Degen Show Part (7/22/21)
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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 7/22/21
TEX (120) at DET (-130)
Pitchers: M. Foltynewicz (ERA: 6.08 – Road ERA: 8.39 – Avg. ML: 146) vs. T. Alexander (ERA: 4.29 – Home ERA: 5.09 – Avg. ML: 183)
Pick: Bet $10 DET
Notes: Much as I am hesitant to bet on a sweep, let alone a 4-game sweep. Let alone a 4-game sweep by the fucking Tigers. I am doing it anyway. The Tigers have dominated Texas in this series and Detroit has now won 6 games in a row. Texas has dropped 8 in a row and are 13-36 on the road. Foltynewicz has had a rough year and has been even worse on the road. I think Detroit gets it done again.
$10 bet on the Tigers.
TB (-137) at CLE (126)
Pitchers: L. Patino (ERA: 6.25 – Road ERA: 9.88 – Avg. ML: 101) vs. C. Quantrill (ERA: 5.9 – Home ERA: 5.05 – Avg. ML: -100)
Pick: Bet $10 TB
Notes: Cleveland shockingly got the win over Houston yesterday. But this is still a mediocre team that will look to deal expiring contracts soon. That puts the status of some of their players in the air. For Tampa, they will look to gain their road magic but will do so with a pitcher that has a 9.88 road ERA. Still, I like Tampa to get it done today.
$10 bet on the Rays.
CHC (118) at STL (-128)
Pitchers: A. Alzolay (ERA: 4.68 – Road ERA: 4.92 – Avg. ML: 108) vs. K. Kim (ERA: 2.93 – Home ERA: 2.82 – Avg. ML: 103)
Pick: Bet $10 STL
Notes: Don’t look now but the Cardinals are now .500! World Series here they come! St. Louis still sits 7.5 games back of the Brewers but after Milwaukee shit the bed against the goddamn Royals yesterday, anything is possible. Chicago has dropped below .500 and at 19-32 on the road, they aren’t looking good to get back to .500 today. Kim has had a pretty solid season this year and should lead the Cardinals to a win today.
$10 bet on St. Louis.
SF (154) at LAD (-168)
Pitchers: A. DeSclafani (ERA: 2.82 – Road ERA: 2.36 – Avg. ML: 100) vs. W. Buehler (ERA: 2.39 – Home ERA: 2.34 – Avg. ML: -195)
Pick: Bet $10 LAD
Notes: I jumped on the Giants yesterday as a value play and today I will fade them. Which is hard to do with this plus line and DeSclafani on the mound. But its looking like the Dodgers bounce back and salvage this series today. Walker Buehler has been great at home this season and you don’t have a 10-1 record if your team doesn’t show up and score in games that you pitch. LA gets the luxury of staying home to host a weekend series against the Rockies while the Giants will travel up the coast to sleep in their own beds tonight. It’s chalky but I have LA covering this one.
$10 bet on the Dodgers.
OAK (-131) at SEA (121)
Pitchers: S. Manaea (ERA: 3.27 – Road ERA: 3.25 – Avg. ML: -113) vs. C. Flexen (ERA: 3.41 – Home ERA: 1.79 – Avg. ML: 126)
Pick: Bet $10 OAK
Notes: Seattle is at home with a plus line. Flexen is on the mound with his 1.79 home ERA. But I am going to bet Oakland in this one. Seattle’s luck is bound to run out soon and before the break, they dropped 3 big home games – showing that they can be beat there. My mantra for awhile was to bet them at home with a plus line. Hopefully I haven’t betrayed them too soon.
$10 bet on Oakland.
ATL (-137) at PHI (126)
Pitchers: C. Morton (ERA: 3.67 – Road ERA: 2.63 – Avg. ML: -130) vs. M. Moore (ERA: 5.89 – Home ERA: 8.62 – Avg. ML: 132)
Pick: Lean PHI
SD () at MIA ()
Pitchers: B. Snell (ERA: 5.38 – Road ERA: 9.57 – Avg. ML: -128) vs. Undecided (ERA: 0 – Home ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 0)
NYY (111) at BOS (-120)
Pitchers: J. Montgomery (ERA: 4.44 – Road ERA: 5.51 – Avg. ML: -129) vs. T. Houck (ERA: 4.95 – Home ERA: 4.95 – Avg. ML: -133)
Pick: Lean BOS
LAA (125) at MIN (-136)
Pitchers: A. Heaney (ERA: 5.75 – Road ERA: 5.49 – Avg. ML: -105) vs. K. Maeda (ERA: 4.57 – Home ERA: 2.47 – Avg. ML: -124)
Pick: Lean MIN