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Degen Show Part (7/21/21)
Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 7/21/21. Listen to the Degen’s MLB futures episode or their mulligan after the All Star break.
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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 7/21/21
MLB
NYM (-135) at CIN (125)
Pitchers: M. Stroman (ERA: 2.81 – Road ERA: 2.94 – Avg. ML: -114) vs. J. Hoffman (ERA: 4.69 – Home ERA: 3.12 – Avg. ML: 109)
Pick: Bet $10 NYM
Notes: Let’s rip the bandaid off. I know, the Mets are not a reliable team on the road. Cincinnati managed to hold on yesterday but I like the Mets to nab a win today. Stroman has not been very good his last 4 starts – but he’s still putting the Mets in a position to win. New York still has one of the more putrid offenses in the league – and the Reds offense is a top 10. But that Reds’ bullpen continues to be a reason to fade them.
$10 bet on the NY Mets Squadron.
KC (151) at MIL (-165)
Pitchers: B. Keller (ERA: 6.15 – Road ERA: 5.14 – Avg. ML: 127) vs. E. Lauer (ERA: 3.63 – Home ERA: 3.9 – Avg. ML: -102)
Pick: Bet $10 MIL
Notes: I resisted betting on Milwaukee yesterday. Sorry Charlie Fuller for suggesting they could be a play. But I do like them today. Keller is hittable and while Lauer is definitely not an ace nor anywhere close to the ace of this team, Milwaukee should not lose 2 in a row to a Royals team that has not won 2 consecutive road games since April when they swept a 4-game road series over the fucking Tigers.
$10 bet on the Brewers.
MIN (131) at CWS (-142)
Pitchers: M. Pineda (ERA: 4.17 – Road ERA: 5.5 – Avg. ML: -119) vs. D. Cease (ERA: 4.32 – Home ERA: 2.22 – Avg. ML: -114)
Pick: Bet $10 CWS
Notes: I was on the Twins yesterday and was wrong. Now I can be on the White Sox today and be wrong. Dylan Cease has pitched very well at home this year – sporting a 2.22 home ERA and Michael Pineda is definitely hittable on the road. The White Sox have won 3 of 5 with their lone loss an 8-inning “extra inning” loss to the Twins on doubleheader day 2 days ago.
Chicago has dominated the Twins this year – posting a 12-3 record on the year and outscoring them by 49 runs in those 15 games. They should get another win today. $10 bet on Chicago.
SF (143) at LAD (-156)
Pitchers: L. Webb (ERA: 3.65 – Road ERA: 4.86 – Avg. ML: -104) vs. J. Urias (ERA: 3.85 – Home ERA: 4.43 – Avg. ML: -169)
Pick: Bet $10 SF
Notes: Here is my dog play for the day. The Giants and Dodgers have traded wins in this series and I have faith San Francisco can pull out the win today. The Dodgers are still not healthy and while they have a deep team – injuries to Betts, Seager, Turner and Muncy are just too much for them to overcome when facing a team like the Giants. Urias somehow has 12 wins this year but his stats are not much better than Logan Webb’s.
So a bit of a flyer on the Giants here. $10 bet on San Francisco.
Leans
BAL () at TB ()
Pitchers: K. Akin (ERA: 9.14 – Road ERA: 10.72 – Avg. ML: 150) vs. M. Wacha (ERA: 3.78 – Home ERA: 1.35 – Avg. ML: -108)
Pick: TBD
SD () at ATL ()
Pitchers: C. Paddack (ERA: 5.11 – Road ERA: 4.38 – Avg. ML: -151) vs. K. Muller (ERA: 2.54 – Home ERA: 5.19 – Avg. ML: 134)
Pick: TBD
SEA () at COL ()
Pitchers: Undecided (ERA: 0 – Road ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 0) vs. A. Gomber (ERA: 3.72 – Home ERA: 1.5 – Avg. ML: 145)
Pick: TBD
PIT () at ARI ()
Pitchers: C. Kuhl (ERA: 4.39 – Road ERA: 6.16 – Avg. ML: 162) vs. M. Bumgarner (ERA: 5.08 – Home ERA: 6.06 – Avg. ML: 127)
Pick: TBD
SD (-130) at ATL (110)
Pitchers: R. Knehr (ERA: 5.63 – Road ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: -216) vs. B. Wilson (ERA: 5.43 – Home ERA: 5.82 – Avg. ML: 100)
Pick: Lean SD
MIA (103) at WSH (-111)
Pitchers: S. Alcantara (ERA: 3.19 – Road ERA: 3.52 – Avg. ML: 106) vs. E. Fedde (ERA: 5.43 – Home ERA: 6.14 – Avg. ML: 135)
Pick: Lean MIA
PHI () at NYY ()
Pitchers: M. Moore (ERA: 5.89 – Road ERA: 4.48 – Avg. ML: 132) vs. A. Wojciechowski (ERA: 0 – Home ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 0)
Pick: TBD
BOS (168) at TOR (-185)
Pitchers: G. Richards (ERA: 5.05 – Road ERA: 3.99 – Avg. ML: -101) vs. R. Ray (ERA: 2.8 – Home ERA: 2.28 – Avg. ML: -111)
Pick: Lean TOR
TEX () at DET ()
Pitchers: J. Lyles (ERA: 5.44 – Road ERA: 5.6 – Avg. ML: 155) vs. M. Manning (ERA: 7.43 – Home ERA: 4.86 – Avg. ML: 157)
Pick: TBD
CLE (212) at HOU (-236)
Pitchers: E. Morgan (ERA: 6.59 – Road ERA: 6.3 – Avg. ML: 144) vs. L. McCullers Jr. (ERA: 2.84 – Home ERA: 2.98 – Avg. ML: -142)
Pick: Lean HOU
CHC (109) at STL (-118)
Pitchers: K. Hendricks (ERA: 3.7 – Road ERA: 3.47 – Avg. ML: -115) vs. A. Wainwright (ERA: 3.75 – Home ERA: 2.86 – Avg. ML: -108)
Pick: Lean STL
