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Degen Show (9/22/21)
Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 9/22/21. Listen to the Degen’s MLB futures episode or their mulligan after the All Star break.
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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 9/22/21
MLB
KC (-110) at CLE (102)
Pitchers: C. Hernandez (ERA: 3.88 – Road ERA: 1 – Avg. ML: 131) vs. L. Allen (ERA: 7.71 – Home ERA: 6.87 – Avg. ML: 118)
Pick: Bet $10 KC
Notes: Today will close out the 4-game set between these two teams. The Royals won the short-inning pair on Monday while the Guardians took the game yesterday. Carlos Hernandez looks to shake off an awful start where he surrendered 7 earned runs in 4 innings against Oakland last week. If not, then the hot-hitting bats of KC will need to bail him out.
KC is ranked 4th in runs scored the past 2 weeks – hitting .289 in that stretch. That only trails the Astros in that time-period. Cleveland ranks dead last with a .209 batting average in that same stretch.
They won’t get much help on the mound as Logan Allen has been hit hard his last two outings and the team ERA the past 2 weeks sits at 4.35.
I just think the Royals are playing the better baseball right now and being 13-7 over their past 20 road games gives me some confidence to bet them today. $10 bet on KC.
ATL (-174) at ARI (159)
Pitchers: I. Anderson (ERA: 3.82 – Road ERA: 3.99 – Avg. ML: -116) vs. M. Kelly (ERA: 4.4 – Home ERA: 3.35 – Avg. ML: 153)
Pick: Bet $10 ARI
Notes: The Braves have dominated the D-Backs through two games – outscoring them 17-5. These teams will finish up their 4-game series tomorrow and I fully expect Arizona to nab one of these games. I’m not keen on placing a bet backing Merill Kelly but I sympathize with him that he has to play the Dodgers, Rockies, and Giants so frequently.
Ian Anderson will get the start for the Braves today. He’s been OK since coming back from injury – but he’s certainly hittable. Arizona has such a feeble offense that I’m not sure if they can take advantage of that – but worth a lottery ticket.
$10 bet on the D-Backs.
Leans
PIT (190) at CIN (-238)
Pitchers: W. Crowe (ERA: 5.89 – Road ERA: 6.47 – Avg. ML: 159) vs. L. Castillo (ERA: 4.23 – Home ERA: 3.24 – Avg. ML: -111)
Pick: Lean PIT
CWS (-163) at DET (145)
Pitchers: R. Lopez (ERA: 3.82 – Road ERA: 3.94 – Avg. ML: -111) vs. C. Mize (ERA: 3.7 – Home ERA: 4.05 – Avg. ML: 139)
Pick: Lean CWS
TOR (-110) at TB (-110)
Pitchers: J. Merryweather (ERA: 0 – Road ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 0) vs. L. Patino (ERA: 5.14 – Home ERA: 3.69 – Avg. ML: -121)
Pick: Lean TOR
WSH (114) at MIA (-123)
Pitchers: J. Gray (ERA: 4.87 – Road ERA: 4.75 – Avg. ML: 135) vs. E. Hernandez (ERA: 3.53 – Home ERA: 2.81 – Avg. ML: 131)
Pick: Lean MIA
TEX (229) at NYY (-256)
Pitchers: T. Hearn (ERA: 5.88 – Road ERA: 3.86 – Avg. ML: 153) vs. C. Kluber (ERA: 3.79 – Home ERA: 2.41 – Avg. ML: -157)
Pick: Lean NYY
BAL (272) at PHI (-308)
Pitchers: K. Akin (ERA: 7.4 – Road ERA: 8.89 – Avg. ML: 175) vs. Z. Wheeler (ERA: 2.88 – Home ERA: 2.47 – Avg. ML: -123)
Pick: Lean PHI
NYM (155) at BOS (-175)
Pitchers: T. Walker (ERA: 4.3 – Road ERA: 5.35 – Avg. ML: -101) vs. C. Sale (ERA: 2.46 – Home ERA: 2.32 – Avg. ML: -158)
Pick: Lean BOS
STL (-105) at MIL (-115)
Pitchers: M. Mikolas (ERA: 4.6 – Road ERA: 8.87 – Avg. ML: 103) vs. B. Anderson (ERA: 4.55 – Home ERA: 3.88 – Avg. ML: -106)
Pick: Lean STL
MIN (-105) at CHC (-103)
Pitchers: J. Ryan (ERA: 2.12 – Road ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: -107) vs. K. Hendricks (ERA: 4.9 – Home ERA: 5.32 – Avg. ML: 103)
Pick: Lean MIN
LAD (-201) at COL (183)
Pitchers: W. Buehler (ERA: 2.4 – Road ERA: 2.69 – Avg. ML: -188) vs. G. Marquez (ERA: 4.02 – Home ERA: 3.18 – Avg. ML: 107)
Pick: Lean LAD
HOU (-193) at LAA (176)
Pitchers: L. Garcia (ERA: 3.48 – Road ERA: 4.81 – Avg. ML: -137) vs. J. Junk (ERA: 2.47 – Home ERA: 2.81 – Avg. ML: 120)
Pick: Lean HOU
SEA (127) at OAK (-137)
Pitchers: C. Flexen (ERA: 3.75 – Road ERA: 4.44 – Avg. ML: 120) vs. C. Irvin (ERA: 4.02 – Home ERA: 3.87 – Avg. ML: -109)
Pick: Lean SEA
SF (-120) at SD (100)
Pitchers: S. Kazmir (ERA: 4.5 – Road ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 116) vs. V. Velasquez (ERA: 6.18 – Home ERA: 4.82 – Avg. ML: 106)
Pick: Lean SF
