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Degen Show (8/27/21)
Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 8/27/21. Listen to the Degen’s MLB futures episode or their mulligan after the All Star break.
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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 8/27/21
MLB
BOS (-180) at CLE (155)
Pitchers: E. Rodriguez (ERA: 5.9 – Road ERA: 5.5 – Avg. ML: -116) vs. L. Allen (ERA: 10.05 – Home ERA: 8.23 – Avg. ML: 118)
Pick: Bet $10 CLE
Notes: The Red Sox took 2 of 3 from Minnesota this past week but now they hit the road where they are only a 32-30 team. Even worse is that they are 2-11 on the road over their past 4 road series. The Cease and Desists have won 2 in a row and are back above .500. And seriously, that AL Central is not out of reach with the way that the White Sox have played ball all season.
Cleveland is 34-28 at home and have won 3 out of their last 4 home series. And ever since suffering an embarrassing loss to the A’s a few weeks back, the Guardians’ offense has picked up. Looking at the pitching matchup today, I think you would eye the over and make Cleveland a nice home dog play.
$10 bet on the Spiders.
TOR (-165) at DET (151)
Pitchers: S. Matz (ERA: 4.06 – Road ERA: 3.85 – Avg. ML: -120) vs. M. Manning (ERA: 6.18 – Home ERA: 3.55 – Avg. ML: 136)
Pick: Bet $10 TOR
Notes: Detroit has managed to salvage their season. They took 2 of 3 from Toronto and split a pair with the Cardinals this past week. And those were road games. The Tigers are 33-30 at home and a few weeks ago they were even better – before dropping 5 of 6 home games to Cleveland and Anaheim.
So based on looking at a potential value play, I wouldn’t blame someone for jumping on Detroit. My issue is that Manning is not a pitcher I would want to back and he’s got a tough match-up against a hard-hitting Toronto offense.
The Blue Jays will put near elite Steven Matz on the mound who has been extremely solid the past month. I’ll back Matz, eat some chalk in this one and bet $10 on Toronto.
Leans
ARI (218) at PHI (-243)
Pitchers: T. Widener (ERA: 5.17 – Road ERA: 3.29 – Avg. ML: 166) vs. A. Nola (ERA: 4.45 – Home ERA: 3.43 – Avg. ML: -125)
Pick: Lean ARI
STL (-144) at PIT (133)
Pitchers: J. Happ (ERA: 6.02 – Road ERA: 6.83 – Avg. ML: -111) vs. D. Peters (ERA: 1.96 – Home ERA: 2.14 – Avg. ML: 180)
Pick: Lean PIT
TB (-217) at BAL (197)
Pitchers: S. McClanahan (ERA: 3.41 – Road ERA: 3.33 – Avg. ML: -131) vs. M. Harvey (ERA: 6.57 – Home ERA: 6.87 – Avg. ML: 160)
Pick: Lean TB
WSH (180) at NYM (-220)
Pitchers: P. Espino (ERA: 4.8 – Road ERA: 6.77 – Avg. ML: 131) vs. R. Hill (ERA: 4.08 – Home ERA: 4.15 – Avg. ML: -104)
Pick: Lean WSH
CIN (-145) at MIA (134)
Pitchers: W. Miley (ERA: 2.92 – Road ERA: 3.4 – Avg. ML: -105) vs. Z. Thompson (ERA: 2.99 – Home ERA: 2.6 – Avg. ML: 137)
Pick: Lean CIN
SF (105) at ATL (-125)
Pitchers: K. Gausman (ERA: 2.49 – Road ERA: 1.72 – Avg. ML: -120) vs. M. Fried (ERA: 3.58 – Home ERA: 3.15 – Avg. ML: -128)
Pick: Lean SF
HOU (-250) at TEX (200)
Pitchers: J. Odorizzi (ERA: 4.92 – Road ERA: 5.43 – Avg. ML: -121) vs. J. Lyles (ERA: 5.95 – Home ERA: 5.6 – Avg. ML: 157)
Pick: Lean HOU
MIL (-131) at MIN (121)
Pitchers: E. Lauer (ERA: 3.17 – Road ERA: 2.99 – Avg. ML: -119) vs. A. Albers (ERA: 0 – Home ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 0)
Pick: Lean MIL
CHC (188) at CWS (-207)
Pitchers: K. Thompson (ERA: 2.5 – Road ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 126) vs. D. Keuchel (ERA: 4.66 – Home ERA: 4.01 – Avg. ML: -115)
Pick: Lean CWS
SD (-210) at LAA (175)
Pitchers: J. Musgrove (ERA: 3.24 – Road ERA: 4.4 – Avg. ML: -147) vs. J. Quintana (ERA: 8.18 – Home ERA: 4.71 – Avg. ML: 105)
Pick: Lean LAA
NYY (-143) at OAK (132)
Pitchers: G. Cole (ERA: 2.94 – Road ERA: 3.47 – Avg. ML: -176) vs. S. Manaea (ERA: 3.83 – Home ERA: 3.82 – Avg. ML: -118)
Pick: Lean NYY
COL () at LAD ()
Pitchers: K. Freeland (ERA: 4.28 – Road ERA: 4.07 – Avg. ML: 150) vs. Undecided (ERA: 0 – Home ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 0)
Pick: TBD
KC (160) at SEA (-190)
Pitchers: K. Bubic (ERA: 5.79 – Road ERA: 6 – Avg. ML: 130) vs. L. Gilbert (ERA: 5.39 – Home ERA: 5.38 – Avg. ML: 120)
Pick: Lean KC