Degen Show Part (4/13/21)

Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 4/13/21. Listen to the Degen’s NBA win totals episode, their MLB futures episode and Max’s NHL Power rankings post.

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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 4/13/21

 

NBA

OKC (16.5) at UTA (-16.5)

Pick: Bet $20 UTA

Total: 223.5 (Lean Over – 229)

Predicted Score: OKC 103 – UTA 126

Notes: Utah was stunned last night by Washington and suffered their 3rd home loss on the season. You can imagine they won’t lose again tonight especially against a Thunder team that has lost 6 in a row. If I was really desperate, I’d moneyline my bankroll on Utah here. I’m kind of desperate in NBA and maybe this is chasing yesterday’s loss, but I have Utah winning by 23 points here. $20 bet on the Jazz. Fuck my life.

 

BOS (1.5) at POR (-1.5)

Pick: Bet $20 BOS

Total: 227 (Bet $20 Under – 214)

Predicted Score: BOS 109 – POR 105

Notes: The Celtics have won 4 of 5 games and continue their road trip after stunning the Nuggets two nights ago. Portland is coming off a home loss to Miami but on the season, the Blazers have played fairly well at home. Evan Fournier is still out for Boston but I like Boston to keep this one close. I have not had much luck betting on the C’s this year but a $20 bet on Boston and since I have won a few Totals lately, I will also drop $20 on the under in this game.

 

ATL (3.5) at TOR (-3.5)

Pick: Lean ATL

Total: 223.5 (Lean Under – 223)

Predicted Score: ATL 111 – TOR 112

Notes: Atlanta has won 4 of 5 games but are only a .500 team on the road this season. The Raptors are playing their third game in four nights and are coming off a loss to the Knicks on Sunday. The Hawks are dealing with a slew of injuries including Kris Dunn being out, John Collin still out, Danilo Gallinari doubtful and now Trae Young listed as questionable. Toronto is still playing without Fred VanVleet.

 

LAC (-2.5) at IND (2.5)

Pick: Lean LAC

Total: 229.5 (Lean Under – 223)

Predicted Score: LAC 115 – IND 108

Notes: The Clippers are riding a 5-game winning streak and the Pacers have won 4 of 5. Indiana has not been stellar at home this season but do get to take on a West Coast team that just traveled East and will be without Kawhi Leonard. The Pacers will be without Myles Turner.

 

LAL (1.5) at CHA (-1.5)

Pick: Lean LAL

Total: 208.5 (Lean Over – 210)

Predicted Score: LAL 106 – CHA 104

Notes: The Hornets are coming off a close loss to the Hawks and welcome in a depleted Lakers team that is coming off a loss to the Knicks last night.

 

MIA (3.5) at PHX (-3.5)

Pick: Lean PHX

Total: 215 (Lean Over – 220)

Predicted Score: MIA 108 – PHX 112

Notes: Phoenix has won 4 of 5 games and has increased their home record to 21-8 this year. Miami is playing good basketball lately – shooting almost 56% EFG the past 2 weeks. That does get a bit lower on the road as Miami still is not a great road team. Victor Oladipo is out again for the Heat so their shooting could be even worse.

 

NHL

I’m cold in hockey right now. Last 5 days I am 1-8 in bets and down $149. So be careful following me right now. I’ll let you know when things pick back up.

NHL News – The NHL trade deadline came and went. Here are some things to keep an eye out for:

• The Capitals traded for Antony Mantha. This could improve them for a playoff push and detracts from the value of betting on Detroit. The Capitals did overpay a bit but such is life. Mantha has had an iffy season but could really fit in with Washington.
• The Ducks traded for a defenseman on a cheap contract in Hayden Fleury but now they have too many defenseman and one will need to go as part of the expansion draft.
• Toronto added Ben Hutton and made a few other minor trades to add depth.
• Winnipeg added Jordie Benn to give some depth and experience.
• Calgary traded Sam Bennett to the Panthers. This will probably pay off more in the playoffs.
• The Flyers traded Erik Gustafsson to Montreal. It’s a flier that could pay off for Montreal as he was underwhelming so far in Philly.
• Vegas added Mattias Janmark but overpaid for him. Again, a playoff team paying a lot for a run at the Cup.
• Colorado brough back Carl Soderberg. This will help them improve penalty kills and provide some more depth come playoff time.
• Bruins acquired former Devil/former Coyote Taylor Hall. If he can produce like he used to, this is a solid get for Boston.

 

 

Florida Panthers (-112) at Dallas Stars (102)

Pick: Bet Florida

Notes: Down with the ship. My blind faith in Florida could be the death of me. They have lost 3 in a row including a 4-1 loss to Dallas on Saturday. Dallas has improved at home recently but I think Florida wins this one. $20 bet on the Panthers.

 

New York Rangers (-169) at New Jersey Devils (152)

Pick: Lean New York

Notes: The Rangers should get the win here but my metrics have it closer than a -170 game should be.

 

Buffalo Sabres (265) at Boston Bruins (-319)

Pick: Lean Buffalo

Notes: There is some value in Buffalo here. I’m not going to do it but I understand the play if someone does. Boston still is banged up and not playing elite hockey. Buffalo has won more recently than they did all season. Add in a nice payout and I can really understand the lottery ticket.

 

Philadelphia Flyers (137) at Washington Capitals (-152)

Pick: Lean Philadelphia

Notes: Rubbing my eyes that my sheet says to bet Philly. I refuse to. Washington is so damn good at home and Philly is Philly.

 

Calgary Flames (160) at Toronto Maple Leafs (-182)

Pick: Lean Toronto

Notes: Calgary got a much-needed win on Saturday. Toronto lost to Montreal last night and should get back to their winning ways today.

 

Tampa Bay Lightning (-166) at Nashville Predators (146)

Pick: Lean Tampa Bay

Notes: Tampa has won two games in a row including a shutout over Nashville on Saturday. I like them again today but only as a lean. The value is there but the trust still isn’t.

 

MLB

 

 

OAK (-112) at ARI (104)

Pitchers: J. Luzardo vs. Z. Gallen

Pick: Bet $20 OAK

Notes: Zac with a C takes the mound for the D-Backs and hopes to contain a suddenly alive Oakland offense. Luzardo has not been sharp to start the season but I am looking to him to bounce back a bit. I like how the A’s have played the past week and I’m backing them today. $20 bet on Oakland.

 

SEA (124) at BAL (-135)

Pitchers: J. Sheffield vs. J. Means

Pick: Bet $20 BAL

Notes: Baltimore was swept by the Red Sox and now look to beat a 5-4 Seattle team that just won a series against the Twins. Sheffield is hittable and Baltimore can hit. I love Means out there and think Baltimore gets the win today. $20 bet on the Orioles.

 

CIN (-106) at SF (-102)

Pitchers: L. Castillo vs. K. Gausman

Pick: Bet $20 CIN

Notes: Castillo has not been great to start the season and Gausman has been pretty good. The Reds got the win yesterday and they should win the series. So a bet on them today and I’ll eye them up tomorrow if they lose today. $20 on the Reds.

 

MIA (149) at ATL (-163)

Pitchers: P. Lopez vs. M. Fried

Pick: Bet $20 MIA

 

DET (164) at HOU (-179)

Pitchers: M. Boyd vs. J. Odorizzi

Pick: Bet $20 HOU

 

BOS (125) at MIN (-145)

Pitchers: N. Eovaldi vs. K. Maeda

Pick: Lean MIN

 

PHI () at NYM ()

Pitchers: C. Anderson vs. T. Walker

Pick: n/a

 

SD (-232) at PIT (209)

Pitchers: B. Snell vs. C. Kuhl

Pick: Lean SD

 

NYY (106) at TOR (-115)

Pitchers: J. Taillon vs. H. Ryu

Pick: Lean NYY

 

TEX (146) at TB (-159)

Pitchers: K. Gibson vs. R. Yarbrough

Pick: Lean TB (Looks Trappish)

 

CHC (128) at MIL (-139)

Pitchers: K. Hendricks vs. B. Woodruff

Pick: Lean MIL

 

WSH (101) at STL (-109)

Pitchers: S. Strasburg vs. J. Flaherty

Pick: Lean STL

 

LAA (-133) at KC (123)

Pitchers: D. Bundy vs. D. Duffy

Pick: Lean KC

 

CLE (-106) at CWS (-102)

Pitchers: S. Bieber vs. L. Giolito

Pick: Lean CWS

 

COL (275) at LAD (-311)

Pitchers: A. Senzatela vs. T. Bauer

Pick: Lean LAD