Degen’s Best Sports Bet Picks for 8/4/21: MLB

Degen Show Part (8/4/21)

Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 8/4/21. Listen to the Degen’s MLB futures episode or their mulligan after the All Star break.

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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 8/4/21

MLB

Sports Bet Picks for 8/4/21

 

SEA (141) at TB (-153)

Pitchers: L. Gilbert (ERA: 4.25 – Road ERA: 3.27 – Avg. ML: 124) vs. J. Fleming (ERA: 5.16 – Home ERA: 3 – Avg. ML: -112)

Pick: Bet $10 TB

Notes: I’ve liked Seattle the past two days but now I make my switch to Tampa Bay. The Rays are still holding on to first place in the AL East and should avoid the weep today. Pretty evenly matched pitching matchup here but Fleming was performing more of an opener role and has looked better in longer starts his past few outings.

$10 bet on Tampa.

 

BOS (-144) at DET (133)

Pitchers: E. Rodriguez (ERA: 6.72 – Road ERA: 6.3 – Avg. ML: -105) vs. C. Mize (ERA: 3.47 – Home ERA: 3.19 – Avg. ML: 138)

Pick: Bet $10 DET

Notes: I hate double-dipping but here I am. I hit on Detroit yesterday and I like them again today. Casey Mize is on the mound and coming off a great start against the Orioles last week. The Red Sox are slumping right now and I think Detroit can take advantage of it again.

$10 bet on the Tigers.

 

LAA (-155) at TEX (143)

Pitchers: S. Ohtani (ERA: 3.09 – Road ERA: 5.24 – Avg. ML: -113) vs. K. Allard (ERA: 6.03 – Home ERA: 5.79 – Avg. ML: 150)

Pick: Bet $10 LAA

Notes: Ohtani is on the mound and while his road ERA is drastically worse than his home ERA, I still like him over Allard for the Rangers. Texas grabbed the first game in this series and I think that was their lone win here. Anaheim’s bats came alive yesterday and that should bleed into today’s game as well.

$10 bet on the Angels.

 

ATL (-115) at STL (106)

Pitchers: D. Smyly (ERA: 4.51 – Road ERA: 4.24 – Avg. ML: -110) vs. J. Happ (ERA: 6.94 – Home ERA: 5.81 – Avg. ML: -109)

Pick: Bet $10 ATL

Notes: As much as I am loathe to admit it, the Braves will probably win the NL East not due to them being a good team, but because of the predictable ineptitude of the Mets. J.A. Happ will get his first start in St. Louis today and is matched up against a hittable Drew Smyly.

I am not in love with this game and I certainly don’t trust this Braves team. But my metrics say they win this one. So a reluctant $10 bet on Atlanta.

 

CHC (137) at COL (-149)

Pitchers: A. Mills (ERA: 3.81 – Road ERA: 4.23 – Avg. ML: 112) vs. J. Gray (ERA: 3.79 – Home ERA: 3.23 – Avg. ML: 138)

Pick: Bet $10 CHC

Notes: Much like me questioning why I liked Arizona yesterday I must question why I like Chicago today. Colorado just beat them 13-6 yesterday and improved to 34-20 at home this season. The Cubs are 20-36 on the road and have one win over their last 5 games.

But still, I think they are worth a flyer bet today to steal a win.

$10 bet on the Cubs.

 

Leans

MIN (191) at CIN (-211)

Pitchers: C. Barnes (ERA: 2.14 – Road ERA: 2.14 – Avg. ML: -125) vs. L. Castillo (ERA: 4.39 – Home ERA: 4.02 – Avg. ML: -107)

Pick: Lean CIN

 

PIT (240) at MIL (-269)

Pitchers: S. Brault (ERA: 0 – Road ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 0) vs. F. Peralta (ERA: 2.22 – Home ERA: 1.98 – Avg. ML: -134)

Pick: Lean MIL

 

SD () at OAK ()

Pitchers: J. Musgrove (ERA: 3.18 – Road ERA: 4.08 – Avg. ML: -146) vs. F. Montas (ERA: 4.18 – Home ERA: 4.51 – Avg. ML: -108)

Pick: TBD

 

PHI (101) at WSH (-110)

Pitchers: C. Anderson (ERA: 7.17 – Road ERA: 11.5 – Avg. ML: 126) vs. P. Espino (ERA: 2.96 – Home ERA: 1.91 – Avg. ML: 109)

Pick: Lean WSH

 

BAL (228) at NYY (-254)

Pitchers: M. Harvey (ERA: 6.51 – Road ERA: 6.1 – Avg. ML: 156) vs. J. Taillon (ERA: 4.28 – Home ERA: 3.31 – Avg. ML: -123)

Pick: Lean NYY

 

CLE (184) at TOR (-202)

Pitchers: J. Mejia (ERA: 8.86 – Road ERA: 9.15 – Avg. ML: 128) vs. S. Matz (ERA: 4.74 – Home ERA: 5.71 – Avg. ML: -116)

Pick: Lean TOR

 

NYM (-150) at MIA (138)

Pitchers: C. Carrasco (ERA: 2.25 – Road ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: -122) vs. Z. Thompson (ERA: 2.3 – Home ERA: 2.55 – Avg. ML: 128)

Pick: Lean MIA

 

KC (222) at CWS (-247)

Pitchers: C. Hernandez (ERA: 4.43 – Road ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 108) vs. L. Giolito (ERA: 3.71 – Home ERA: 3.17 – Avg. ML: -145)

Pick: Lean CWS

 

SF (-174) at ARI (159)

Pitchers: K. Gausman (ERA: 2.37 – Road ERA: 1.56 – Avg. ML: -114) vs. Z. Gallen (ERA: 4.76 – Home ERA: 4.12 – Avg. ML: 134)

Pick: Lean SF

 

HOU (188) at LAD (-208)

Pitchers: J. Odorizzi (ERA: 4.76 – Road ERA: 4.05 – Avg. ML: -126) vs. M. Scherzer (ERA: 2.79 – Home ERA: 2.33 – Avg. ML: -114)

Pick: Lean LAD

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Comments

@peepso_user_428(Johnornberg)
Day baseball on a day off is always a good thing. Unless I’m losing bets that is.

Twins F5 +210
Twins/Reds u9.5
Seattle +120 F5
Seattle/Tampa F5 o4.5
Milwaukee/Pittsburgh F5 u4.5
1 month ago
@peepso_user_428(Johnornberg)
That sucked
1 month ago