Degen’s Best Sports Bet Picks for 8/30/21: MLB

Degen Show (8/30/21)

Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 8/30/21. Listen to the Degen’s MLB futures episode or their mulligan after the All Star break.

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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 8/30/21

MLB

Sports Bet Picks for 8/30/21

STL (154) at CIN (-168)

Pitchers: J. Lester (ERA: 5.75 – Road ERA: 6.66 – Avg. ML: 118) vs. L. Castillo (ERA: 4.46 – Home ERA: 3.55 – Avg. ML: -112)

Pick: Bet $10 STL

Notes: The Cardinals continued to struggle with the Pirates this weekend while the Reds struggled on the road against the fish. Cincinnati will host St. Louis today and put Luis Castillo on the mound. Castillo has had 3 consecutive quality starts after a complete meltdown against Cleveland earlier this month.

Jon Lester is coming off a solid start but he’s been more inconsistent than Castillo has been this season.

Still, I see some value in the Cardinals today. Paul Goldschmidt has been hitting well recently and Nolan Arenado has hit more homeruns on the road this season than at home.

I have not had a ton of success betting on St. Louis – so I’m prepared to be wrong here. But I’ll take the plus line and bet $10 on St. Louis.

 

MIL (-141) at SF (130)

Pitchers: C. Burnes (ERA: 2.26 – Road ERA: 1.9 – Avg. ML: -145) vs. J. Cueto (ERA: 3.93 – Home ERA: 3.17 – Avg. ML: -110)

Pick: Bet $10 MIL

Notes: The Giants are coming back home after their NL East road trip concluded against the Braves yesterday. They play host to a Milwaukee team that avoided getting swept by the goddamn Twins. Despite the series loss, the Brewers are a sensational road team and are 20 games above .500 on the road this season.

Corbin Burnes will get the start for Milwaukee today and he looks to rebound from a shaky start his last time out. Johnny Cueto missed some time this past month but looked decent his last time out. I just don’t trust him as much as I trust Burnes.

$10 bet on the Brewers.

 

BOS (119) at TB (-129)

Pitchers: N. Pivetta (ERA: 4.7 – Road ERA: 3.67 – Avg. ML: -107) vs. L. Patino (ERA: 4.95 – Home ERA: 2.33 – Avg. ML: -110)

Pick: Bet $10 TB

Notes: The Yankees have lost 2 in a row – allowing the Rays to increase their AL East lead to 6 games. That’s in part to a 7-game winning streak. Most of those were road games where they have done quite well this season. But they are also 41-23 at home this year.

Boston, on the other hand, is only 3 games above .500 on the road this year and is 4-12 on the road recently. That includes a sweep by the Rays about a month ago. The Red Sox just have not been playing great baseball lately while the Rays are sharpening up for a long playoff run.

$10 bet on Tampa.

 

Leans

MIN (-120) at DET (111)

Pitchers: B. Ober (ERA: 4.25 – Road ERA: 4.14 – Avg. ML: 114) vs. C. Mize (ERA: 3.61 – Home ERA: 3.65 – Avg. ML: 136)

Pick: Lean DET

 

PHI (-164) at WSH (151)

Pitchers: Z. Wheeler (ERA: 2.96 – Road ERA: 3.73 – Avg. ML: -121) vs. J. Gray (ERA: 4.12 – Home ERA: 3.77 – Avg. ML: 139)

Pick: Lean WSH

 

BAL (266) at TOR (-300)

Pitchers: C. Ellis (ERA: 9 – Road ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 190) vs. R. Ray (ERA: 2.65 – Home ERA: 2.39 – Avg. ML: -125)

Pick: Lean TOR

 

COL (-153) at TEX (141)

Pitchers: G. Marquez (ERA: 3.86 – Road ERA: 4.96 – Avg. ML: 111) vs. A. Alexy (ERA: 0 – Home ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 0)

Pick: Lean TEX

Notes: Weird one here. Public is split but big money on Texas. Line has gotten better for the Rangers though.

 

NYY () at LAA ()

Pitchers: C. Kluber (ERA: 3.13 – Road ERA: 3.63 – Avg. ML: -152) vs. Undecided (ERA: 0 – Home ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 0)

Pick: TBD

 

SD (-169) at ARI (155)

Pitchers: C. Paddack (ERA: 4.73 – Road ERA: 3.94 – Avg. ML: -149) vs. T. Gilbert (ERA: 2.84 – Home ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 153)

Pick: Lean ARI

 

ATL (174) at LAD (-190)

Pitchers: D. Smyly (ERA: 4.63 – Road ERA: 4.62 – Avg. ML: -114) vs. J. Urias (ERA: 3.35 – Home ERA: 4.21 – Avg. ML: -170)

Pick: Lean LAD

 

HOU (-153) at SEA (140)

Pitchers: L. Garcia (ERA: 3.31 – Road ERA: 5.19 – Avg. ML: -131) vs. C. Flexen (ERA: 3.61 – Home ERA: 2.74 – Avg. ML: 126)

Pick: Lean HOU

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