Degen’s Best Sports Bet Picks for 5/1/21: NBA, NHL & MLB

Degen Show Part (5/1/21)

Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 5/1/21. Listen to the Degen’s NBA win totals episode, their MLB futures episode and Max’s NHL Power rankings post.

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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 5/1/21

 

NBA

Sports Bet Picks for 5/1/21

 

DET (7.5) at CHA (-7.5)

Pick: Bet $20 CHA ML (-280)

Total: 213.5 (Lean Over – 217)

Predicted Score: DET 106 – CHA 111

Notes: The Hornets have lost 2 in a row but they have been fairly solid at home this year. Detroit did get that win over a depleted Atlanta team the other night but then got back to their losing ways on Thursday. Charlotte should get the win today. $20 ML bet on the Hornets.

 

NOP (-3.5) at MIN (3.5)

Pick: Bet $20 MIN ML (+135)

Total: 235.5 (Lean Under – 227)

Predicted Score: NOP 114 – MIN 113

Notes: The Pelicans have won 3 of 5 games and their wins have been pretty one-sided. But they are still just an 11-19 road team that has defensive lapses and times where their offense looks like shit. The T-Wolves have won 4 in a row and are playing some damn good ball right now. I have New Orleans winning by a point here but still enough value to bet Minnesota on the moneyline. $20 bet on the T-Wolves.

 

CHI (5.5) at ATL (-5.5)

Pick: Bet $20 ATL ML (-220)

Total: 213.5 (Lean Over – 215)

Predicted Score: CHI 106 – ATL 109

Notes: Fuck the Bulls. Seriously. I know Atlanta got stomped yesterday but with Trae Young back, they should start being more competitive. The Bulls suck. I hate them. And I’m betting against them. Which means they probably win. $20 ML bet on the Hawks.

 

IND (-6.5) at OKC (6.5)

Pick: Bet $20 IND ML (-280)

Total: 226.5 (Lean Over – 231)

Predicted Score: IND 119 – OKC 112

Notes: Indiana is still dealing with some injuries and have lost 2 in a row in convincing fashion – but it’s OKC. Who can they beat? Seriously. The Thunder can’t beat anyone. They haven’t won since … beating the Celtics on Tuesday. But they went back to losing on Thursday and will continue losing today. $20 ML bet on the Pacers.

 

WAS (5.5) at DAL (-5.5)

Pick: Bet $20 WAS ML (205)

Total: 231.5 (Lean Under – 227)

Predicted Score: WAS 117 – DAL 110

Notes: Washington won once again last night. Which does bring up questions over rest for Russ or not. I don’t think so. This team is rolling and dangerous. I’m not sure if they want to mess with that flow. Dallas has won 4 of 5 games but Porzingis is banged up and they are primed for an upset. $20 ML bet on the Wizards.

 

MEM (-10.5) at ORL (10.5)

Pick: Lean ORL

Total: 223.5 (Lean Over – 230)

Predicted Score: MEM 118 – ORL 112

Notes: Orlando was beating Memphis in yesterday’s game. They subsequently ended up scoring 75 points in a blowout loss. More of the same today I predict.

 

GSW (-7.5) at HOU (7.5)

Pick: Lean HOU

Total: 233.5 (Lean Under – 227)

Predicted Score: GSW 115 – HOU 112

Notes: The Warriors have lost 2 in a row and have not been a great road team this season. The Rockets stole one from the Bucks but not sure they can win 2 in a row. Also not sure if management wants them to.

 

MIA (-10.5) at CLE (10.5)

Pick: Lean CLE

Total: 208.5 (Lean Over – 213)

Predicted Score: MIA 109 – CLE 104

Notes: Miami should win this one. Even with their not so great play on the road.

 

DEN (4.5) at LAC (-4.5)

Pick: Lean LAC

Total: 223.5 (Lean Under – 222)

Predicted Score: DEN 108 – LAC 114

Notes: Really good matchup here. The Nuggets have won 4 in a row and the Clippers have lost 2 in a row. But LA heads back home where they are 24-8. Can they win a home game without Kawhi? Maybe.

 

TOR (7.5) at UTA (-7.5)

Pick: Lean TOR

Total: 222.5 (Lean Under – 216)

Predicted Score: TOR 106 – UTA 110

Notes: Utah could not pull out the win over Phoenix yesterday and now they sit in second place in the West. They should be able to grab a win over the Raptors today.

 

NHL

Sports Bet Picks for 5/1/21

 

Florida Panthers (-143) at Chicago Blackhawks (129)

Pick: Bet Florida

Notes: Florida beat Chicago on Thursday and they should get it done again today. The Blackhawks have lost 4 of 5 games and have a -8 goal differential over that span. Both teams have low PDOs – meaning luck factor is impacting them. Florida is winning despite that. $20 bet on the Panthers.

 

Calgary Flames (108) at Edmonton Oilers (-119)

Pick: Bet Calgary

Notes: Calgary got the better of the Oilers on Thursday and I like them here today. They have played some pretty good hockey lately. Edmonton has too – so this won’t be a massacre by any sorts – but I have the Flames stealing a win here and getting a plus line.

 

Buffalo Sabres (292) at Boston Bruins (-345)

Pick: Lean Buffalo

Notes: Yeah, the Bruins just beat Buffalo 5-2 on Thursday. But the Sabres did steal a win over Boston a week ago. There is some value here for sure.

 

Tampa Bay Lightning (-328) at Detroit Red Wings (279)

Pick: Lean Detroit

Notes: Ugh, yeah, I know. There is value in Detroit here. I hate Tampa. Blah, blah, blah.

 

Pittsburgh Penguins (-105) at Washington Capitals (-115)

Pick: Lean Washington

Notes: The money is hitting the Penguins here but not sure they can beat Washington in consecutive games.

 

New Jersey Devils (122) at Philadelphia Flyers (-135)

Pick: Lean Philadelphia

Notes: The Devils have beat the Flyers twice in a row. Can they go for 3? I don’t think so.

 

New York Rangers (118) at New York Islanders (-130)

Pick: Lean New York Rangers

Notes: New York got the better of New York on Thursday. Can New York do it again? Or will New York get it done today? I’m leaning New York here.

 

Columbus Blue Jackets (260) at Carolina Hurricanes (-303)

Pick: Lean Carolina

Notes: Columbus should be well rested but being rested won’t help the while facing Carolina at home. Should be an easy win for the Hurricanes.

 

Ottawa Senators (180) at Montreal Canadiens (-220)

Pick: Lean Montreal

Notes: Ottawa has won 4 of 5. Can they beat Montreal at home? I don’t have it but there is value there. The Canadiens won yesterday but could be in for a shock today

 

Vancouver Canucks (248) at Toronto Maple Leafs (-287)

Pick: Lean Toronto

Notes: The Canucks have lost 3 in a row including a 4-1 beatdown by Toronto on Thursday. The Maple Leafs have won 4 in a row with a +11 goal differential in that span.

 

San Jose Sharks (235) at Colorado Avalanche (-290)

Pick: Lean Colorado

Notes: Colorado finally got back to winning yesterday over the Sharks and should double up today. But way too chalky for my liking.

 

Dallas Stars (-104) at Nashville Predators (-106)

Pick: Lean Dallas

Notes: The money is coming in on Nashville and Dallas has lost two in a row – dropping their road record to 8-10-4. Predators are a pretty good home team too.

 

St. Louis Blues (120) at Minnesota Wild (-139)

Pick: Lean Minnesota

Notes: Goddamn. I keep fading the Blues and it has not worked in my favor. Minnesota can’t lose again, right?

 

Los Angeles Kings (-130) at Anaheim Ducks (110)

Pick: Lean Los Angeles

Notes: The Kings beat the Ducks once again. Value could be on Anaheim today but I still have LA winning.

 

Vegas Golden Knights (-195) at Arizona Coyotes (165)

Pick: Lean Vegas

Notes: The Coyotes stunned Vegas last night. Don’t think it happens again.

 

MLB

Sports Bet Picks for 5/1/21

 

KC (114) at MIN (-123)

Pitchers: D. Duffy (ERA: 0.39 – Road ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 101) vs. M. Shoemaker (ERA: 5.63 – Home ERA: 5.35 – Avg. ML: -142)

Pick: Bet $20 MIN

 

CHC (144) at CIN (-157)

Pitchers: Z. Davies (ERA: 10.23 – Road ERA: 24.55 – Avg. ML: 107) vs. L. Castillo (ERA: 6.35 – Home ERA: 5.74 – Avg. ML: -117)

Pick: Bet $20 CIN

 

COL (165) at ARI (-181)

Pitchers: A. Gomber (ERA: 6.86 – Road ERA: 9.47 – Avg. ML: 167) vs. Z. Gallen (ERA: 2.22 – Home ERA: 2.25 – Avg. ML: 113)

Pick: Bet $20 ARI

 

MIA () at WSH ()

Pitchers: P. Campbell (ERA: n/a – Road ERA: n/a – Avg. ML: n/a) vs. P. Corbin (ERA: 10.62 – Home ERA: 10.13 – Avg. ML: 105)

Pick: TBD

 

DET (201) at NYY (-222)

Pitchers: S. Turnbull (ERA: 3.27 – Road ERA: n/a – Avg. ML: -114) vs. J. Taillon (ERA: 7.38 – Home ERA: 1.8 – Avg. ML: -115)

Pick: Lean NYY

 

CLE (162) at CWS (-177)

Pitchers: T. McKenzie (ERA: 4.85 – Road ERA: 4 – Avg. ML: 120) vs. L. Lynn (ERA: 0.94 – Home ERA: 1.2 – Avg. ML: -134)

Pick: Lean CWS

 

BAL (172) at OAK (-189)

Pitchers: M. Harvey (ERA: 4.43 – Road ERA: 4.89 – Avg. ML: 130) vs. J. Luzardo (ERA: 5.72 – Home ERA: 4.14 – Avg. ML: -105)

Pick: Lean OAK

 

HOU () at TB ()

Pitchers: J. Urquidy (ERA: 4.79 – Road ERA: 5.03 – Avg. ML: -133) vs. J. Fleming (ERA: 0.89 – Home ERA: 1.8 – Avg. ML: -121)

Pick: TBD

 

NYM (109) at PHI (-118)

Pitchers: T. Walker (ERA: 2.22 – Road ERA: 5.63 – Avg. ML: -138) vs. Z. Wheeler (ERA: 3.25 – Home ERA: 2.95 – Avg. ML: -110)

Pick: Lean PHI

 

STL (-138) at PIT (127)

Pitchers: J. Flaherty (ERA: 3.2 – Road ERA: 4.47 – Avg. ML: -111) vs. T. Cahill (ERA: 7.11 – Home ERA: 1.8 – Avg. ML: 175)

Pick: Lean PIT

 

BOS (-184) at TEX (168)

Pitchers: E. Rodriquez (ERA: 3.38 – Road ERA: 3.6 – Avg. ML: -107) vs. J. Lyles (ERA: 7.17 – Home ERA: 14.29 – Avg. ML: 160)

Pick: Lean BOS

 

LAD (-126) at MIL (116)

Pitchers: D. May (ERA: 2.56 – Road ERA: 2.45 – Avg. ML: -170) vs. B. Woodruff (ERA: 1.55 – Home ERA: 3.6 – Avg. ML: -103)

Pick: Lean LAD

 

ATL () at TOR ()

Pitchers: C. Morton (ERA: 4.8 – Road ERA: 3.27 – Avg. ML: -125) vs. T. Bergen (ERA: n/a – Home ERA: n/a – Avg. ML: n/a)

Pick: TBD

 

SF (155) at SD (-169)

Pitchers: A. DeSclafani (ERA: 1.5 – Road ERA: 3 – Avg. ML: -111) vs. B. Snell (ERA: 4.15 – Home ERA: 2.54 – Avg. ML: -124)

Pick: Lean SD

 

LAA (-138) at SEA (127)

Pitchers: G. Canning (ERA: 8.85 – Road ERA: 8.85 – Avg. ML: 101) vs. L. Newsome (ERA: n/a – Home ERA: n/a – Avg. ML: n/a)

Pick: Lean SEA

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