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Degen Show Part (8/7/21)
Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 8/7/21. Listen to the Degen’s MLB futures episode or their mulligan after the All Star break.
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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 8/6/21
MLB
SEA (169) at NYY (-185)
Pitchers: C. Flexen (ERA: 3.82 – Road ERA: 5.59 – Avg. ML: 128) vs. A. Heaney (ERA: 5.58 – Home ERA: 6.02 – Avg. ML: -107)
Pick: Bet $10 NYY
Notes: Chalk city for me today after a few days of hitting on some dogs. Specifically hitting on the Twins two days in a row. And now I put my money against a team that has made me some money this season – the lucky Mariners. The Yankees have won 4 in row after their extra inning win over Seattle yesterday. New York’s bats are continuing to improve and get a chance to tee off against Flexen and his 5.59 road ERA.
For the Yankees, Andrew Heaney takes the mound. The former Angel got roughed up by the Orioles in his first outing in pinstripes. But looking at his xERA this year, he could start pitching a little bit better from here on out. Maybe today.
$10 bet on the Yankees.
TB (-205) at BAL (186)
Pitchers: S. McClanahan (ERA: 3.46 – Road ERA: 3.21 – Avg. ML: -121) vs. S. Watkins (ERA: 4.07 – Home ERA: 4.12 – Avg. ML: 153)
Pick: Bet $10 TB
Notes: Well, I hit on the Rays yesterday and time to double-dip. Tampa has Baltimore’s number this season and McClanahan has pitched well on the road this season. The Rays, in general, have been a very good road team.
This continues my chalk-filled Saturday as I place a $10 bet on Tampa.
DET (122) at CLE (-133)
Pitchers: T. Alexander (ERA: 5.66 – Road ERA: 9 – Avg. ML: 155) vs. E. Morgan (ERA: 5.79 – Home ERA: 6.82 – Avg. ML: 156)
Pick: Bet $10 CLE
Notes: Third game up and third time eating chalk. I was on Detroit yesterday and was wrong. Today my metrics say that Cleveland is the play. Tyler Alexander has been roughed up on the road and the Tigers are only 21-34 on the road this season. The Guardians have not been dominant at home and Eli Morgan is not a reliable pitcher.
Still, I think Cleveland gets it done again today.
$10 bet on the Guardians.
MIA (145) at COL (-158)
Pitchers: J. Luzardo (ERA: 5.98 – Road ERA: 8.57 – Avg. ML: -106) vs. A. Gomber (ERA: 4.08 – Home ERA: 1.99 – Avg. ML: 139)
Pick: Bet $10 COL
Notes: Last game and another chalk sandwich. The Rockies slaughtered the Marlins yesterday and now they put Gomber on the mound with his 1.99 ERA. And the Marlins don’t have one of their young aces to throw at him. Luzardo made his Marlins debut against the Mets on Monday. He didn’t have great stuff but the Marlins still got the win.
But Colorado won’t have put out a feeble offensive effort like the team from Queens and I just don’t think Miami can keep up.
$10 bet on the Rockies.
Leans
CWS (-196) at CHC (180)
Pitchers: C. Rodon (ERA: 2.4 – Road ERA: 2.2 – Avg. ML: -137) vs. A. Alzolay (ERA: 4.93 – Home ERA: 4.75 – Avg. ML: 105)
Pick: Lean CWS
BOS (142) at TOR (-155)
Pitchers: N. Pivetta (ERA: 4.69 – Road ERA: 3.5 – Avg. ML: -106) vs. R. Ray (ERA: 2.79 – Home ERA: 2.53 – Avg. ML: -120)
Pick: Lean BOS (Looks trappish for Toronto)
TEX () at OAK ()
Pitchers: D. Anderson (ERA: 0 – Road ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 0) vs. C. Irvin (ERA: 3.57 – Home ERA: 3.91 – Avg. ML: -108)
Pick: TBD
NYM (-105) at PHI (-103)
Pitchers: T. Megill (ERA: 2.74 – Road ERA: 3.94 – Avg. ML: -116) vs. R. Suarez (ERA: 0 – Home ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: -122)
Pick: Lean PHI
BOS (125) at TOR (-143)
Pitchers: T. Houck (ERA: 3.12 – Road ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: -130) vs. J. Berrios (ERA: 3.53 – Home ERA: 3.36 – Avg. ML: -130)
Pick: Lean BOS
SF () at MIL ()
Pitchers: A. Sanchez (ERA: 3.28 – Road ERA: 4.09 – Avg. ML: 104) vs. B. Woodruff (ERA: 2.3 – Home ERA: 2.35 – Avg. ML: -127)
Pick: TBD
PIT (159) at CIN (-173)
Pitchers: M. Keller (ERA: 7.28 – Road ERA: 4.95 – Avg. ML: 150) vs. V. Gutierrez (ERA: 4.42 – Home ERA: 7.25 – Avg. ML: 128)
Pick: Lean CIN
MIN (178) at HOU (-195)
Pitchers: M. Pineda (ERA: 3.94 – Road ERA: 4.48 – Avg. ML: -111) vs. L. Garcia (ERA: 3.62 – Home ERA: 2.16 – Avg. ML: -123)
Pick: Lean HOU
KC (158) at STL (-172)
Pitchers: B. Keller (ERA: 5.81 – Road ERA: 5.25 – Avg. ML: 131) vs. K. Kim (ERA: 3.39 – Home ERA: 2.84 – Avg. ML: 102)
Pick: Lean STL
WSH (211) at ATL (-235)
Pitchers: J. Gray (ERA: 3.83 – Road ERA: 4.47 – Avg. ML: 136) vs. C. Morton (ERA: 3.68 – Home ERA: 4.25 – Avg. ML: -132)
Pick: Lean ATL
ARI (255) at SD (-287)
Pitchers: T. Widener (ERA: 5.45 – Road ERA: 3.52 – Avg. ML: 153) vs. Y. Darvish (ERA: 3.53 – Home ERA: 3.21 – Avg. ML: -164)
Pick: Lean SD
LAA (260) at LAD (-293)
Pitchers: J. Barria (ERA: 1.36 – Road ERA: 2.57 – Avg. ML: 113) vs. J. Urias (ERA: 3.47 – Home ERA: 4 – Avg. ML: -168)
Pick: Lean LAD
