Degen Show Part (4/16/21)
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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 4/16/21
IND (9.5) at UTA (-9.5)
Pick: Bet $20 IND
Total: 234 (Lean Over – 237)
Predicted Score: IND 116 – UTA 121
Notes: Other than a mystifying loss to the Wizards, Utah has been practically unbeatable at home. But they haven’t been covering big spreads. Trust me, I know. So now that I am fading them, expect them to win by 30. Alas, I like Indy here. They have been playing some damn good basketball lately and I think they can hang tonight. $20 bet on the Pacers.
LAC (2.5) at PHI (-2.5)
Pick: Lean LAC
Total: 224.5 (Lean Under – 222)
Predicted Score: LAC 112 – PHI 110
Notes: Tobias Harris and Dwight Howard are questionable for Philly tonight. The Sixers have won 3 in a row and are coming off a big win over Brooklyn. The Clippers have won 7 straight and are pretty good on the road. They will need everything to beat a Philly team that is 21-5 at home this year.
OKC (2.5) at DET (-2.5)
Pick: Lean DET
Total: 215.5 (Lean Over – 219)
Predicted Score: OKC 103 – DET 116
Notes: I have Detroit slaughtering OKC here but lots of players sitting for them tonight. Detroit will look to snap a 3-game losing streak while OKC looks to break an 8-game losing streak.
NOP (-2) at WAS (2)
Pick: Lean NOP
Total: 241 (Lean Under – 221)
Predicted Score: NOP 112 – WAS 109
Notes: Lonzo Ball is listed as probable tonight as the Pelicans look to rebound from a loss from the Knicks. New Orleans has not been stellar on the road this season and Washington is playing some good basketball right now (winning 4 of 5 – all on the road).
CHA (13.5) at BKN (-13.5)
Pick: Lean CHA
Total: 223.5 (Lean Under – 216)
Predicted Score: CHA 104 – BKN 112
Notes: Looks like Kyrie will play tonight and Harden is nearing his return. Charlotte is a bit of a mess right now and have lost 3 in a row. The Nets should cover but I don’t have it quite there. Lean on the Hornets.
ORL (1.5) at TOR (-1.5)
Pick: Lean TOR
Total: 218.5 (Bet $20 Under – 215)
Predicted Score: ORL 106 – TOR 109
Notes: No Lowry, no Siakim and no Anuunoby yet Toronto could still cover. But I am not betting the spread. I am going to drop $20 on the under here.
MEM (-4.5) at CHI (4.5)
Pick: Bet $20 MEM
Total: 224.5 (Lean Over – 229)
Predicted Score: MEM 117 – CHI 112
Notes: Zach Lavine is in covid protocols and even with him in the lineup I had Memphis covering this one by half a point. The Grizzlies have not been the model of consistency but are fairly good on the road. Fuck the Bulls. $20 bet on Memphis.
MIA (-6.5) at MIN (6.5)
Pick: Lean MIN
Total: 219.5 (Lean Over – 224)
Predicted Score: MIA 113 – MIN 111
Notes: This is Miami’s 4th road game in a row and they have not been stellar on the road but should nab a win. I have it close but man, Minnesota is not very good either.
DEN (-8.5) at HOU (8.5)
Pick: Lean HOU
Total: 225.5 (Lean Over – 226)
Predicted Score: DEN 115 – HOU 111
Notes: The Nuggets bounced back to a big win over Miami (as the Logo predicted) and they should continue Houston’s losing streak here – but I have it closer than I would have imagined. The Rockets haven’t been dreadful so maybe they keep it closer than 8.
POR (-2) at SAS (2)
Pick: Lean SAS
Total: 231.5 (Lean Over – 239)
Predicted Score: POR 119 – SAS 120
Notes: Nothing much to say here. I have the Spurs winning this game outright. But hate it.
NYK (5.5) at DAL (-5.5)
Pick: Lean NYK
Total: 210.5 (Lean Over – 214)
Predicted Score: NYK 109 – DAL 105
Notes: Knicks have won 4 in a row and Dallas is decent enough at home. I have New York outright winning but man I hate this game.
Calgary Flames (122) at Montreal Canadiens (-135)
Pick: Lean Montreal
Notes: Calgary has won 3 in a row and took care of Montreal on Wednesday but I like the Canadiens to bounce back today.
New York Islanders (106) at Boston Bruins (-119)
Pick: Lean Boston
Notes: Boston handled the Islanders last night. I have them edging them out again today but too close for my liking and I hate these back-to-backs.
San Jose Sharks (170) at Minnesota Wild (-191)
Pick: Bet $20 Minnesota
Notes: San Jose has not played very good hockey lately and the Wild are exceptional at home. This keeps getting worse and will price out soon – but for now, a $20 bet on the Wild
Los Angeles Kings (253) at Colorado Avalanche (-293)
Pick: Lean Colorado
Notes: Worth a lottery ticket bet on Los Angeles? Maybe. Seems like some sharp money on them right now. LA was dominated by Vegas and the Avalanche have only lost 4 times at home this season. So I don’t see it but I would not blame someone for trying.
Vegas Golden Knights (-234) at Anaheim Ducks (206)
Pick: Lean Vegas
Notes: Vegas has won 4 in a row against some bad competition and Anaheim qualifies there. Vegas should get it done today against a Ducks team that is 5-14-4 at home this season.
ATL (-130) at CHC (120)
Pitchers: D. Smyly vs. Z. Davies
Pick: Bet $20 ATL
Notes: Neither team is lighting things up right now. Atlanta finally got a win over the Marlins. The Cubs return home after a dreadful road trip. Zach Davies has not looked good in his first few starts and if the Cubs’ offense keeps doing what it’s doing, this could be a chance for the Braves’ offense to bust out and get to a big lead. $20 bet on Atlanta.
DET (162) at OAK (-177)
Pitchers: J. Urena vs. F. Montas
Pick: Bet $20 OAK
Notes: The Tigers looked good in sweeping Houston. Or maybe the Astros just looked bad. Because that same Detroit team did not show up against Oakland last night. Oakland has won 5 in a row and their offense is clicking after a disaster of a start to the season. It’s chalky, sure, but $20 bet on the A’s.
LAD (-154) at SD (142)
Pitchers: W. Buehler vs. R. Weathers
Pick: Bet $20 LAD
Notes: Both pitchers have looked good to start the season but one of them has the most potent offense in the league backing him and the other is praying that Tatis returns today. The Dodgers have won 6 in a row and are off to an 11-2 start. They will lose games this year and San Diego could be a team they lose to. I just don’t think they lose this one. $20 bet on the Dodgers.
ARI (178) at WSH (-195)
Pitchers: T. Widener vs. M. Scherzer
Pick: Lean WSH
STL (130) at PHI (-141)
Pitchers: C. Martinez vs. Z. Eflin
Pick: Lean PHI
TB () at NYY ()
Pitchers: M. Wacha vs. J. Montgomery
SF (-138) at MIA (127)
Pitchers: A. DeSclafani vs. D. Castano
Pick: Lean MIA
CWS () at BOS ()
Pitchers: D. Cease vs. N. Pivetta
CLE (102) at CIN (-111)
Pitchers: L. Allen vs. J. Hoffman
Pick: Lean CIN
BAL (107) at TEX (-116)
Pitchers: J. Lopez vs. M. Foltynewicz
Pick: Lean BAL
PIT (134) at MIL (-145)
Pitchers: J. Brubaker vs. A. Houser
Pick: Lean MIL (Looks Trappish)
TOR (-122) at KC (112)
Pitchers: S. Matz vs. M Minor
Pick: Lean KC
NYM () at COL ()
Pitchers: J. deGrom vs. C. Gonzalez
MIN () at LAA ()
Pitchers: L. Thorpe vs. A. Heaney
HOU (-106) at SEA (-102)
Pitchers: J. Urquidy vs. Y. Kikuchi
Pick: Lean SEA