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Degen Show Part (8/5/21)
Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 8/5/21. Listen to the Degen’s MLB futures episode or their mulligan after the All Star break.
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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 8/5/21
MLB
LAA (-103) at TEX (-105)
Pitchers: D. Bundy (ERA: 6.99 – Road ERA: 7.43 – Avg. ML: 103) vs. S. Howard (ERA: 5.05 – Home ERA: 6.51 – Avg. ML: 111)
Pick: Bet $10 TEX
Notes: The KOD hit on the Angels yesterday but time to fade the Angels and back the Rangers today. Spencer Howard will make his AL debut today after being dealt by the Phillies at the trade deadline. He has not had a good start to his career but now he gets to face some quiet bats in the AL as opposed to the mighty offenses like the Mets and Marlins.
Joking aside, I do think a change of environment could help Howard. There is no pressure on this team to make the playoffs and he doesn’t have a douchebag as a manager anymore. I actually liked when Chris Woodward played for Mets.
Anyhow, I think the play today is to bet Texas. I had this as a close one with Bundy on the mound for the Angels and the sharps have driven this down since the open. Hopefully a good sign I am on the right side.
$10 bet on the Rangers.
CLE (162) at TOR (-178)
Pitchers: T. McKenzie (ERA: 6.04 – Road ERA: 6.8 – Avg. ML: 116) vs. R. Stripling (ERA: 5.54 – Home ERA: 6.15 – Avg. ML: 103)
Pick: Bet $10 CLE
Notes: Toronto has managed to win their last two after dropping the series opener to the Name Pending Legal Outcomes. The Blue Jays have won 4 out of their last 5 games but are still in 4th the AL East. Cleveland fell below .500 yesterday and is nowhere close to being a playoff team.
Still, they can be a pain in the ass at times and at this plus line I think its worth a flyer – especially with a hittable Stripling on the mound for Toronto.
$10 bet on Cleveland.
MIN (206) at HOU (-229)
Pitchers: G. Jax (ERA: 5.14 – Road ERA: 5.14 – Avg. ML: 131) vs. F. Valdez (ERA: 3.03 – Home ERA: 3 – Avg. ML: -130)
Pick: Bet $10 MIN
Notes: The Astros finally return home after splitting a pair of games with the Dodgers. Thankfully for them, they won’t see Max Scherzer on the mound and instead face off against Griffin Jax. Jax has started only 3 games this season after spending time in the bullpen earlier in the season. Houston will put a 7-2 Framber Valdez on the mound.
Valdez has had a good season so far but his WHIP indicates that he could get into trouble by putting on too many baserunners and his xERA means he could be on the verge of some regression. Minnesota’s offense has not been awful and even after the trade deadline it has not dropped off significantly.
As such, I am going to take a bit of a flyer on the Twins to nab this game. Houston is very good at home but they are probably still exhausted from a long road trip.
$10 bet on the Twins.
Leans
NYM () at MIA ()
Pitchers: R. Hill (ERA: 4.17 – Road ERA: 4.19 – Avg. ML: -115) vs. T. Rogers (ERA: 2.57 – Home ERA: 2.99 – Avg. ML: 108)
Pick: TBD
BOS (-127) at DET (117)
Pitchers: M. Perez (ERA: 4.5 – Road ERA: 3.13 – Avg. ML: -104) vs. T. Skubal (ERA: 4.66 – Home ERA: 3.87 – Avg. ML: 140)
Pick: Lean BOS
CHC () at COL ()
Pitchers: J. Arrieta (ERA: 6.34 – Road ERA: 6.47 – Avg. ML: 110) vs. A. Senzatela (ERA: 4.66 – Home ERA: 3.79 – Avg. ML: 150)
Pick: TBD
SF (-165) at ARI (151)
Pitchers: A. Wood (ERA: 3.93 – Road ERA: 3.88 – Avg. ML: -114) vs. M. Kelly (ERA: 4.46 – Home ERA: 3.86 – Avg. ML: 146)
Pick: Lean SF
PHI (-140) at WSH (129)
Pitchers: A. Nola (ERA: 4.41 – Road ERA: 5.39 – Avg. ML: -135) vs. J. Ross (ERA: 3.88 – Home ERA: 4.92 – Avg. ML: 118)
Pick: Lean WSH
SEA () at NYY ()
Pitchers: T. Anderson (ERA: 4.47 – Road ERA: 5.44 – Avg. ML: 134) vs. N. Cortes Jr. (ERA: 1.46 – Home ERA: 2.9 – Avg. ML: -108)
Pick: TBD
PIT (199) at CIN (-220)
Pitchers: W. Crowe (ERA: 5.49 – Road ERA: 6.07 – Avg. ML: 159) vs. S. Gray (ERA: 4.48 – Home ERA: 5.53 – Avg. ML: -106)
Pick: Lean CIN
KC (175) at CWS (-193)
Pitchers: D. Lynch (ERA: 7.43 – Road ERA: 6.59 – Avg. ML: 129) vs. D. Keuchel (ERA: 4.44 – Home ERA: 4.16 – Avg. ML: -114)
Pick: Lean KC
ATL (-121) at STL (112)
Pitchers: T. Toussaint (ERA: 4.97 – Road ERA: 1.29 – Avg. ML: 147) vs. W. LeBlanc (ERA: 4.22 – Home ERA: 4.06 – Avg. ML: 117)
Pick: Lean ATL