Degen Show Part (8/3/21)

Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 8/3/21. Listen to the Degen’s MLB futures episode or their mulligan after the All Star break.

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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 8/3/21

MLB

 

BOS (-130) at DET (120)

Pitchers: G. Richards (ERA: 5.31 – Road ERA: 4.24 – Avg. ML: 104) vs. W. Peralta (ERA: 3.87 – Home ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 151)

Pick: Bet $10 DET

Notes: The Red Sox have lost 4 games in a row and find themselves in second place in the AL East for the first time in a long time this season. Whether they are fading or regressing is yet to be seen, but its hard to ignore that their hitting has been slumping a little recently and they still don’t have dominating pitching.

Detroit is a team on the rise but they are coming off a disappointing series where they split 4 games with the Orioles. Granted, the O’s just beat the Yankees last night – so maybe they are tougher competition than we thought too

Wiley Peralta gets another start today and he’s had consecutive bad outings. Prior to that, the dude was dealing. I’m hoping he can squeeze one more solid outing today.

$10 bet on the Tigers.

 

KC (187) at CWS (-206)

Pitchers: K. Bubic (ERA: 5.47 – Road ERA: 8.41 – Avg. ML: 135) vs. D. Cease (ERA: 4.26 – Home ERA: 2.54 – Avg. ML: -117)

Pick: Bet $10 CWS

Notes: The White Sox would like to forget their last series with the Royals if they can. KC took 3 of 4 games and Chicago’s offense just could not get anything going. But now the Sox have a chance for revenge as Bubic and his bloated 8.41 road ERA takes on Dylan Cease and his 2.54 home ERA.

The White Sox are 37-18 at home this season while KC has struggled on the road – posting a 17-34 record. There could be some value in taking KC one game during this series – I just don’t think it’s this game.

$10 bet on Chicago.

 

HOU (155) at LAD (-170)

Pitchers: L. McCullers Jr. (ERA: 3.26 – Road ERA: 3.12 – Avg. ML: -146) vs. W. Buehler (ERA: 2.19 – Home ERA: 2.24 – Avg. ML: -189)

Pick: Bet $10 LAD

Notes: When you see Houston at this kind of plus line you have to be tempted to jump on them. This is one of the best teams in MLB and this line shows them no respect whatsoever. But it’s probably because they are going to lose this one.

Walker Buehler will now slide out of his defacto ace role with Max Scherzer in town but let’s see if that impacts him pitching like an ace. He’s 11-1 with a 2.19 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP. He’s in the conversation with two guys from Milwaukee and guy from Queens as the Cy Young nominees this year.

Lance McCullers Jr. is having a damn good season himself but the Astros have been on the road for awhile now and they started to look like they missed home in their last few games against the Astros. Now they head to a hostile LA where the fans will have trashacan signs in tow.

I like the Dodgers to pull out the win today. It’s a chalky one for sure, but I have them covering this implied probability today.

$10 bet on LA.

 

Leans

PHI (-173) at WSH (158)

Pitchers: Z. Wheeler (ERA: 2.49 – Road ERA: 2.91 – Avg. ML: -113) vs. P. Corbin (ERA: 5.89 – Home ERA: 5.5 – Avg. ML: 107)

Pick: Lean PHI

 

BAL (281) at NYY (-320)

Pitchers: A. Wells (ERA: 6.18 – Road ERA: 6.18 – Avg. ML: 168) vs. N. Cortes Jr. (ERA: 1.46 – Home ERA: 2.9 – Avg. ML: -108)

Pick: Lean BAL

 

CLE (178) at TOR (-196)

Pitchers: Z. Plesac (ERA: 4.38 – Road ERA: 4.72 – Avg. ML: -101) vs. H. Ryu (ERA: 3.33 – Home ERA: 3.58 – Avg. ML: -134)

Pick: Lean TOR

 

NYM () at MIA ()

Pitchers: T. Walker (ERA: 3.78 – Road ERA: 4.44 – Avg. ML: -110) vs. B. Garrett (ERA: 0 – Home ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 0)

Pick: TBD

 

SEA (141) at TB (-153)

Pitchers: Y. Kikuchi (ERA: 3.99 – Road ERA: 3.44 – Avg. ML: 118) vs. L. Patino (ERA: 4.94 – Home ERA: 0.74 – Avg. ML: -100)

Pick: Lean SEA

 

MIN (120) at CIN (-130)

Pitchers: K. Maeda (ERA: 4.3 – Road ERA: 5.22 – Avg. ML: -125) vs. T. Mahle (ERA: 3.67 – Home ERA: 6.16 – Avg. ML: -118)

Pick: Lean CIN

 

LAA () at TEX ()

Pitchers: J. Suarez (ERA: 5.32 – Road ERA: 3.8 – Avg. ML: 107) vs. J. Lyles (ERA: 5.23 – Home ERA: 4.84 – Avg. ML: 149)

Pick: TBD

 

PIT (208) at MIL (-231)

Pitchers: M. Kranick (ERA: 7.31 – Road ERA: 5.73 – Avg. ML: 137) vs. A. Houser (ERA: 3.98 – Home ERA: 3.93 – Avg. ML: -110)

Pick: Lean MIL

 

ATL (-125) at STL (115)

Pitchers: M. Fried (ERA: 4.44 – Road ERA: 5.85 – Avg. ML: -120) vs. J. Lester (ERA: 5.56 – Home ERA: 4.28 – Avg. ML: 118)

Pick: Lean STL

 

CHC (128) at COL (-139)

Pitchers: Z. Davies (ERA: 4.53 – Road ERA: 4.63 – Avg. ML: 111) vs. K. Freeland (ERA: 4.56 – Home ERA: 4.64 – Avg. ML: 165)

Pick: Lean COL

 

SF (-152) at ARI (140)

Pitchers: J. Cueto (ERA: 3.95 – Road ERA: 5.23 – Avg. ML: -109) vs. M. Bumgarner (ERA: 4.61 – Home ERA: 5.42 – Avg. ML: 122)

Pick: Lean ARI

 

SD () at OAK ()

Pitchers: B. Snell (ERA: 5.6 – Road ERA: 8.38 – Avg. ML: -129) vs. S. Manaea (ERA: 2.98 – Home ERA: 3.28 – Avg. ML: -114)

Pick: TBD