Degen Show Part (6/19/21)

Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 6/19/21. Listen to the Degen’s NBA win totals episode, their MLB futures episode and Max’s NHL Power rankings post.

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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 6/19/21

NBA

Sports Bet Picks for 6/19/21

 

MIL (1) at BKN (-1)

Pick: Lean BKN

Total: 215 (Bet $10 Under – 211)

Predicted Score: MIL 100 – BKN 111

Notes: We find out tonight if we will get our 8th head coaching vacancy or not. The Bucks have failed to seize on a great opportunity to eliminate a wounded foe as their passive mindset has allowed this series to go 7 games. Milwaukee won game 6, but the issue for them is that James Harden started looking more comfortable on the court as opposed to game 5.

If Harden is healthy – and does not revert into Houston Missiles Playoff Harden – then the Nets, at home, should win this won. The Bucks lack of 3-point defense – which just astounds me in today’s NBA – has been feasted on this series. Add to that their shitty play on the road and this game 7 is gearing up to be over before it starts.

I do think the Nets close this one today but still, don’t feel right about betting them. What I will do is bet the total here. I hit the total the last time so maybe my Nets curse is done. $10 bet on the under.

 

NHL

Sports Bet Picks for 6/19/21

Tampa Bay Lightning (-129) at New York Islanders (117)

Pick: Lean Tampa

Notes: For those longtime listeners or anyone who has downloaded and listened to every single episode, you’ll remember when I first started talking about hocky on this show with Max’s Salty picks And it was during the playoffs a few years back that I was high up on the Islanders and they got swept by the Hurricanes.

It was at that moment one of the show’s catchphrases was born. “They can’t lose them all, right?” Well they did then and they could lose the rest in this series too.

To be fair, the Islanders have matched up well with the Lightning. And New York has been down 2-1 in their previous series too. But this goddamn Lightning team is winning pretty much to spite me. That, and they are a versatile team that can adjust to any style or flow of a game.

Which could be why their metrics have been a bit misleading. They won despite not having the best shots possibly because the flow of the game dictated that. For example, if I asked you which team remaining in the playoffs has the best defensive metrics you’d gravitate towards the Islanders. Well, they’ve been the offensive team while Tampa has been the better defense.

I would love to say I have the Islanders winning this game but I don’t. Still, it’s hard to fade a team like them who have played the Lightning so damn close and are a plus line at home. So only a lean on Tampa.

 

MLB

Sports Bet Picks for 6/19/21

 

PHI (107) at SF (-116)

Pitchers: A. Nola (ERA: 3.75 – Road ERA: 5.05 – Avg. ML: -136) vs. A. Wood (ERA: 3.84 – Home ERA: 4.01 – Avg. ML: -113)

Pick: Bet $10 SF

Notes: The Giants took game 1 yesterday and no reason to believe they don’t do it again. This is a favorable line because Nola is pitching for Philly but his road ERA has not been great and the Phillies road play in general has been dreadful. The Giants should notch another home win today. $10 bet on the Giants.

 

CWS (112) at HOU (-121)

Pitchers: L. Lynn (ERA: 1.64 – Road ERA: 1.18 – Avg. ML: -138) vs. F. Valdez (ERA: 1.43 – Home ERA: 1.64 – Avg. ML: -127)

Pick: Bet $10 HOU

Notes: Well, I was on the wrong side yesterday and it’ll probably happen again today. The White Sox have their ace on the mound but it’s the Houston ace that I like today. Valdez has been sensational and the Astros are 24-13 at home this year. $10 bet on the Astros.

 

MIL (100) at COL (-109)

Pitchers: A. Houser (ERA: 3.89 – Road ERA: 3.86 – Avg. ML: -104) vs. A. Gomber (ERA: 3.58 – Home ERA: 0.96 – Avg. ML: 149)

Pick: Bet $10 COL

Notes: Jesus, are the Rockies going to sweep the goddamn Brewers? I think yesterday was Milwaukee’s game to win. Now the Rockies have Gomber on the mound with his 0.96 home ERA and the Brewers’ offense struggling lately. They have gotten a little boost at Coors field, but still, the Rockies at home are the play. $10 bet on Colorado.

 

Leans

NYM (-100) at WSH (-118)

Pitchers: D. Peterson (ERA: 5.83 – Road ERA: 8.4 – Avg. ML: 100) vs. J. Ross (ERA: 3.93 – Home ERA: 4.12 – Avg. ML: 123)

Pick: Lean NYM

 

OAK (115) at NYY (-125)

Pitchers: C. Bassitt (ERA: 3.47 – Road ERA: 4.03 – Avg. ML: -120) vs. D. German (ERA: 3.96 – Home ERA: 4.27 – Avg. ML: -126)

Pick: Lean OAK

 

MIA (103) at CHC (-111)

Pitchers: P. Lopez (ERA: 3.55 – Road ERA: 5.21 – Avg. ML: -101) vs. J. Arrieta (ERA: 5.2 – Home ERA: 3.21 – Avg. ML: 105)

Pick: Lean CHC

 

MIN (111) at TEX (-133)

Pitchers: R. Dobnak (ERA: 9.94 – Road ERA: 5.19 – Avg. ML: -104) vs. K. Allard (ERA: 2.57 – Home ERA: 3.6 – Avg. ML: 160)

Pick: Lean MIN

 

TOR (-172) at BAL (157)

Pitchers: A. Manoah (ERA: 2.69 – Road ERA: 1.06 – Avg. ML: -103) vs. D. Kremer (ERA: 6.79 – Home ERA: 8.51 – Avg. ML: 148)

Pick: Lean TOR

 

CLE (-129) at PIT (119)

Pitchers: C. Quantrill (ERA: 7.59 – Road ERA: 40.91 – Avg. ML: -121) vs. W. Crowe (ERA: 6.67 – Home ERA: 7.3 – Avg. ML: 148)

Pick: Lean PIT

 

BOS (-136) at KC (126)

Pitchers: M. Perez (ERA: 4.72 – Road ERA: 2.22 – Avg. ML: 101) vs. B. Keller (ERA: 6.34 – Home ERA: 8.18 – Avg. ML: 122)

Pick: Lean KC

 

NYM () at WSH ()

Pitchers: Undecided (n/a) vs. J. Lester (ERA: 4.79 – Home ERA: 4.85 – Avg. ML: 120)

Pick: TBD

 

CIN (160) at SD (-175)

Pitchers: V. Gutierrez (ERA: 2.74 – Road ERA: 2.81 – Avg. ML: 118) vs. D. Lamet (ERA: 4.05 – Home ERA: 5.14 – Avg. ML: -151)

Pick: Lean CIN

 

STL (116) at ATL (-126)

Pitchers: A. Wainwright (ERA: 4.01 – Road ERA: 8.41 – Avg. ML: -106) vs. D. Smyly (ERA: 5.7 – Home ERA: 7.54 – Avg. ML: -115)

Pick: Lean ATL

 

DET (179) at LAA (-197)

Pitchers: W. Peralta (n/a) vs. P. Sandoval (ERA: 3.12 – Home ERA: 4.2 – Avg. ML: -105)

Pick: Lean LAA

 

LAD (-201) at ARI (183)

Pitchers: W. Buehler (ERA: 2.38 – Road ERA: 1.97 – Avg. ML: -191) vs. M. Peacock (ERA: 5.28 – Home ERA: 4.74 – Avg. ML: 150)

Pick: Lean ARI

 

TB (-134) at SEA (124)

Pitchers: J. Fleming (ERA: 3.26 – Road ERA: 4.21 – Avg. ML: -104) vs. L. Gilbert (ERA: 4.27 – Home ERA: 6.64 – Avg. ML: 133)

Pick: Lean TB

About the Author

Mad Max is a gentle soul who enjoys drinking gin, grooming his beard and betting on sports.

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