Degen Show Part (5/18/21)
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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 5/18/21
CHA (3) at IND (-3)
Pick: Bet $10 IND ML (-143)
Total: 226.5 (Lean Over – 228)
Predicted Score: CHA 113 – IND 115
Notes: The Hornets wish they had Gordon Hayward today to face off against the team that he almost was traded to. With all of the questionable injury tags for Indiana, they could probably use a healthy Hayward too. Charlotte got cold at the wrong time. They are riding a 5 game losing streak and their EFG% has been terrible lately. The Pacers have not been the model of consistency – and are sub .500 at home. But they should get things together and push them into the next play-in game. $10 ML bet on the Pacers.
WAS (2) at BOS (-2)
Pick: Bet $10 WAS ML (+115)
Total: 233 (Lean Over – 244)
Predicted Score: WAS 123 – BOS 121
Notes: Am I forced to do this one? Didn’t we pretty much cover this game yesterday? When the shining spot of your last few weeks of a season is your B-squad keeping it close with the Knicks , then you know you are in trouble. Jaylen Brown is injured and Paul Pierce won’t be wheelchairing through the door. Which means Jayson Tatum, Kemba Walker, Marcus Smart and Evan Fournier have to play some goddamn basketball to match up against Russell Westbrook and Bradley Beal. Good luck with that. The 2 stars for Washington actually have desire to win and a sense of urgency. I have not seen that from Boston this year. $10 ML bet on the Wizards.
Calgary Flames (-131) at Vancouver Canucks (118)
Pick: Lean Vancouver
Notes: Look what we have here. A regular season game. The Flames took the last game two days ago and also beat Vancouver five days ago. The Canucks and Flames end the regular season tomorrow. I’m kind of done with regular season hockey so a lean Vancouver here.
New York Islanders (121) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-133)
Pick: Bet $20 Pittsburgh
Notes: Game 1 was a good one and the Islanders snuck out the win. It was a rare home loss for the Penguins who are 22-4-2 at home. I think there is a good chance the Penguins lose another one at home this series. But it won’t be today. $20 bet on Pittsburgh.
Tampa Bay Lightning (-130) at Florida Panthers (117)
Pick: Bet $20 Florida
Notes: This will be the 4th straight game these teams have played. Tampa grabbed a win in game 1 and it does put them in a good spot to win this series and shut me up pretty good. But I don’t think they go up 2-0. $20 bet on Florida.
Minnesota Wild (143) at Vegas Golden Knights (-159)
Pick: Bet $20 Vegas
Notes: I was on Minnesota as a value play in game 1 and I snuck out a good win. But I am backing Vegas today. I think the Golden Knights bounce back and get a much-needed home win to even this series. $20 bet on Vegas.
SF (106) at CIN (-114)
Pitchers: A. DeSclafani (ERA: 2.15 – Road ERA: 2.77 – Avg. ML: 100) vs. L. Castillo (ERA: 7.91 – Home ERA: 5.63 – Avg. ML: -123)
Pick: Bet $20 SF
Notes: I was on the Giants yesterday and I am on them again today. Castillo is due for a good outing or a trip to the doctor if he does not get one today. DeSclafani has been great and will look to take it to his former team.
TB (-147) at BAL (135)
Pitchers: L. Patino (ERA: 1.45 – Road ERA: n/a – Avg. ML: 113) vs. M. Harvey (ERA: 5.01 – Home ERA: 3.28 – Avg. ML: 141)
Pick: Bet $20 BAL
Notes: Matt Harvey will look to shake off his bad outing against the Mets and face a Rays team that just swept the Mets. Tampa is 12-7 on the road while Baltimore is only 6-15 at home. Still, I see some value in betting the Orioles today.
CWS (-113) at MIN (105)
Pitchers: L. Lynn (ERA: 1.32 – Road ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: -144) vs. M. Pineda (ERA: 2.83 – Home ERA: 2.88 – Avg. ML: -118)
Pick: Bet $20 CWS
Notes: I was off the White Sox yesterday and hopefully I am not a day late. I tend not to think so considering the White Sox have been consistently good lately and Minnesota has been consistently bad. Pineda has pitched decently but Lance Lynn has his name in Cy Young talks. The White Sox are 11-7 on the road while the Twins are 7-14 at home.
PIT (113) at STL (-123)
Pitchers: J. Brubaker (ERA: 2.6 – Road ERA: 2.45 – Avg. ML: 126) vs. J. Gant (ERA: 1.85 – Home ERA: 2.38 – Avg. ML: 111)
Pick: Bet $20 PIT
Notes: Actually a solid pitching match-up here. Brubaker has been good for the Pirates and Gant has started the season off well too. The Cardinals have beaten up the Pirates so far this season but the Pirates are a pesky team. They just grabbed 2 from the Giants and at 9-12 on the road, they aren’t a terrible road team. The Cardinals just got swept by San Diego. Trust me. I know. And I think the Pirates could sneak out a win today.
CLE (113) at LAA (-123)
Pitchers: Z. Plesac (ERA: 3.67 – Road ERA: 4.64 – Avg. ML: -108) vs. A. Heaney (ERA: 4.94 – Home ERA: 5.66 – Avg. ML: -114)
Pick: Bet $20 CLE
Notes: The Indians have lost 4 in a row after yesterday’s loss to the Angels. Their offense continues to be a major problem. But Plesac should give them a very good start today – despite his 4.64 road ERA. And Heaney gives their bats an opportunity to put up a few runs.
MIA () at PHI ()
Pitchers: T. Rogers (ERA: 1.84 – Road ERA: 1.93 – Avg. ML: 114) vs. Z. Wheeler (ERA: 2.91 – Home ERA: 2.55 – Avg. ML: -110)
NYM () at ATL ()
Pitchers: T. Walker (ERA: 2.08 – Road ERA: 2.81 – Avg. ML: -127) vs. T. Davidson (n/a)
BOS (122) at TOR (-132)
Pitchers: E. Rodriquez (ERA: 3.81 – Road ERA: 4.05 – Avg. ML: -119) vs. H. Ryu (ERA: 3.04 – Home ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: -111)
Pick: Lean BOS
WSH (-111) at CHC (103)
Pitchers: P. Corbin (ERA: 6.23 – Road ERA: 8.3 – Avg. ML: 114) vs. Z. Davies (ERA: 5.88 – Home ERA: 3.56 – Avg. ML: 106)
Pick: Lean CHC
NYY (-166) at TEX (152)
Pitchers: J. Taillon (ERA: 5.89 – Road ERA: 10.26 – Avg. ML: -137) vs. M. Foltynewicz (ERA: 4.67 – Home ERA: 4.59 – Avg. ML: 141)
Pick: Lean NYY
MIL (113) at KC (-123)
Pitchers: B. Woodruff (ERA: 1.67 – Road ERA: 0.71 – Avg. ML: -107) vs. K. Bubic (n/a)
Pick: Lean MIL
HOU (-105) at OAK (-103)
Pitchers: C. Javier (ERA: 3.14 – Road ERA: 5.49 – Avg. ML: -119) vs. S. Manaea (ERA: 4.47 – Home ERA: 3.69 – Avg. ML: -108)
Pick: Lean OAK
ARI () at LAD ()
Pitchers: M. Kelly (ERA: 5.38 – Road ERA: 6.87 – Avg. ML: 129) vs. J. Urias (ERA: 3.29 – Home ERA: 4.27 – Avg. ML: -190)
COL (203) at SD (-225)
Pitchers: A. Gomber (ERA: 5.63 – Road ERA: 7.78 – Avg. ML: 164) vs. B. Snell (ERA: 4.4 – Home ERA: 2.34 – Avg. ML: -135)
Pick: Lean SD
DET (110) at SEA (-119)
Pitchers: S. Turnbull (ERA: 3.94 – Road ERA: 6.75 – Avg. ML: 141) vs. J. Dunn (ERA: 3.91 – Home ERA: 3.87 – Avg. ML: 139)
Pick: Lean DET