Degen Show (6/16/22)
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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 6/16/22
GSW (4) at BOS (-4)
Pick: Lean GSW
Total: 210 (Lean Under – 209)
Predicted Score: GSW 105 – BOS 104
Notes: The Celtics lost back-to-back games for the first time in the playoffs and only the second time since January 23rd.
The last time Boston lost 3 in a row was last year – right before New Year’s.
Beating this Boston team is not easy.
But the formula is clear.
They turn the ball over and they lose.
Boston clawed back in the last game to grab a small lead in the 3rd before another Jordan Poole halfcourt, buzzer beater put a dagger in them.
They came out in the 4th and shot like crap – ultimately losing by 10.
The Celtics managed to contain Steph in game 5 but allowed everyone else to do what they want out there.
Even fake Klay Thompson could have scored on Boston during some stretches of that game.
I think they do bounce back today and push this to 7 games.
Golden State smells the blood in the water and will do what they can to end this today yet I think they fall short today.
Probably by about 10 points or so.
Or maybe they win by 10.
I saw a strategy in our Discord of someone betting alt lines of -9.5 on each side and shit, probably a good idea.
The winning team in this series has won by 12, 19, 16, 10 and 10.
The close games do not end up being close and probably more of the same here.
My numbers say to lean Golden State here so I will.
But I do expect us to talk about the NBA one more time this year.
OAK (134) at BOS (-158)
Pick: Bet $10 BOS
Notes: The Red Sox look for a series sweep today and even better, a season series sweep as these two teams match up for the last time this season.
Boston has dominated Oakland thus far and the only thing standing in their way today is Oakland’s ace Paul Blackburn.
Blackburn puts this team in a position to win but their offense has to be able to do something out there.
Just ask Jacob deGrom about that.
The Red Sox will counter with Rich Hill – who is having a decent enough season.
Hill got the win over Oakland 11 days ago going 6 innings with no earned runs.
I like him to pitch well again today against this anemic Oakland offense and grab another win.
$10 bet on Boston.
BAL (215) at TOR (-260)
Pick: Bet $10 BAL
Notes: It took extra innings for the Blue Jays to grab the win yesterday over the Orioles.
Baltimore won game 2 of the series and has a chance to walk away from this 4-game series with a split.
The O’s will put Tyler Wells on the mound.
Wells is off to a pretty decent start to his season but he has to unenviable task of facing off against former Baltimore Oriole Kevin Gausman.
Gausman has pitched pretty good this year but the Blue Jays’ offense has failed him at times in securing some wins.
I do think the Jays have the advantage in this one.
But the way Baltimore has played them this year – and been a thorn in many a team in the AL East this year – I think there is value in taking a lottery ticket shot on the O’s
$10 bet on Baltimore.
SD (-194) at CHC (162)
Pick: Lean CHC
CLE (-126) at COL (108)
Pick: Lean CLE
TB (220) at NYY (-270)
Pick: Lean TB
PHI (-205) at WSH (172)
Pick: Lean PHI
MIL (116) at NYM (-136)
Pick: Lean MIL
TEX (-142) at DET (120)
Pick: Lean TEX
LAA (-120) at SEA (102)
Pick: Lean SEA