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Degen Show (9/1/21)
Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 9/1/21. Listen to the Degen’s MLB futures episode or their mulligan after the All Star break.
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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 9/1/21
MLB
PHI (-167) at WSH (153)
Pitchers: A. Nola (ERA: 4.42 – Road ERA: 5.28 – Avg. ML: -127) vs. P. Espino (ERA: 4.53 – Home ERA: 4.1 – Avg. ML: 133)
Pick: Bet $10 WSH
Notes: The Nationals have lost 4 in a row and are on the verge of being swept by the Phillies. This will be the last game these two teams play this season. Philly will put Aaron Nola on the mound today. The former staff ace is not having a great season and Paolo Espino for the Nats actually has some better stats.
The Nats’ offense has struggled to keep up with Philly and I don’t necessarily have them winning today. But the value is there for sure.
$10 bet on the Nats.
OAK (-153) at DET (141)
Pitchers: J. Kaprielian (ERA: 3.73 – Road ERA: 5.14 – Avg. ML: -119) vs. W. Peralta (ERA: 3.83 – Home ERA: 2.06 – Avg. ML: 142)
Pick: Bet $10 DET
Notes: The Tigers have lost 4 in a row and were beaten up badly by the A’s yesterday. That loss dropped the Tigers to .500 at home. For a while, this was a team providing some value as a home dog but that has not been the case the past few weeks. Still, I like them today.
On name value alone, the A’s have the pitching advantage. But Wily Peralta has actually done well this season and at home his ERA is down to about 2.06. I like him to hold his own against the A’s bats today and for the Tigers to sneak out a win.
$10 bet on Detroit.
BOS (-115) at TB (106)
Pitchers: C. Sale (ERA: 2.38 – Road ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: -274) vs. D. Rasmussen (ERA: 2.4 – Home ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: -140)
Pick: Bet $10 TB
Notes: It was the Yankees who were red hot and winning games. Now its another AL East team with the big win streak. Tampa has won 9 in a row after winning again over Boston yesterday. These two teams will play another game tomorrow so I’m not going to bet on the sweep just yet.
But I will bet on Tampa winning their third in a row against Boston. Chris Sale gets the start today and he’s been very good in his time back. But Drew Rasmussen hasn’t been too shabby himself. And the Rays are just playing great baseball right now.
$10 bet on the Rays.
Leans
STL (137) at CIN (-149)
Pitchers: M. Mikolas (ERA: 2.75 – Road ERA: 6.59 – Avg. ML: -142) vs. W. Miley (ERA: 2.77 – Home ERA: 2.45 – Avg. ML: -107)
Pick: Lean STL
COL (-131) at TEX (121)
Pitchers: K. Freeland (ERA: 4.19 – Road ERA: 3.94 – Avg. ML: 152) vs. K. Arihara (ERA: 7.05 – Home ERA: 12.45 – Avg. ML: 152)
Pick: Lean COL
SD (-225) at ARI (203)
Pitchers: Y. Darvish (ERA: 3.9 – Road ERA: 4.93 – Avg. ML: -159) vs. L. Weaver (ERA: 4.58 – Home ERA: 1.28 – Avg. ML: 104)
Pick: Lean ARI
HOU (-139) at SEA (128)
Pitchers: J. Odorizzi (ERA: 4.84 – Road ERA: 5.24 – Avg. ML: -125) vs. L. Gilbert (ERA: 5.67 – Home ERA: 5.9 – Avg. ML: 118)
Pick: Lean HOU
STL (138) at CIN (-151)
Pitchers: J. Happ (ERA: 5.91 – Road ERA: 6.52 – Avg. ML: -113) vs. S. Gray (ERA: 4.07 – Home ERA: 4.95 – Avg. ML: -109)
Pick: Lean STL
NYY (-256) at LAA (229)
Pitchers: G. Cole (ERA: 2.82 – Road ERA: 3.19 – Avg. ML: -175) vs. P. Naughton (ERA: 0 – Home ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 0)
Pick: Lean NYY
BAL (230) at TOR (-257)
Pitchers: M. Harvey (ERA: 6.46 – Road ERA: 6.32 – Avg. ML: 162) vs. S. Matz (ERA: 3.93 – Home ERA: 4.34 – Avg. ML: -122)
Pick: Lean TOR
CLE () at KC ()
Pitchers: L. Allen (ERA: 8.18 – Road ERA: 15.88 – Avg. ML: 123) vs. M. Minor (ERA: 5.4 – Home ERA: 5.41 – Avg. ML: 121)
Pick: TBD
PIT (273) at CWS (-310)
Pitchers: M. Keller (ERA: 6.95 – Road ERA: 4.47 – Avg. ML: 152) vs. C. Rodon (ERA: 2.34 – Home ERA: 2.61 – Avg. ML: -138)
Pick: Lean CWS
CHC () at MIN ()
Pitchers: J. Steele (ERA: 6.64 – Road ERA: 4.5 – Avg. ML: 161) vs. J. Ryan (ERA: 0 – Home ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 0)
Pick: TBD
MIL (141) at SF (-154)
Pitchers: B. Anderson (ERA: 4.66 – Road ERA: 5.37 – Avg. ML: -107) vs. K. Gausman (ERA: 2.51 – Home ERA: 3.4 – Avg. ML: -120)
Pick: Lean SF
ATL (170) at LAD (-187)
Pitchers: M. Fried (ERA: 3.62 – Road ERA: 3.98 – Avg. ML: -128) vs. M. Scherzer (ERA: 2.55 – Home ERA: 2.31 – Avg. ML: -124)
Pick: Lean LAD