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Degen Show Part (8/13/21)
Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 8/13/21. Listen to the Degen’s MLB futures episode or their mulligan after the All Star break.
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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 8/13/21
MLB
MIL (-196) at PIT (179)
Pitchers: B. Anderson (ERA: 3.94 – Road ERA: 4.44 – Avg. ML: -103) vs. M. Keller (ERA: 7.27 – Home ERA: 8.58 – Avg. ML: 149)
Pick: Bet $10 MIL
Notes: The Brewers just swept a 4-game over the Cubs and now set their sights set on the lowly Pirates. If you download and listen to every, single episode – you would know that the Pirates have been a pain to many a team. So seeing them with this big plus line is certainly tempting – especially with one of the Brewers’ normal pitchers on the mound.
If there is a game for the Pirates to win this weekend, it’s this one. But I don’t think they win this one. Milwaukee has a +24 run differential over the past 10 days compared to Pittsburgh’s -29. The Pirates have lost 8 in a row and are due for a win – I just don’t see it happening right now.
$10 bet on Milwaukee.
CHC (111) at MIA (-120)
Pitchers: A. Alzolay (ERA: 4.81 – Road ERA: 5.08 – Avg. ML: 109) vs. J. Luzardo (ERA: 7.04 – Home ERA: 5.04 – Avg. ML: 105)
Pick: Bet $10 MIA
Notes: Jesus Luzardo got shelled in his last outing. That’s what pitching in Colorado can do to you. So it’s hard to get excited about this Marlins team when one of their young pitchers is not out there and you see that they struggle to score – especially at home.
But the Cubs are a disaster right now. They have lost 8 in a row and just lost 10-0 and 17-4 in the past 2 days. Miami has a good chance to get some wins this weekend.
$10 bet on the Marlins.
TOR (-167) at SEA (153)
Pitchers: R. Ray (ERA: 2.66 – Road ERA: 3.03 – Avg. ML: -121) vs. C. Flexen (ERA: 3.89 – Home ERA: 2.72 – Avg. ML: 129)
Pick: Bet $10 SEA
Notes: Yeah, I have been fading Seattle at home and it has not turned out well. So here they are at home getting a nice plus line. And Flexen is on the mound with his 2.72 home ERA. But they are facing off against the mighty Blue Jays. Toronto is in the unfortunate situation where they are 10 games over .500 and in 4th place in their division. But they can leap frog New York and Boston if they could just string together some wins.
They have a good chance with Robbie Ray on the mound today but they had a good chance with Berrios yesterday and squandered it. Granted, that was against the MVP and Flexen is certainly not that. But he’s good enough to help get the win today.
$10 bet on Seattle.
Leans
CIN (155) at PHI (-169)
Pitchers: T. Mahle (ERA: 3.75 – Road ERA: 1.93 – Avg. ML: -119) vs. Z. Wheeler (ERA: 2.47 – Home ERA: 2.05 – Avg. ML: -117)
Pick: Lean PHI
ATL () at WSH ()
Pitchers: C. Morton (ERA: 3.5 – Road ERA: 2.94 – Avg. ML: -134) vs. J. Gray (ERA: 3.92 – Home ERA: 3.35 – Avg. ML: 138)
Pick: TBD
LAD (-146) at NYM (134)
Pitchers: J. Urias (ERA: 3.47 – Road ERA: 3.1 – Avg. ML: -170) vs. T. Megill (ERA: 3.3 – Home ERA: 1.92 – Avg. ML: -114)
Pick: Lean LAD
CLE (-113) at DET (105)
Pitchers: Z. Plesac (ERA: 4.97 – Road ERA: 5.53 – Avg. ML: 102) vs. T. Alexander (ERA: 4.38 – Home ERA: 4.32 – Avg. ML: 141)
Pick: Lean DET
BAL (207) at BOS (-230)
Pitchers: S. Watkins (ERA: 4.46 – Road ERA: 4.02 – Avg. ML: 158) vs. N. Pivetta (ERA: 4.45 – Home ERA: 5.98 – Avg. ML: -105)
Pick: Lean BOS
OAK (-164) at TEX (150)
Pitchers: C. Irvin (ERA: 3.52 – Road ERA: 3.19 – Avg. ML: -110) vs. D. Dunning (ERA: 4.17 – Home ERA: 2.52 – Avg. ML: 119)
Pick: Lean OAK
TB (-161) at MIN (148)
Pitchers: S. McClanahan (ERA: 3.49 – Road ERA: 3.31 – Avg. ML: -125) vs. M. Pineda (ERA: 3.87 – Home ERA: 3.71 – Avg. ML: -104)
Pick: Lean MIN
STL (-134) at KC (124)
Pitchers: J. Flaherty (ERA: 2.94 – Road ERA: 3.97 – Avg. ML: -113) vs. M. Minor (ERA: 5.48 – Home ERA: 5.51 – Avg. ML: 115)
Pick: Lean STL
HOU (-138) at LAA (128)
Pitchers: Z. Greinke (ERA: 3.74 – Road ERA: 2.7 – Avg. ML: -133) vs. P. Sandoval (ERA: 3.3 – Home ERA: 4.09 – Avg. ML: -101)
Pick: Lean HOU
SD (-164) at ARI (151)
Pitchers: B. Snell (ERA: 4.98 – Road ERA: 7.66 – Avg. ML: -127) vs. M. Bumgarner (ERA: 4.18 – Home ERA: 4.7 – Avg. ML: 127)
Pick: Lean ARI
COL (174) at SF (-192)
Pitchers: A. Gomber (ERA: 3.83 – Road ERA: 5.47 – Avg. ML: 135) vs. A. DeSclafani (ERA: 3.34 – Home ERA: 4.34 – Avg. ML: 102)
Pick: Lean SF