is not a great road team. Victor Oladipo is out again for the Heat so their shooting could be even worse.
I’m cold in hockey right now. Last 5 days I am 1-8 in bets and down $149. So be careful following me right now. I’ll let you know when things pick back up.
NHL News – The NHL trade deadline came and went. Here are some things to keep an eye out for:
- The Capitals traded for Antony Mantha. This could improve them for a playoff push and detracts from the value of betting on Detroit. The Capitals did overpay a bit but such is life. Mantha has had an iffy season but could really fit in with Washington.
- The Ducks traded for a defenseman on a cheap contract in Hayden Fleury but now they have too many defenseman and one will need to go as part of the expansion draft.
- Toronto added Ben Hutton and made a few other minor trades to add depth.
- Winnipeg added Jordie Benn to give some depth and experience.
- Calgary traded Sam Bennett to the Panthers. This will probably pay off more in the playoffs.
- The Flyers traded Erik Gustafsson to Montreal. It’s a flier that could pay off for Montreal as he was underwhelming so far in Philly.
- Vegas added Mattias Janmark but overpaid for him. Again, a playoff team paying a lot for a run at the Cup.
- Colorado brough back Carl Soderberg. This will help them improve penalty kills and provide some more depth come playoff time.
- Bruins acquired former Devil/former Coyote Taylor Hall. If he can produce like he used to, this is a solid get for Boston.
Florida Panthers (-112) at Dallas Stars (102)
Pick: Bet Florida
Notes: Down with the ship. My blind faith in Florida could be the death of me. They have lost 3 in a row including a 4-1 loss to Dallas on Saturday. Dallas has improved at home recently but I think Florida wins this one. $20 bet on the Panthers.
New York Rangers (-169) at New Jersey Devils (152)
Pick: Lean New York
Notes: The Rangers should get the win here but my metrics have it closer than a -170 game should be.
Buffalo Sabres (265) at Boston Bruins (-319)
Pick: Lean Buffalo
Notes: There is some value in Buffalo here. I’m not going to do it but I understand the play if someone does. Boston still is banged up and not playing elite hockey. Buffalo has won more recently than they did all season. Add in a nice payout and I can really understand the lottery ticket.
Philadelphia Flyers (137) at Washington Capitals (-152)
Pick: Lean Philadelphia
Notes: Rubbing my eyes that my sheet says to bet Philly. I refuse to. Washington is so damn good at home and Philly is Philly.
Calgary Flames (160) at Toronto Maple Leafs (-182)
Pick: Lean Toronto
Notes: Calgary got a much-needed win on Saturday. Toronto lost to Montreal last night and should get back to their winning ways today.
Tampa Bay Lightning (-166) at Nashville Predators (146)
Pick: Lean Tampa Bay
Notes: Tampa has won two games in a row including a shutout over Nashville on Saturday. I like them again today but only as a lean. The value is there but the trust still isn’t.
OAK (-112) at ARI (104)
Pitchers: J. Luzardo vs. Z. Gallen
Pick: Bet $20 OAK
Notes: Zac with a C takes the mound for the D-Backs and hopes to contain a suddenly alive Oakland offense. Luzardo has not been sharp to start the season but I am looking to him to bounce back a bit. I like how the A’s have played the past week and I’m backing them today. $20 bet on Oakland.
SEA (124) at BAL (-135)
Pitchers: J. Sheffield vs. J. Means
Pick: Bet $20 BAL
Notes: Baltimore was swept by the Red Sox and now look to beat a 5-4 Seattle team that just won a series against the Twins. Sheffield is hittable and Baltimore can hit. I love Means out there and think Baltimore gets the win today. $20 bet on the Orioles.
CIN (-106) at SF (-102)
Pitchers: L. Castillo vs. K. Gausman
Pick: Bet $20 CIN
Notes: Castillo has not been great to start the season and Gausman has been pretty good. The Reds got the win yesterday and they should win the series. So a bet on them today and I’ll eye them up tomorrow if they lose today. $20 on the Reds.
MIA (149) at ATL (-163)
Pitchers: P. Lopez vs. M. Fried
Pick: Bet $20 MIA
DET (164) at HOU (-179)
Pitchers: M. Boyd vs. J. Odorizzi
Pick: Bet $20 HOU
BOS (125) at MIN (-145)
Pitchers: N. Eovaldi vs. K. Maeda
Pick: Lean MIN
PHI () at NYM ()
Pitchers: C. Anderson vs. T. Walker
SD (-232) at PIT (209)
Pitchers: B. Snell vs. C. Kuhl
Pick: Lean SD
NYY (106) at TOR (-115)
Pitchers: J. Taillon vs. H. Ryu
Pick: Lean NYY
TEX (146) at TB (-159)
Pitchers: K. Gibson vs. R. Yarbrough
Pick: Lean TB (Looks Trappish)
CHC (128) at MIL (-139)
Pitchers: K. Hendricks vs. B. Woodruff
Pick: Lean MIL
WSH (101) at STL (-109)
Pitchers: S. Strasburg vs. J. Flaherty
Pick: Lean STL
LAA (-133) at KC (123)
Pitchers: D. Bundy vs. D. Duffy
Pick: Lean KC
CLE (-106) at CWS (-102)
Pitchers: S. Bieber vs. L. Giolito
Pick: Lean CWS
COL (275) at LAD (-311)
Pitchers: A. Senzatela vs. T. Bauer
Pick: Lean LAD